Teleportation of simple molecules by 2018

Created by gwern on 2010-10-07; known on 2018-01-01; judged wrong by gwern on 2018-01-08.

• gwern estimated 40% on 2010-10-07
• gwern said “http://www.futuretimeline.net/21stcentury/2010-2019.htm#teleportation” on 2010-10-07
• Jack said “So the citation for this appears to be http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=-FqLCLooayM Michio Kaku has become a parody of himself. NO IT IS NOT LIKE STAR TREK.” on 2010-10-10
• TheScholar estimated 1% on 2010-10-18
• JoshuaZ said “Teleportation in what sense? http://xkcd.com/465/” on 2011-11-17
• Grognor estimated 16% on 2011-12-06
• benwr estimated 3% on 2015-01-11
• themusicgod1 estimated 30% on 2016-07-09
• gwern said “https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Quantum_teleportation#Experimental_results_and_records looks like no: only gas clouds, which aren’t simple molecules” on 2018-01-08
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2018-01-08.