I will not smoke a (tobacco containing) cigarette for the next 25 years.
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2012-09-07; known on 2037-09-07
- Jayson Virissimo estimated 99% on 2012-09-07
- gwern estimated 95% and said “this reminds me to make my own predictions per my nicotine gum/patch use: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/8179 & http://predictionbook.com/predictions/8180” on 2012-09-07
- pranomostro estimated 95% on 2018-12-09
- pranomostro estimated 80% on 2018-12-09
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