Ron Paul will win the electoral vote in the 2012 U.S. Presidential election

Created by bobpage on 2011-08-04; known on 2012-11-08; judged wrong by RandomThinker on 2012-11-07.

  • bobpage estimated 2% on 2011-08-04
  • bobpage said “a tie is not a winon 2011-08-04
  • gwern estimated 0% on 2011-08-04
  • JoshuaZ estimated 1% on 2011-08-04
  • Nic_Smith estimated 2% and said “More or less following Intrade, which is currently at 2.4%on 2011-08-04
  • Obsi estimated 0% on 2011-08-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 0% and said “Updating. on 2012-05-27
  • RandomThinker estimated 0% on 2012-05-27
  • meisnewbie estimated 0% on 2012-05-29
  • RandomThinker  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-11-07.

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