PredictionBook: Recent Predictions

Confidence	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%	100%	Total
Accuracy	50%	59%	67%	77%	88%	92%
Sample Size	11812	16505	16980	17616	31357	8046	102316

[Copa do Brasil – Round of 16 first leg] Palmeiras does not lose to América Mineiro ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-10.

[Copa do Brasil – Round of 16 first leg] Grêmio does not lose to Goiás ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-10.

[Copa do Brasil – Round of 16 first leg] Flamengo does not lose to Ponte Preta ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-11.

[Copa do Brasil – Round of 16 first leg] Bahia does not lose to Vasco da Gama ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-10.

[Copa do Brasil – Round of 16 first leg] Corinthians beats Vitória ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-11.

[Copa do Brasil – Round of 16 first leg] Santos FC beats Luverdense ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-11; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-11.

[La Liga – Round 34] Barcelona does not lose to Villareal ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-09; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-09.

[La Liga – Round 34] Real Madrid does not lose to Sevilla ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-09; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-09.

[Copa Sudamericana – First Stage Second leg] Atlético MG does not lose to San Lorenzo ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-09; known on 2018-05-09; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-09.

[Coupe de France – Final] Paris SG does not lose to Les Herbiers ( 95% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Ross County does not lose to Dundee FC ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Hamilton beats St Johnstone ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Motherwell does not lose to Partick Thistle ( 60% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Aberdeen does not lose to Rangers ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Premier League – Round 37] Swansea City does not lose to Southampton ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Chapecoense does not lose to Paraná ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Serie A Ecuador – Round 12 ] El Nacional beats Técnico Universitario ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] River Plate does not lose to Colón ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-09; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Banfield beats Chacarita ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-09; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] Paços de Ferreira does not lose to Rio Ave ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Semi-final first leg] Dundee United beats Livingston ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[La Liga 2 – Round 38] Granada does not lose to Rayo Vallecano ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Serie B – Round 40] – Empoli FC does not lose to Cremonese ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Primera Chile – Round 12] Colo Colo does not lose to Everton Viña del Mar ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] Junior Barranquilla does not lose to Jaguares Córdoba ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] America Cali does not lose to Deportivo La Equidad ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] Atlético Nacional does not lose to Leones FC ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] Santa Fe does not lose to Millonarios ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga MX – Clausura QF second leg ] Santos Laguna does not lose to Tigres ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Sport Recife beats Bahia ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Grêmio does not lose to Santos ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

BH will fail to add himself to his “publicly visible wall of shame for a five year period” over breaking a rental agreement. ( 95% confidence )

Created by seriouslykernelwtf on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-10-16.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36] Marseille does not lose to Nice ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Flamengo beats Internacional ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Vitória does not lose to Fluminense ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Palmeiras does not lose to Atlético PR ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Cruzeiro does not lose to Botafogo ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] AS Roma does not lose to Cagliari ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Independiente beats Gimnasia LP ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] Chaves does not lose to Marítimo ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] FC Porto does not lose to Feirense ( 100% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Segunda Liga – Round 37] Oliveirense does not lose to Leixões ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Segunda Liga – Round 37] Santa Clara beats Real SC ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] Sampdoria does not lose to Sassuolo ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36] Rennes does not lose to Strasbourg ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Segunda Liga – Round 37] Sporting B does not lose to Guimarães B ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Nantes and Montpellier draw ( 60% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Toulouse beats Lille ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Metz beats Angers ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Monaco beats Caen ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] Estoril beats Vitória Setúbal ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] Moreirense does not lose to Desportivo Aves ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Süper Lig – Round 32] Fenerbahçe does not lose to Bursaspor ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[La Liga – Round 36] Atlético Madrid beats Espanyol ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] Chievo does not lose to Crotone ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] Lazio does not lose to Atalanta ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] Napoli beats Torino FC ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] Genoa does not lose to Fiorentina ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] SPAL does not lose to Benevento ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

Donald Trump will renew the Iran deal on May 12. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-13; judged wrong by davatk on 2018-05-08.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Boca Juniors beats Unión Santa Fe ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Estudiantes LP does not lose to Racing Club ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Portuguese Primeira Liga – Round 33] Sporting CP does not lose to SL Benfica ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

If Saudi Aramco has a 2018 foreign IPO, the company's implied valuation will be less than $2 trillion. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-01-02.

Saudi Aramco will have an IPO at a non-Saudi bourse in 2018. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

Cocoa will reach $3000/ton in 2018. ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

Brent crude will reach $100 in 2018. ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

OMX Tallinn will stay above 1000 for 2018. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by Cato on 2019-01-02.

Nunes will beat Pennington at UFC 224. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-13; judged right by Cato on 2018-05-13.

I will read 100 books in 2018. ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-02.

Taiwan will declare independence in 2018. ( 1% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-01.

The US yield curve will invert in 2018, i.e., the 10y yield will fall below the 1y yield. ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-01-02.

Donald Trump and Kim Jong Un will meet in 2018. ( 78% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by avi on 2018-06-12.

Over the next five years, the Boston Celtics will win more regular season games than the Philadelphia 76ers. ( 44% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by davatk on 2018-05-06; known on 2023-05-01.

[Italian Serie A – Round 36] Juventus beats Bologna ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Italian Serie A – Round 36] AC Milan beats Hellas Verona ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Russian Premier League] Spartak Moscow beats Rostov ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Werder Bremen does not lose to Bayer Leverkusen ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Hannover 96 and Hertha Berlin draw ( 60% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Eintracth Frankfurt beats Hamburger SV ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Stuttgart beats Hoffenheim ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Schalke 04 beats Augsburg ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Borussia Mönchengladbach beats Freiburg ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Bayen Munich beats FC Köln ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] RB Leipzig beats Wolfsburg ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Bundesliga – Round 33] Borussia Dortmund beats Mainz 05 ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-05; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[La Liga – Round 36] Athletic Bilbao does not lose to Real Betis ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[La Liga – Round 36] Girona and Eibar draw ( 60% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[La Liga – Round 36] Celta Vigo beats Deportivo ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[La Liga – Round 36] Alavés does not lose to Málaga ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[La Liga – Round 36] Villareal beats Valencia ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[La Liga – Round 36] Getafe does not lose to Las Palmas ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[La Liga – Round 36] Barcelona beats Real Madrid ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[La Liga – Round 36] Leganés beats Levante ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Premier League – Round 37] Leicester City beats West Ham ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Premier League – Round 37] Manchester City beats Huddersfield Town ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Premier League – Round 37] Bournemouth does not lose to Swansea ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Premier League – Round 37] Arsenal beats Burnley ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Premier League – Round 37] Watford does not lose to Newcastle ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

[Premier League – Round 37] Stoke City beats Crystal Palace ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-05.

Statistics

Recent Predictions