'75% probability of [eyewear computing] being mainstream, or at least not unusual, by 2020.' —orangecat

Created by gwern on 2011-01-07; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-08.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2011-01-07
• gwern said “http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/3a8m” on 2011-01-07
• gwern said “eyewear computing examples: http://lesswrong.com/lw/3kz/new_years_predictions_thread_2011/39lc” on 2011-01-07
• gimpf estimated 60% on 2011-01-09
• kallman estimated 25% and said “I don’t think a HUD is legitimately practical – motion sickness and eyestrain. I’d almost vote higher for a tricorder.” on 2011-01-10
• PseudonymousUser estimated 35% on 2011-01-21
• PseudonymousUser estimated 70% and said “Apple and Google are working on this: https://encrypted.google.com/search?q=apple+OR+google+eyewear+computing&btnG=Search&hl=en&source=hp&biw=&bih=&gbv=1” on 2012-01-04
• themusicgod1 estimated 36% on 2016-10-07
• Athrithalix estimated 14% on 2018-02-22
• pranomostro estimated 10% on 2019-01-08
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction wrong on 2020-01-08.