Barack Obama will be reelected in the next US election.

Created by DavidPercival on 2011-05-20; known on 2012-11-06; judged right by HonoreDB on 2012-11-07.

• DavidPercival estimated 40% on 2011-05-20
• DavidPercival on 2011-05-20
• gwern said “dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1243 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/452 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1737” on 2011-05-22
• Mel Eclarinal estimated 50% on 2011-05-26
• Sandra Åhlén estimated 75% on 2011-05-26
• HonoreDB   judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.