“Steve Jobs will be nominated for Presdident of the United States, by one of the two major political parties in 2012.”

Created by gwern on 2010-07-31; known on 2012-09-30; judged wrong by gwern on 2011-10-06.

  • gwern estimated 0% on 2010-07-31
  • gwern said “http://www.longbets.org/244on 2010-07-31
  • Larks estimated 0% on 2010-09-30
  • anonym estimated 0% on 2010-11-27
  • bobpage estimated 0% on 2011-01-21
  • Ken estimated 0% on 2011-09-12
  • gwern said “inasmuch as Jobs is dead, I’m closing this as wrong. there are probably rules against nominating the undead.on 2011-10-06
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-10-06.

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