Facebook ($FB) will buy RIM ($RIMM)

Created by sucrenoir on 2012-07-02; known on 2013-07-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2013-07-01.

• sucrenoir estimated 60% on 2012-07-02
• gwern estimated 20% and said “why would they do that?” on 2012-07-02
• PseudonymousUser said “before 2013-07-01?” on 2012-07-03
• sucrenoir said “Rim is dying but very successful with young people (heavy facebook users). Facebook has money and need a mobile strategy… RIM has a good OS (qnx and BB10 coming) and good engineers. If not FB then AMZN maybe.” on 2012-07-03
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 10% on 2012-07-03
• RandomThinker estimated 15% on 2012-07-07
• RandomThinker said “@sucrenoir Google is the most likely buyer, because Google could use the enterprise assets. See my other prediction. http://predictionbook.com/predictions/6753” on 2012-07-07
• jamesghansen estimated 2% on 2012-07-10
• holycow81 estimated 2% on 2013-05-27
• William-Quixote estimated 20% on 2013-07-01
• gwern said “WQ: 20% as of 17 hours ago? really? https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/BlackBerry_%28company%29 mentions no acquisition, marking wrong…” on 2013-07-01
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2013-07-01.