The Biden administration officially claims that China has provided military assistance to Russia for its invasion in Ukraine ( 30% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-14; known about 13 hours ago.

The U.S. will go to war (>20,000 new troop deployment) before the end of Biden/Harris' first term. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JohnGreer on 2021-01-22; known about 13 hours ago.

Kushner to remain in the White House for the entire duration of Trump's presidency ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-04-12; known about 13 hours ago.

Independent of the next elected president of the United States, there will not exist a wall along the 1,954 mile border shared with Mexico within 8 years of inauguration. ( 74% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-13; known about 13 hours ago.

Lab-cultured red protein that emulates beef will become commonplace, and sold in typical grocery stores, *by 2025*. ( 29% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by sungk2048 on 2020-01-18; known 1 day ago.

[Personal] I will get a cat (more likely a pair of buddies) before 2025. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sungk2048 on 2020-01-18; known 1 day ago.

Intel will revolutionize computing by placing the first artificial quantum computer chip on the maket by 2025. ( 10% confidence; 14 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known 5 days ago.

The helical engine works ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by wizzwizz4 on 2019-10-15; known 5 days ago.

There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known 5 days ago.

Consensus will be that electron neutrinos have imaginary mass 2025. ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-27; known 5 days ago.

Screens will not be the primary form of interface with mobile devices by 2025 ( 16% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2012-03-24; known 5 days ago.

Some modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes. ( 17% confidence; 16 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Jennifer on 2009-10-19; known 9 days ago.

SPR below 341M by end of 2024 ( 90% confidence )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-07-02; known 11 days ago.

I will be a teetotaler for the entire period between now and 2025-01-01 ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by btrettel on 2015-07-12; known 18 days ago.

I will publically convert to Roman Catholicism before 2025. ( 1% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known 18 days ago.

5-sigma evidence of neutrinoless double beta decay by January 1, 2025 ( 52% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-26; known 19 days ago.

Marijuana will be unscheduled, taxed and regulated similar to alcohol at a federal level in the United States before 2025. ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-01-01; known 19 days ago.

One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse. ( 58% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known 19 days ago.

By 2025, proven that there exist infinitely many primes p and q with |p-q| < 200. ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-09-30; known 19 days ago.

I will meditate for at least 1 hour (total) each month in a 1-year period before 2025 ( 70% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-22; known 19 days ago.

“age of onset of 12 years” will be removed from DSM-V diagnosis criteria for ADD/ADHD by the time DSM-VI comes out ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known 19 days ago.

Google's decision to remove support for third-party cookies in Chrome will be ruled an antitrust violation in the United States before 2025. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-01-17; known 19 days ago.

By 2025, China's yuan will be backed by gold. ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by danpop on 2016-03-11; known 19 days ago.

By 2025, 20% of all US driving miles to be by self-driving cars. ( 29% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-25; known 19 days ago.

firefox will add back built-in support for RSS feeds by 2025 ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by finback on 2020-08-14; known 19 days ago.

I will publically convert to Buddhism before 2025. ( 0% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known 19 days ago.

I will publically convert to Islam before 2025. ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known 19 days ago.

Current Illinois governor Bruce Rauner will be found guilty of any illegal crime ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-17; known 19 days ago.

github.com will be hacked on a large scale (more than a few user accounts) before 2025-01-01 ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-02; known 19 days ago.

By 2025, “solar energy will cost half or less of what fossil-fuel-based alternatives do” – Vivek Wadhwa ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-15; known 19 days ago.

TSLA price drops below $25 before 2025 ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital on 2021-07-26; known 19 days ago.

No new American bootprints on the moon by the end of Calendar Year 2024. ( 86% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2019-06-01; known 19 days ago.

A working brain-to-brain direct communication interface will be demonstrated in human clinical trials by 2025. ( 41% confidence; 10 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known 20 days ago.

The United States drug scheduling system will be dramatically revised by 2025. ( 27% confidence; 8 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known 20 days ago.

By 2025, the remains of several prehistoric human settlements will be discovered underwater by archaeologists. ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known 20 days ago.

Ecstasy (MDMA) will be legalized for prescription use in the U.S. by 2025. ( 26% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-11; known 20 days ago.

By 2025, more motor vehicle engines will be manufactured using “3D printing” technology than by any conventional manufacturing process. ( 16% confidence; 10 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known 20 days ago.

The United States will contain less than 50 states by 2025. ( 9% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known 20 days ago.

The United States will contain more than 50 states by 2025. ( 30% confidence; 19 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known 20 days ago.

By 2025, water vapor will be detected in the atmosphere of at least one free-floating “rogue planet”. ( 37% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known 20 days ago.

“The concept of time as a linear dimension will be replaced by one of time as a polarity between content and context.” ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known 20 days ago.

By 2025, the general consensus will be that the US federal government orchestrated the 9/11 attacks. ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-02; known 20 days ago.

By 2025, there will be no 28th Amendment to the Constitution of the USA ( 64% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known 20 days ago.

By 2025, the GOP's current libertarian/conservative coalition will no longer be united under one party. ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known 20 days ago.

Google Nexus tablets survive longer than Microsoft Surface tablets as a business ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-03; known 20 days ago.

“By 2025, at least 25 of the 30 stocks currently in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be dropped from the index and replaced with other companies.” ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known 20 days ago.

“By 2025, Stellar nucleosynthesis will no longer be considered as the main source of heat and light of stars by a majority of scientists.” ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known 20 days ago.

“By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model.” ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known 20 days ago.

“By 2025, The giant impact hypothesis will no longer be the dominant scientific hypothesis for the formation of the Moon.” ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known 20 days ago.