Obama will be re-elected on the 2012 presidential election.

Created by gusl on 2012-10-26; known on 2012-11-15; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

• gusl estimated 80% on 2012-10-26
• museveni estimated 100% on 2012-10-28
• PseudonymousUser said “museveni, have you placed all of your money on Obama bets/intrade shares? You can make ~40% over the next week.” on 2012-10-28
• gwern said “redundant with http://predictionbook.com/predictions/452” on 2012-10-28
• Turtleread estimated 92% on 2012-11-05
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.