By 2100 it's obvious to the average human that (1) Global warming is true and (2) it's actually a good thing: Resulting in a better climate then we have had in recorded history. A stable Wet-Sahara/Warm-Siberia/No Rainforest scenario.

Created by TheScholar on 2010-10-17; known on 2100-01-01

  • TheScholar estimated 75% on 2010-10-17
  • TheScholar changed their prediction from “By 2100 it's obvious to the average human that (1) Global warming true and (2) it's actually a good thing: Resulting in a better climate then we have had in recorded history. A stable Wet-Sahara/Warm-Siberia/No Rainforest scenario.” on 2010-10-17
  • gwern estimated 60% on 2010-10-17
  • kallman estimated 60% and said “Hate to be in support of killing millions of lifeforms with habitat destruction… but what’s new, I guess.on 2010-11-20
  • TheScholar estimated 80% and said “Change is normal on this planet, nearly all life forms will adapt, some will disappear, some new variations will emerge. This has all happened before…on 2010-11-29
  • Nic_Smith estimated 10% and said “My estimate of the probability that such a thing is obvious to the average human in 2100, not my estimate that it’s actually true (somewhat higher)on 2010-12-01
  • Nic_Smith said “Also, how does this claim address EMs/uploads, etc?on 2010-12-01
  • TheScholar estimated 85% on 2011-03-17
  • JoshuaZ estimated 15% on 2011-05-26
  • themusicgod1 estimated 38% and said “the survivors probably have some inkling that the situation was to their benefit, since they were the ones who survived i supposeon 2016-10-07
  • JoshuaZ estimated 22% and said “Updating per themusicgod1’s reasoning. on 2016-10-07

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