Ron Paul will win the electoral vote in the 2012 U.S. Presidential election

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2011-08-04; known on 2012-11-08; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

• PseudonymousUser estimated 2% on 2011-08-04
• PseudonymousUser said “a tie is not a win” on 2011-08-04
• gwern estimated 0% on 2011-08-04
• JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-08-04
• Nic_Smith estimated 2% and said “More or less following Intrade, which is currently at 2.4%” on 2011-08-04
• Obsi estimated 0% on 2011-08-07
• JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Updating. ” on 2012-05-27
• RandomThinker estimated 0% on 2012-05-27
• meisnewbie estimated 0% on 2012-05-29
• RandomThinker   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-11-07.