Bernie Sanders is the next US President elect

Created by jesselevine on 2015-09-03; known on 2016-12-01; judged wrong by Afforess on 2016-10-06.

• jesselevine estimated 70% on 2015-09-03
• btrettel estimated 5% on 2015-09-03
• JoshuaZ estimated 7% on 2015-09-03
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2015-09-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2015-09-04
• PseudonymousUser estimated 13% on 2015-09-04
• HonoreDB estimated 7% on 2015-09-04
• danielfilan estimated 5% on 2015-09-05
• jesselevine said “Wildly swinging my prediction” on 2015-09-05
• JoshuaZ said “Jesse, did you mean to also include an updated number here? ” on 2015-09-05
• EloiseRosen estimated 5% on 2015-09-07
• olivia estimated 4% on 2015-09-09
• silacoid estimated 1% and said “Not gonna happen :/” on 2015-09-10
• ada estimated 5% and said “Bless him, love Sanders, but no, he won’t be President.” on 2015-09-11
• Afforess estimated 3% and said “Wishful thinking.” on 2015-09-12
• techmech estimated 10% on 2015-09-13
• PseudonymousUser estimated 4% on 2015-09-13
• jesselevine estimated 50% and said “No, JoshuaZ. I stand by my prediction but respect the averaged lower. The basis for my prediction is that I’m seeing exclusive support for him in the republican state that I live in, and I think the demographic shift will influence here.” on 2015-09-14
• JoshuaZ said “Ah, so by wildly swinging you meant that everyone else was compared to you. Got it. ” on 2015-09-14
• PlacidPlatypus estimated 5% on 2015-09-14
• Raahul_Kumar estimated 0% and said “http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2015/images/09/10/demsclinton.pdf” on 2015-09-17
• PseudonymousUser estimated 11% on 2015-09-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 7% on 2015-09-24
• PseudonymousUser said “^Tsk tsk, fickle tapetum.” on 2015-09-24
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2015-10-23
• PseudonymousUser estimated 3% on 2015-11-29
• JoshuaZ estimated 4% on 2015-11-30
• PseudonymousUser estimated 6% on 2015-12-26
• NathanMcKnight estimated 8% on 2016-01-26
• jesselevine estimated 10% on 2016-01-27
• jesselevine estimated 70% and said “GOP falling apart, possible brokered convention, unignorable constitutional hypocrisy RE: SCOTUS, possible Hillary indictment, polititfact’s Trump file, ” on 2016-02-18
• PseudonymousUser said “If you’re really 70% you can probably make a lot of money on https://www.predictious.com/politics/us-presidential-election-2016/bernie-sanders” on 2016-02-19
• JoshuaZ said “And https://www.predictit.org/Contract/733/Will-Bernie-Sanders-win-the-2016-US-presidential-election#data which is probably easier to use. ” on 2016-02-20
• themusicgod1 estimated 28% on 2016-04-11
• jesselevine said “My prediction is a combination of my prediction that Sanders will be the eventual nominee, and whoever the dem nominee is will win the race simply on behalf of the national polls numbers as they has existed over the last 12 months” on 2016-04-11
• jesselevine estimated 9% on 2016-04-27
• JoshuaZ estimated 3% on 2016-04-27
• Afforess   judged this prediction wrong on 2016-10-06.