“Microsoft will be have the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company in the world by 2015.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2015-01-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-04.

• gwern estimated 2% on 2010-07-30
• gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/127” on 2010-07-30
• dakyne estimated 1% and said “No way—AAPL is already larger, and XOM will remain bigger.” on 2010-07-30
• sucrenoir judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-04.
• JoshuaZ judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-04.
• JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-11-04

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