“Microsoft will no longer have the majority market share in 24 months” —Beth Lynn Eicher

Created by gwern on 2010-08-03; known on 2011-07-07; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-07-07.

• gwern estimated 20% on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “http://bethlynn.livejournal.com/34934.html MS majority share in ‘desktops and laptops’ as well as ‘Office’. MS needs to lose both” on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “http://bethlynn.livejournal.com/34757.html” on 2010-08-03
• gwern said “http://wrongtomorrow.com/prediction/id/320” on 2010-08-03
• gimpf estimated 1% on 2010-12-12
• JoshuaZ estimated 20% on 2011-05-24
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2011-07-07.