'The final collapse of the European Union'

Created by gwern on 2011-06-07; known on 2040-01-01; judged unknown by JoshuaZ on 2011-06-18.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2011-06-07
  • gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2030-2039.htm#european-union-collapseon 2011-06-07
  • gwern said “too specific. such things never really die.on 2011-06-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2011-06-07
  • Saliency said “I predict that the EU will be around longer then predictionbook..on 2011-06-13
  • Saliency said “For a prediction to be useful it needs to have a sane exercise date. IMHO anything beyond 5 years is silly in this context.on 2011-06-13
  • TheScholar estimated 70% and said “I don’t believe the EU can (in the long run) counteract the growing intolerance and nationalism in most conservative parties.on 2011-06-16
  • niekjetten  judged this prediction wrong on 2011-06-18.
  • niekjetten said “Theresia is no Europeanen Union so it ca. not. Collapseon 2011-06-18
  • JoshuaZ  judged this prediction unknown on 2011-06-18.
  • JoshuaZ said “Niek, what are you talking about? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/European_Union among others would seem to disagree. on 2011-06-18
  • najdorf estimated 80% on 2013-02-06
  • Tuxedage estimated 30% on 2013-02-07
  • themusicgod1 estimated 53% on 2016-10-08
  • JoshuaZ estimated 31% on 2016-10-08

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