Obama will win election

Created by lepido on 2012-09-08; known on 2012-12-06; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-08.

• lepido estimated 60% on 2012-09-08
• gwern said “redundant with http://predictionbook.com/predictions/452” on 2012-09-08
• William-Quixote estimated 76% on 2012-09-08
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-08.