Barack Obama will be reelected in the next US election.
- DavidPercival estimated 40% on 2011-05-20
- gwern said “dupe: http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1243 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/452 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/1737” on 2011-05-22
- Mel Eclarinal estimated 50% on 2011-05-26
- Sandra Åhlén estimated 75% on 2011-05-26
- DavidPercival changed their prediction from “Barack Obama will be relected in the nexy US election.” on 2012-11-06
- HonoreDB judged this prediction right on 2012-11-07.
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