Unjudged Predictions
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I think I will get an A in geosci ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by bruh on 2015-11-09; known on 2015-12-16.
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Score at least 150 on a PLSAT ( 90% confidence )
Created by memoriesofbutter on 2015-10-16; known on 2015-12-16.
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My friend will reconnect and make plans with a love interest. ( 62% confidence )
Created by Neon on 2015-11-23; known on 2015-12-01.
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Vamos ter uma v0 do dash até começo de dezembro ( 60% confidence )
Created by juliomarcos on 2015-08-05; known on 2015-12-01.
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Toronto's condo market will tank in 2015. ( 25% confidence )
Created by realityriot on 2015-01-14; known on 2015-11-16.
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Coin landing on eads ( 50% confidence )
Created by philvier on 2015-11-10; known on 2015-11-10.
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That in 11 hours it will be 14:20 EST. ( 100% confidence )
Created by pjg5172 on 2015-11-09; known on 2015-11-09.
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Dave Strider (Alpha timeline, from Beta universe) will die a permanent death by the conclusion of Homestuck ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ChairmanMeow on 2013-10-31; known on 2015-10-31.
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SR: The FBI/government will gain control in any way of DPR's ~฿600,000 within 2 years. ( 31% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by gwern on 2013-10-04; known on 2015-10-04.
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Staock market will finish down for the year ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by jaaksbus on 2015-10-02; known on 2015-10-04.
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The fanfiction “Hogwarts School of Prayer and Miracles” will be revealed as satire/parody within one year. ( 90% confidence )
Created by sigmaleph on 2014-09-23; known on 2015-09-23.
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Dollar will go to 66c ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Christine on 2015-01-15; known on 2015-09-16.
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The winner of the 2015 ImageNet challenge will have a error rate between 2-3%. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by FractalHeretic on 2015-04-18; known on 2015-09-15.
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Obamacare will survive, but might get changed around the edges by court challenges. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by stephen on 2015-09-11; known on 2015-09-11.
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This prediction won't have a confidence rate between any interval of length 10 I predict in this prediction within 15 days. Let's say for example 85-95 ( 100% confidence )
Created by damaru on 2015-08-15; known on 2015-08-30.
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Raccoons will show up between 8/20/2015 and 8/27/2015 and destroy more of my water lilies. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by ialdabaoth on 2015-08-21; known on 2015-08-28.
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Hover and Anna will argue less often than average family in the similar conditions ( 75% confidence )
Created by varman on 2014-08-09; known on 2015-08-09.
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Dodger will not move out f GHTT ( 80% confidence )
Created by brian1314 on 2015-07-29; known on 2015-08-07.
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I'll be programming for Android OS within a year ( 60% confidence )
Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-08-03.
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Escribiré al menos dos historias cortas ( 60% confidence )
Created by acradis on 2015-07-25; known on 2015-08-01.
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Veré 6 películas en una semana ( 80% confidence )
Created by acradis on 2015-07-25; known on 2015-08-01.
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Use of prediction tracking software will increase prediction accuracy over a 9 month period ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by msevrens on 2014-10-28; known on 2015-07-28.
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I will be going out with a girl next year. ( 8% confidence )
Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-07-02.
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Rondo will end up with more career playoff triple doubles than Larry Bird (he'll pass Bird by 2015) ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-05-13; known on 2015-07-01.
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Conditional on me feeling I have sufficient information to make a basic judgement, he had a fracture/partial break in his hand ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-23; known on 2015-05-29.
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Conditional on me feeling I have sufficient information to make a basic judgement, he had a complete break in his hand ( 14% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-05-23; known on 2015-05-29.
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I will maintain my GPA above a 3.6 overall average this semester. ( 90% confidence )
Created by woodse on 2015-01-15; known on 2015-05-20.
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In the next two minutes, a person will die. ( 100% confidence )
Created by joustthetwoofus on 2015-05-04; known on 2015-05-04.
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I will have a date in the next two weeks ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by dmai9600@yahoo.com on 2015-04-19; known on 2015-05-02.
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He hears from her by midnight tonight ( 68% confidence )
Created by EagleEye on 2015-05-01; known on 2015-05-02.
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I will be over this by May 1st ( 80% confidence )
Created by dmai9600@yahoo.com on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-05-01.
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Actual “Anki” google trend level in the period a year from now (May2014 – April 2015) would mostly surpass the current forecast for the next year : http://i59.tinypic.com/2uf4qvr.jpg ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Neznans on 2014-04-28; known on 2015-04-01.
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Steam user http://steamcommunity.com/profiles/76561197973910513/ will be VAC banned for cheating by 2015 Feb 1 ( 95% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by assmaster on 2014-10-19; known on 2015-04-01.
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I will find a job before March 15th 2015 ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Ruthie on 2015-01-20; known on 2015-03-16.
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HP MOR : The source of magic stores “souls” (brain states) long term and is able to simulate them ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by claz on 2015-01-25; known on 2015-03-16.
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HPMOR : the resurrection stone can bring back a sentient but not controllable ghost from dna tissue ( or simply human remains ) ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by claz on 2015-01-25; known on 2015-03-16.
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Unipäiväkirja huomenna ( 70% confidence )
Created by 19283123 on 2015-03-09; known on 2015-03-10.
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Harry Potter is the Master of Death, in the sense of magically owning all three Deathly Hallows. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by linkhyrule5 on 2015-02-21; known on 2015-03-07.
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Gordon Brown has unambiguously brown eyes ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-03-05; known on 2015-03-05.
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Moving ahead ( 100% confidence )
Created by kuttypa on 2015-02-15; known on 2015-02-15; judged unknown by kuttypa on 2015-02-15.
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If I repeat IGE, and other allergy tests I took previously at EMC, a week after finishing the Chinese medicine I got, the classification of my reaction to something won't change. I will still need to take antihistamine 1-2 times a day. ( 94% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by 11kilobytes on 2015-01-12; known on 2015-02-13.
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I will figure out what being transgender means by my 26th birthday. ( 20% confidence )
Created by ZLM on 2014-02-11; known on 2015-01-30.
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I will be alive on my 26th birthday. ( 97% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by ZLM on 2014-02-11; known on 2015-01-30.
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Conditional on being able to find credible source, Anna Wise >= 26 years old wrt common parlance ( 54% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-01-22; known on 2015-01-22.
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Most Senate Dems outperform RCP average by more than 1%. ( 75% confidence )
Created by NathanMcKnight on 2014-10-20; known on 2015-01-16.
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Ebola won't spread in the American continent in the upcoming years ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Caio on 2015-01-13; known on 2015-01-14.
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Within 3 years, at least 3 manga English distributors will go out of business or stop publishing. ( 33% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by kiba on 2012-01-08; known on 2015-01-08.
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Created by ethaneshaw on 2015-01-06; known on 2015-01-06.
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I will not receive my college grades in the mail before I return from my vacation in 2015. ( 90% confidence )
Created by brightcloud on 2014-12-23; known on 2015-01-02.
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PubMed's comment system will have some form of human moderation before 2015. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-10-24; known on 2015-01-01.