“Microsoft will be have the largest market capitalization of any publicly traded company in the world by 2015.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2015-01-01; judged wrong by bobpage on 2015-01-01.

  • gwern estimated 2% on 2010-07-30
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/127on 2010-07-30
  • dakyne estimated 1% and said “No way—AAPL is already larger, and XOM will remain bigger.on 2010-07-30
  • sucrenoir  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-11-04.
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-11-04.
  • JoshuaZ estimated 2% on 2011-11-04
  • bobpage said “AAPL 647.36B, MSFT 382.88Bon 2015-01-01
  • bobpage  judged this prediction wrong on 2015-01-01.

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