Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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moko will behave partcularly well tonight ( 65% confidence )
Created by Miyo on 2008-08-26; known on 2008-08-27; judged right by Andy on 2008-08-27.
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a prediction with a confidence of 0 will break pbook and i'll have to fix it manually ( 0% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-08-26.
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a prediction with a confidence of 0 will break pbook and i'll have to fix it manually ( 0% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-08-26.
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a prediction with a confidence of 0 will break pbook and i'll have to fix it manually ( 0% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-08-26.
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Coffee machine drain hole is 9mm wide ( 80% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-26; known on 2008-08-26; judged right by Adam on 2008-08-26.
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Within 2 days I will wish I had put the certainty on my last prediction at a higher percentage ( 92% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-24; judged right by Andy on 2008-08-26.
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I will get an email asking me to judge this prediction within 5 minutes ( 90% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-08-22; known on 2008-08-22; judged wrong on 2008-08-22.
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this will be the most popular prediction EVER ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-02; known on 3008-08-02; judged wrong by Grognor on 2012-05-17.
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there will be stupid kneejerk legislation in response to the child dying on his bmx at the skatepark ( 70% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-18; known on 2008-07-13; judged wrong on 2008-08-18.
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the 2010 bug will strike again before it is fixed ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2018-07-16; judged right on 2008-08-18.
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typing 100 years from now as a result date will no longer crash the server ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-07-20; judged right on 2008-08-18.
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interpreting 2010 as a 8:10pm (as a bug) will not be fixed for ages ( 100% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-08-06; judged right on 2008-08-18.
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modelling and design of bed base will take 15hrs ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Kenji on 2008-07-08; known on 2008-07-18; judged wrong on 2008-08-18.
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Deadline emails will fail from cron due to sparse environment variables. ( 9% confidence )
Created by jarpy on 2008-08-18; known on 2008-08-18; judged wrong on 2008-08-18.
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The rake task to send deadlines will work. ( 70% confidence )
Created by jarpy on 2008-08-18; known on 2008-08-18; judged right on 2008-08-18.
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this will format kinda ( 90% confidence; 10 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-16; known on 2008-08-16; judged right on 2008-08-17.
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we will need pagination on the front page ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-09; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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austhink credit credit and paypal payment will be published live ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-09; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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ambiguous (and proably contradictorily worded) predictions will have some means of 'in app' resolution ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2008-08-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-16.
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prologue is to epilogue as preface is to postface ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-29; judged right on 2008-08-16.
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Matt will be happy he will no longer be able to be instantly Rick rolled ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-16; known on 2008-08-23; judged right on 2008-08-16.
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this will be the most important prediction EVER ( 100% confidence; 8 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-30; known on 2008-07-31; judged right on 2008-08-16.
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1337 is Lupus ( 1% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2011-08-14; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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crontab will work ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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I will get an email ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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I will get an email ( 60% confidence )
Created by Gerrit on 2008-08-15; known on 2008-08-15; judged wrong on 2008-08-15.
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a confidence of 0 will break ( 0% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong on 2008-08-14.
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a prediction with a confidence of 0 will break pbook and i'll have to fix it manually ( 0% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-08-26.
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this will NOT email me when i tickle it. yet ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-15; judged right on 2008-08-14.
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Using ✔ and ✘ on the main page (though not the user page) is elitist behaviour that will be destroyed within a week. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-02; known on 2008-08-09; judged wrong on 2008-08-14.
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this will email me a reminder when i tickle it ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-14; judged right on 2008-08-14.
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The existing crmhub api will allow licenses to be retrieved from an email address (but may require multiple requests) ( 85% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Matt on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-08-20; judged wrong by Adam on 2008-08-14.
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PredictionBook will have an Alpha server running by June 20, 2008 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-06-20; judged right on 2008-08-14.
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case just now ADEM, Lymphoma, Mets ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-12; known on 2008-08-13; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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case just now lymphoma ( 60% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-12; known on 2008-08-13; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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14840002 = pap thyroid to node ( 65% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-07; known on 2008-10-01; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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14840002 = TB or Pap T4 to nodes ( 95% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-07; known on 2008-10-01; judged right on 2008-08-12.
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14546870 = scc of rt scm node ( 70% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-07; known on 2008-10-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-12.
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7381792 = meningioma ( 95% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-19; known on 2008-08-16; judged wrong on 2008-08-12.
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The CrmHub api will allow the license key to be checked with only license key as input ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-11; known on 2008-08-12; judged wrong on 2008-08-11.
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The CrmHub api will allow all license keys to be retreived using an email address ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-11; known on 2008-08-12; judged wrong on 2008-08-11.
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Within 2 days I will wish I had put the certainty on my last prediction at a higher percentage ( 92% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-22; known on 2008-07-24; judged right by Andy on 2008-08-26.
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7370034 = met ( 75% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-19; known on 2008-08-16; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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of the 7 herbs etc planted, at least 6 will survive and thrive ( 80% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-06; known on 2008-08-06; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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14749874 = cystic meningioma ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-24; known on 2008-09-16; judged right on 2008-08-07.
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the human eye is at its full size at birth ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-04; known on 2008-08-04; judged wrong on 2008-08-04.
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Robbie Rotten's plans will once again be thwarted ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-31; known on 2008-08-02; judged right on 2008-08-02.
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Sigur Rós will be awesome but the sound will suck ( 85% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Adam on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-01; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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Trike staff will eat all the chocolates and raise money for charity ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Chantelle on 2008-07-10; known on 2008-07-24; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.
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People will wonder why it has the form for creating a prediction when you're not logged in ( 90% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-01; known on 2008-08-06; judged wrong on 2008-08-01.