I will do a postgrad degree in philosophy in 2017-18 ( 31% confidence )

Created by RoryS on 2016-04-19; known on 2017-09-20.

I will do a postgrad degree in anthropology in 2017-18 ( 8% confidence )

Created by RoryS on 2016-04-19; known on 2017-09-20.

I will launch a landing page for onashirt in the next 6 months ( 60% confidence )

Created by mala on 2017-03-20; known on 2017-09-20.

Investor, producer or high-ranking internal official of Game of Thrones staff blames shorter season on piracy. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by shm on 2017-05-24; known on 2017-08-27.

Matt will have submitted his app to the store by August 15. ( 50% confidence )

Created by cmessinger on 2017-07-23; known on 2017-08-15.

There is a YMCA in San Francisco with a gender neutral changing room. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Somni on 2017-05-10; known on 2017-08-10.

I have illness ( 50% confidence )

Created by cml5814 on 2017-08-02; known on 2017-08-09.

Parents will find a reasonn to hate their new neighborhood (in East Layton) within 3 years ( 15% confidence )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-02; known on 2017-08-02.

Obamacare repeal on Jan 11/12, 2017 that occurred defeated before it goes into effect ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-12; known on 2017-07-01.

Serei has smaller boobs than SynapticWanderer. (it makes about as much sense in context okay???) ( 78% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Somni on 2017-06-18; known on 2017-06-25.

Anita Sarkeesian has read the Qur'an ( 49% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-06-08; known on 2017-06-09.

Swift will be a more popular choice than Rust for writing REST APIs ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by workbean on 2016-01-01; known on 2017-06-01.

QRVO loses share on the iPhone ( 31% confidence )

Created by Temeraire on 2017-01-28; known on 2017-06-01.

QRVO gains share on the iPhone ( 35% confidence )

Created by Temeraire on 2017-01-28; known on 2017-06-01.

TTC makes its goal of 7$M more from metropass users in 2016. ( 60% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-02-22; known on 2017-06-01.

I'll finish reading a book by the end of the month. ( 75% confidence )

Created by eusmagnus7 on 2017-05-19; known on 2017-06-01.

If North Korea has another underground nuclear explosion, it will result in an earthquake in the nearby Pacific rim. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Tommy on 2017-05-01; known on 2017-05-01.

Within 3 years one of the Ariel Castro victims will be on Dancing With The Stars – Joan Rivers ( 3% confidence )

Created by nsavir on 2014-04-24; known on 2017-04-23.

The Great Barrier Reef will be 90 % bleached by 2025. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by nortil on 2017-04-10; known on 2017-04-10.

Tom Brady only plays for 2 more years ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by clutetc on 2017-04-07; known on 2017-04-07.

Tablet market continues to decline for at least 2 of the next 4 fiscal quarters. ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jesselevine on 2016-03-25; known on 2017-03-25.

fradi will win the derby ( 75% confidence )

Created by tieics on 2017-03-04; known on 2017-03-04.

CFIB comes out against mill rate increase in regina budget ( 51% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-12; known on 2017-02-28.

Higher pressure on unions due to higher pressure on professors in canada (in 2015.) ( 68% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2017-01-08.

increased tuition in canada causes increased stress on professors (contributing cause) (2015) ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2015-12-11; known on 2017-01-02.

Cause Prioritization Wiki to have 500 pageviews per day by end of 2016 ( 25% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-09-02; known on 2017-01-01.

Supreme Court strikes down Texas abortion law. ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-05; known on 2017-01-01.

At some point next year I will publicly declare myself to be a furry. ( 20% confidence )

Created by rebellionkid on 2014-12-11; known on 2017-01-01.

Starcraft 2: Heart of the Swarm to be on sale for under $20 on any day during 2016 ( 55% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2017-01-01.

Age of Empires II HD: The African Kingdoms will be on sale for under $3 on any day during 2016 ( 55% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2017-01-01.

2015-2016 El Nino to be stronger than 1997-1998 El Nino ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2017-01-01.

None of the hackathon (Consensus 2016) winners include a threat model as part of their entry. ( 58% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-25; known on 2017-01-01.

Rand Paul to do IAmA by 2016 ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-28; known on 2017-01-01.

Supreme Court strikes down Texas abortion law in 6-2 split. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-05; known on 2017-01-01.

Real ID act goes into phase iv, DHS REALID system forces all states to participate or bans citizens of them from international travel ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-03-02; known on 2017-01-01.

Supreme Court strikes down Texas abortion law in 5-3 split. ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-03-05; known on 2017-01-01.

At least one Dutch citizen will be penalized for downloading/spreading copyrighted material using a P2P system using a device located in the Netherlands before the end of 2016. A case started before 2017, but finished in the year 2017 counts as well. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by akrasib on 2015-10-22; known on 2017-01-01.

Difference in average math score on SAT for males and females in 2016 will be less or equal than 10 points. Background: http://freakonomics.com/podcast/gender-barriers/ ( 40% confidence )

Created by rationalnoodles on 2016-07-23; known on 2017-01-01.

Rossiya's real GDP growth for 2016 will be at least 0.7% for full year. ( 76% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-12; known on 2016-12-31.

The SNIFF trial of nasal insulin will show a statistically significant improvement in ADAS-Cog scores OR memory composite OR ADCS-ADL (i.e., this will be reported by the study investigators). ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Porejide on 2015-11-26; known on 2016-12-31.

The SNIFF trial of nasal insulin for AD will NOT show a statistically significant improvement in CSF Abeta or CSF Abeta/tau ratio over time (i.e., these will NOT be reported as significant by the study investigators). ( 75% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Porejide on 2015-11-26; known on 2016-12-31.

RBI estimates Bharat's current account deficit at 1.5% in FY16. ( 95% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-06; known on 2016-12-31.

Contingent on his winning the nomination, Rand Paul will make double digit gains over John McCain among minority voters. ( 60% confidence )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2013-10-18; known on 2016-12-31.

Graphnano's bat wont be a bluff ( 69% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by artir on 2016-03-08; known on 2016-12-31.

There'll be less gridlock in Obama's second term vs. the first term (measured by total number of filibusters) ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07; known on 2016-12-31.

Romney will publicly embrace Romneycare before end of Obama term ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07; known on 2016-12-31.

Jonathan Ives will be viewed as a flop as iphone, ipad head (as judged by hindsight in 2016) ( 65% confidence )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-06; known on 2016-12-31.

If Obama wins, then before end of his term, Fox News will have one of the top 3 liberal news shows. ( 65% confidence; 6 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-01; known on 2016-12-31.