There will be a data loss incident (theft, accidental release, crash etc.) involving one billion personal records before 2019.

Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-12-31

  • Arenamontanus estimated 65% on 2009-10-14
  • im estimated 50% on 2009-10-15
  • anonym estimated 20% on 2009-10-18
  • gwern estimated 60% and said “hard to think of a company which has 1 billion+ peoples’ records and keeps them in a form which can be leaked. facebook? google?on 2010-10-19
  • themusicgod1 said “yahoo? 500 million people’s emails * 2 emails per person? Does 1 record = 1 person here or does 1 record mean 1 field ?on 2016-10-06

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