Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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my visa will arive ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2009-02-19; known on 2009-03-01; judged wrong by Adam on 2009-03-01.
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The test is wrong: I will still be lactose intolerant ( 78% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2009-02-19; known on 2009-02-26; judged right by Andy on 2009-02-26.
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Crawf will have a baby boy ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Miyo on 2008-09-30; known on 2009-03-16; judged right by Miyo on 2009-02-25.
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14743632 = mengioma ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-14; known on 2008-11-16; judged right by Frank on 2009-02-09.
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Radiopaedia.org new styling will be rolled out before start of business Feb 1, 2009 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-12-02; known on 2009-02-01; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-02-01.
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the new overridable URL field will cause problems with caching (esp. static caching) ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Gerrit on 2009-01-22; known on 2009-01-26; judged wrong by Gerrit on 2009-01-30.
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Radiopaedia.org new styling will be rolled out before start of business Jan 15, 2009 ( 60% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2008-12-02; known on 2009-01-15; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-01-17.
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pbook will not be released to the web by xmas 08 ( 54% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Trainor on 2008-06-20; known on 2008-12-30; judged right by Matt on 2009-01-14.
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1AUD will be worth greater than 1USD before the year is out ( 61% confidence; 5 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-07-16; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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There will be more than 10,000 predictions on pbook by end 08. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-20; known on 2009-01-01; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-01-08.
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14237090 (same as the one before with wrong number) atypical meningioma ( 60% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-10-29; known on 2008-11-16; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-12-28.
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Our unfinished run of http://projecteuler.net/index.php?section=problems&id=32 will be correct anyway ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2008-12-04; known on 2008-12-04; judged right by Matt on 2008-12-04.
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Our podshifter large file problems will resolve if lame can be made to correctly mp3 > wav decode ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-25; known on 2008-12-02; judged wrong by Matt on 2008-12-02.
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The ASX will drop below 4200 again in November this year ( 57% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-04; known on 2008-12-01; judged right by Andy on 2008-12-02.
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14721148 = TB ( 50% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-26; known on 2008-10-16; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-11-13.
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14721148 = scc node or infective node ( 95% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-26; known on 2008-10-16; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-11-13.
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14733648 = gangliocytoma ( 50% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-12; known on 2008-10-16; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-11-13.
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14733648 = glioma of some kind ( 95% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-12; known on 2008-10-16; judged right by Frank on 2008-11-13.
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the aws-s3 refactor of podshifter will successfully upload the converted mp3 to s3 ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-11-12; known on 2008-11-12; judged right by Adam on 2008-11-12.
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Charlotte will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged right by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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Charlotte will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged right by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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Alex will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged wrong by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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Alex will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged wrong by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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Charlotte will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged right by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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Alex will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged wrong by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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Alex will be asleep before we arrive home (made yesterday, during car trip). ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Matt on 2008-11-10; known on 2008-11-09; judged wrong by Lina on 2008-11-10.
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The ASX will end Thursday above 4,300. ( 55% confidence )
Created by Miyo on 2008-11-04; known on 2008-11-06; judged wrong by Miyo on 2008-11-07.
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Implement conditional get/caching of processed feed in pod shifter by 12pm thursday ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Adam on 2008-11-05; known on 2008-11-06; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-11-06.
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Obama will be the next US president. ( 74% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Lina on 2008-06-29; known on 2008-11-08; judged right by Glenn on 2008-11-05.
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Obama will lose, and the USA will have emigration explode to their highest ever rates ( 6% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-04; known on 2009-08-04; judged wrong by Glenn on 2008-11-05.
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Miyo will make a prediction within 5 minutes ( 95% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-11-04; known on 2008-11-04; judged right by Andy on 2008-11-04.
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Removing GA, readding Prototype. Preview will work. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Glenn on 2008-10-23; known on 2008-10-24; judged right by Glenn on 2008-10-24.
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removing prototype.js will make preview work on dentalcorp ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2008-10-23; known on 2008-10-23; judged right by Glenn on 2008-10-23.
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the proposed 24 week abortions legislation will pass unchanged through government ( 60% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-24; known on 2008-11-24; judged right by Glenn on 2008-10-14.
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Quiksilver shares are better value at $3.62 than they were at $5.08 ( 100% confidence )
Created by Andy on 2008-10-09; known on 2008-10-10; judged right by Andy on 2008-10-09.
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There will be a show stopping bug in my backup rake task ( 60% confidence )
Created by Adam on 2008-10-08; known on 2008-10-08; judged wrong by Adam on 2008-10-08.
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I am tester, hear me roar ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by tester on 2008-10-07; known on 2008-10-08; judged right by tester on 2008-10-07.
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Next time I get breath tested, I'm going to ask to see my reading. The police person won't like it. ( 73% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-16; known on 2010-09-16; judged right by Glenn on 2008-10-06.
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I pushed ( 100% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-10-06; known on 2008-10-06; judged right by Glenn on 2008-10-06.
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Billabong shares will climb from $11.30 to over $13.50 within 6 months ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Andy on 2008-08-23; known on 2009-02-23; judged right by Andy on 2008-10-06.
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What I am about to look at will be intraxial on next MRI ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-10-02; known on 2008-10-02; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-10-02.
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It will not demonstrate a lot of enhancement ( 60% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-10-02; known on 2008-10-02; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-10-02.
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13333001 = chordoma or chondrosarcom ( 85% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2008-08-28; known on 2008-10-16; judged right by Frank on 2008-10-02.
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rails partial name scheme for namespaced models will be views/namespace/classname/_classname ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-26; known on 2008-09-26; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-29.
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rails partial name scheme for namespaced models will be views/namespace/classname/_classname ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-26; known on 2008-09-26; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-29.
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I will use the gate out back of canning to park my car in the courtyard at least 10 times this year ( 70% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2008-08-03; known on 2008-12-31; judged right by Lina on 2008-09-29.
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rails partial name scheme for namespaced models will be views/namespace/classname/_classname ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Adam on 2008-09-26; known on 2008-09-26; judged right by Adam on 2008-09-29.
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“Notify me when someone responds” will be working again by the end of this week ( 95% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2008-09-24; known on 2008-09-26; judged right by Glenn on 2008-09-27.
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14751956 adenoidcystic ca ( 60% confidence )
Created by Talia on 2008-08-05; known on 2008-09-20; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-09-26.
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14751956 adenoidcystic ca ( 60% confidence )
Created by Talia on 2008-08-05; known on 2008-09-20; judged wrong by Frank on 2008-09-26.