Google will buy Twitter by 2010
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2010-01-01; judged wrong by thephilosiraptor on 2010-01-01.
- Glenn estimated 60% on 2008-07-16
- Adam estimated 30% on 2008-08-02
- Glenn changed the deadline from “on 2009-01-01” on 2009-01-08
- Jack estimated 20% on 2009-10-14
- Arenamontanus estimated 30% on 2009-10-14
- thephilosiraptor estimated 10% on 2009-11-17
- thephilosiraptor judged this prediction wrong on 2010-01-01.
- gwern said “in 2011: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2008” on 2010-12-26