Eliezer Yudkowsky has never read a book written by Andrea Dworkin. ( 76% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by tedks on 2014-01-08; known on 2014-01-08.

E.T. will win at least 1 tennis match by the end of 2013 ( 15% confidence )

Created by Michal on 2013-09-07; known on 2013-12-31.

McDonald's McResource Line website will remove its advice to employees to sell unwanted Christmas presents within 30 days. ( 60% confidence; 6 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-11-20; known on 2013-12-20.

Russia will have a military campaign against Chechen rebels to indicate a sign of strength & make a statement. ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by WSykes on 2013-12-30; known on 2013-01-03.