California will receive a bailout from the Federal government in 2010.

Created by dakyne 4 months ago; known in 3 months; judged unknown by gwern 28 days ago.

• dakyne estimated 70% 4 months ago
• Houshalter estimated 99% against and said “I seriously doubt it.” 2 months ago
• JFE estimated 75% against 2 months ago
• gwern estimated 90% against and said “As Adam Smith said, “There is a great deal of ruin in a nation.” California has many tricks left yet to play.” about 1 month ago
• dakyne judged this prediction right 29 days ago.
• dakyne said “http://www.miamiherald.com/2010/08/11/1770897/california-to-get-25-billion-from.html” 29 days ago
• dakyne said “For those who want to dispute it’s a bailout: “bailing out bad management doesn’t improve it.”” 29 days ago
• gwern judged this prediction unknown 28 days ago.
• gwern said “And how is this different from the block grants and whatnot CA has gotten for decades? Usually bailout is something like assuming or guaranteeing debt…” 28 days ago
• dakyne said “at gwern, like I said, read the article, and my comments—it is unquestionably a bail out. This is an unprecedented bailout to save jobs.” 17 days ago
• gwern said “I did read it. Obviously. My comment stands – what is different from random block grants?” 17 days ago

Please log in to respond to or judge prediction