Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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MRN 14751956 adenoid cystic carcinoma of the lacrimal gland ( 64% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-05; known on 2008-09-20; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-09-26.
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Nat will be paged after midnight ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Frank on 2008-09-23; known on 2008-09-26; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-09-26.
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Without participating in a clinical trial, there is no legally available 'fire-and-forget' male contraceptive (pill, patch, injection etc.) ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-16; known on 2008-10-16; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-24.
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Fallshaw (Jo) will win the Woolworths Tug job – Jo' prediction, she's really sure. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Lina on 2008-07-25; known on 2008-10-25; judged wrong by Matt on 2008-09-23.
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notification of comments and wagers will inform me ( 84% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-22; known on 2008-09-22; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-22.
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“less words” can be considered correct grammar ( 55% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-22; known on 2008-09-22; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-22.
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The lyrics to electric feel are “spin me like an electric drill” not “shock me like an electric eel” ( 60% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-22; known on 2008-09-22; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-22.
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private predictions will be secret ( 91% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-19; known on 2008-09-19; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-19.
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UnPublished predictions won't show in any happenstance ( 89% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-18; known on 2008-09-18; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-18.
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UnPublished predictions will show in user pages ( 86% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-18; known on 2008-09-18; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-18.
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User publish default settings will work ( 79% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-18; known on 2008-09-18; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-18.
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Published predictions will be published ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-18; known on 2008-09-18; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-18.
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This deploy will work ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-18; known on 2008-09-18; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-18.
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our changes worked ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-17; known on 2008-09-17; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-17.
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Adam, Gerrit and Matt didn't know that you can remove a processor from the Mac Pro and save over $700 ( 65% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-16; known on 2008-09-17; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-17.
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Wagerable is a word ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-17; known on 2008-09-17; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-17.
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IngDirect will be back up by tomorrow ( 68% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-16; known on 2008-09-17; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-17.
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I won't have to read the manual to set up the monitor ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-16; known on 2008-09-16; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-16.
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Glenn's fixes will have worked ( 87% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-16; known on 2008-09-16; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-16.
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same HIV = VZV ( 25% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-07-24; known on 2008-08-16; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-09-15.
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The world will not end when the first LHC beam is injected on 10th September ( 100% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-09; known on 2008-09-10; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-11.
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The world will not end when the LHC first collides 2 beams ( 99% confidence; 13 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-09; known on 2009-12-28; judged right by rwallace on 2009-12-28.
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The world will not end when the LHC first collides 2 beams ( 99% confidence; 13 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-09; known on 2009-12-28; judged right by rwallace on 2009-12-28.
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The world will not end when the LHC first collides 2 beams ( 99% confidence; 13 wagers; 12 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-09; known on 2009-12-28; judged right by rwallace on 2009-12-28.
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Adam will receive the file I just sent through my junior shell-fu ( 55% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-09-09; known on 2008-09-09; judged right by Matt on 2008-09-09.
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This will not email me if i say yes then say no ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-09; known on 2008-09-09; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-09.
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I will be able to reproduce the nillify blank bug ( 45% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-08; known on 2008-09-08; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-08.
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Matt will get me on to redmine today. ( 75% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-09-01; known on 2008-03-09; judged right by Lina on 2008-09-08.
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This will email me within 10 minutes ( 85% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-08; known on 2008-09-08; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-08.
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Emailing me will /not/ reproduce the nillify blank bug ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-08; known on 2008-09-08; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-08.
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Unchecked response won't want to send me an email ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-06; known on 2008-09-06; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-06.
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This prediction will post ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-06; known on 2008-09-06; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-06.
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Unchecked won't want to send me an email ( 90% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-06; known on 2008-09-06; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-06.
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I won't be able to dupe this time ( 95% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-05.
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I won't be able to double post this prediction ( 95% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged wrong by Adam on 2008-09-05.
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Saying no now, and yes later to an email will work ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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Saying no now, and yes later to an email will work ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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Saying no now, and yes later to an email will work ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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Saying no now, and yes later to an email will work ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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Saying no now, and yes later to an email will work ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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tomorrow morning for this prediction will be in EST (AU) ( 90% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-05; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-05.
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Tomorrow morning for this prediction will be in UTC ( 90% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-05; known on 2008-09-06; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-05.
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The circles drawn by the google scatter plot are not quite accurate. the 48% points are above the 50 line ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-04; known on 2008-09-05; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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There will be no traffic mishaps on the journey home ( 80% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-04; known on 2008-09-04; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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There will be no traffic mishaps on the Westgate between 9:30 and 10am tomorrow morning ( 70% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-04; known on 2008-09-04; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-05.
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After spending an hour on the phone to the UK I will be able to access my account ( 20% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-04; known on 2008-09-04; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-04.
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This will redirect me back to recent instead of the old table view ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-04; known on 2008-09-04; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-04.
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I will get an email telling me this prediction can be judged ( 85% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-08-31; known on 2008-08-31; judged right by Lina on 2008-08-31.
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GD's clan does not include Mercedes ( 90% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-07-26; known on 2008-08-09; judged right by Lina on 2008-08-28.
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Generation Kill won't have quite the same depth of story as The Wire ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-07-15; known on 2008-08-30; judged right by Adam on 2008-08-27.