UK politics: Boris Johnson returns to May's cabinet in the next month ( 30% confidence )

Created by splorridge on 2018-07-10; known 9 days ago; judged wrong by bm 2 days ago.

My relationship with my girlfriend lasts at least until the end of 2018 ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by avi on 2018-06-12; known on 2019-01-01; judged wrong by avi 6 days ago.

In the next 3 years, someone will use goodai.com's AI framework to build an AI that will be dangerous and/or powerful enough that the US government will acknowledge it as a major problem. ( 10% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by timujin on 2015-07-09; known on 2018-07-09; judged wrong by moyamo 8 days ago.

Politics, US – An additional state after Illinois ratifies the Equal Rights Amendment by the end of July 2018. ( 28% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-08; known 18 days ago; judged wrong by jbeshir 8 days ago.

Business, UK – Northern restores all cancelled daily rail services by the end of the 1st of August 2018. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-02; known 18 days ago; judged wrong by jbeshir 8 days ago.

Personal – I eliminate chicken meat from my diet for almost all my meals made either by myself (including instant meals) or by a restaurant or takeaway by June 2018. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-07-16; judged wrong by jbeshir 8 days ago.

Personal – I eliminate chicken meat from my diet for almost all my meals made either by myself (including instant meals) or by a restaurant or takeaway by June 2018. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-05-29; known on 2018-07-16; judged wrong by jbeshir 8 days ago.

Politics, US – A bill restoring the DACA programme is voted on by the House of Representatives before the end of June 2018. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-05-12; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by jbeshir 8 days ago.

Politics, UK – Bill specifically illegalising upskirting passes the House of Commons before the end of July 2018. ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-16; known 18 days ago; judged wrong by jbeshir 8 days ago.

At least one of the Mercury astronauts to become a centenarian ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2021-08-01; judged wrong by JoshuaZ 16 days ago.

shafer wins lt gov primary ( 90% confidence )

Created by elephantower 21 days ago; known 20 days ago; judged wrong by elephantower 21 days ago.

david kim wins primary in ga-07 ( 30% confidence )

Created by elephantower on 2018-07-19; known 24 days ago; judged wrong by elephantower 21 days ago.

HP MoR: Harry will, at some point in the story or an epilogue, literally tear apart stars (for star lifting purposes perhaps), and this is what the “tear apart the very stars in heaven” phrase in the prophecy was referring to. ( 62% confidence; 14 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by ygert on 2013-07-28; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by ygert 24 days ago.

UK Politics: Another cabinet resignation this week ( 56% confidence )

Created by splorridge on 2018-07-10; known on 2018-07-15; judged wrong by splorridge 25 days ago.

I am currently doing the “Convict Conditioning” training program. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by quatrefoil on 2017-07-26; known 29 days ago; judged wrong by quatrefoil 28 days ago.

Kawhi Leonard will be on the Spurs as of September 2019 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by davatk on 2018-04-24; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by davatk on 2018-07-19.

dc min wage referendum passes ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by elephantower on 2018-07-17; known on 2018-07-17; judged wrong by elephantower on 2018-07-17.

I will be appointed and enlisted into the Australian military by the end of the year ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by arun on 2018-01-01; known on 2018-12-31; judged wrong by arun on 2018-07-16.

Germany to win the World Cup ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-20; known on 2019-07-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-07-16.

Iran to win the World Cup ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-20; known on 2018-07-16; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-07-16.

Iran to formally exit JCPOA in 2018 H1 ( 30% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-20; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-07-16.

Scotland & Canada are one country on July 15th, 2018 ( 1% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by ioannes on 2017-04-20; known on 2018-07-15; judged wrong by ioannes on 2018-07-15.

Politics, US – Former FBI Deputy Andrew McCabe charged for lying under oath by end of June 2018. ( 24% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-06-02; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by max on 2018-07-11.

Russia will win the world cup ( 15% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by max on 2018-06-15; known on 2018-07-16; judged wrong by max on 2018-07-11.

UK Police will have the ability to scan people's faces from their cars as they drive past, as they do with License plates ( 22% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-06; known on 2018-07-01; judged wrong by splorridge on 2018-07-10.

No new US tariffs on Chinese goods to go into effect on July 6. ( 31% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-06-19; known on 2018-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2018-07-10.