The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2025

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-17; known on 2026-01-01

• JoshuaZ estimated 25% on 2011-11-17
• JoshuaZ said “Spreading out expected timeline in context of http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2729” on 2011-11-17
• Harbinger1 estimated 60% and said “New technologies will make it possible.” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav estimated 50% on 2011-11-17
• gwern estimated 20% and said “what new techs? a space elevator? going to the moon is energetically expensive; it’s like, what, an order more energy than LEO or wherever virgin is aimed at” on 2011-11-17
• Anubhav said “Don’t know about Harbinger, but I seem to be relying on Kurzweil’s predictions of cheap energy far too often. ” on 2011-11-18
• faws estimated 14% on 2011-11-18
• kilobug estimated 10% and said “Not so soon.” on 2011-11-18
• Porejide estimated 30% on 2011-11-22
• Pablo estimated 25% on 2012-10-01
• themusicgod1 estimated 47% on 2016-10-09
• JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2016-10-10
• pranomostro estimated 5% on 2018-12-20
• JoshuaZ estimated 18% on 2018-12-20
• deleteyourbrain estimated 100% on 2019-04-26
• JoshuaZ estimated 17% on 2019-04-26
• Baeboo estimated 17% on 2019-04-27