Planetary Resources won't be mining asteroids by 2020

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-04-25; known on 2020-01-01; judged right by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

• RandomThinker estimated 90% on 2012-04-25
• RandomThinker said “They claim to be up and running in 2 years! http://www.slashgear.com/planetary-resources-asteroid-mining-made-a-reality-24224482/ ” on 2012-04-25
• RandomThinker changed their prediction from “We won't be mining asteroids by 2020” on 2012-04-25
• JoshuaZ estimated 75% on 2012-04-25
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 90% on 2012-04-25
• gwern said “what’s ‘mining’? I assume not rocks splashing down in the sahara” on 2012-04-26
• RandomThinker said “@gwern any form of mining that actually involves asteroids and getting mineral output that’s sellable in some volume” on 2012-04-26
• Emanuel Rylke estimated 98% on 2012-04-30
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 80% on 2012-05-01
• gimpf estimated 95% on 2012-05-05
• Isaac estimated 80% on 2012-05-07
• PseudonymousUser estimated 99% and said “http://www.planetaryresources.com/news/ I don’t see anything substantial” on 2016-10-06
• themusicgod1 estimated 50% on 2016-10-10
• telegrafista estimated 88% on 2019-02-14
• Bruno Parga   judged this prediction right on 2020-01-01.