Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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I will have adapted to subconsiously use caps lock instead of backspace (or ctrl-h) by this time next week ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-20; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-15.
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I have already made predictions in predictionbook ( 100% confidence )
Created by Glenn on 2009-09-15; known on 2009-09-15; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-15.
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I will make two more predictions before the weeks end. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by jon on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-11; judged right by Matt on 2009-09-15.
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I will have tests running against aws by the end of today. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jon on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-14; judged right by jon on 2009-09-15.
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Editing an order in plandeliver will be live at the end of today ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-14; known on 2009-09-14; judged right by Tom on 2009-09-15.
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Round 2 and 3 of the Radiopaedia styling will be completed. Where completed means released to dev. ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged right by Wes on 2009-09-14.
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At least one of our apps will be running on the full AWS stack (ELB, EC2 app, EC2 db, EBS) by Sunday ( 64% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-09-14.
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we'll have implemented free-text searching by selectable filters (new approach) ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-14.
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We will start working on the MyOB integration at Kando ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-14; judged wrong by Tom on 2009-09-14.
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I'll send Katrina some designs I'm happy with this week. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-08; known on 2009-09-12; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-13.
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I will have a new iPhone 3GS in hand ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-12.
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I will have a new iPhone 3GS in hand ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-12.
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I will have a new iPhone 3GS in hand ( 66% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Matt on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-13; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-12.
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I will work Friday ( 50% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-09-07; known on 2009-09-11; judged right by Glenn on 2009-09-11.
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I will have AWS servers built and ready for testing. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by jon on 2009-09-08; known on 2009-09-09; judged wrong by jon on 2009-09-10.
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we'll have finished refactoring variants into products ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged right by captainpete on 2009-09-07.
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we'll be experimenting with meat-spaced project management system ( 63% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by captainpete on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by captainpete on 2009-09-07.
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At least one of our apps will be running on the full AWS stack (ELB, EC2 app, EC2 db, EBS) by Monday ( 70% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-06; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-07.
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Round 2 of the Radiopaedia redesign integration will be completed ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Wes on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by Wes on 2009-09-07.
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I will have closed all the currently open podshifter tickets relating to broken feeds ( 57% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Glenn on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-06; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-09-07.
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Matt will report (@ the standup) that he has done 'admini' at least 3 times this week. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Tom on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-07; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-06.
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I will have a new iPhone 3GS in hand ( 60% confidence )
Created by Matt on 2009-08-31; known on 2009-09-06; judged wrong by Matt on 2009-09-06.
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dave & michelle will be pregnant with in one year of being married. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Miyo on 2008-08-26; known on 2009-08-26; judged wrong by Miyo on 2009-08-26.
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Will finish rewriting all Amirsys articles by now ( 50% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2009-08-14; known on 2009-08-21; judged right by Frank on 2009-08-21.
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@kevinrose and @tferriss will make a regular thing of Random ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Lina on 2009-05-15; known on 2009-08-16; judged right by Lina on 2009-08-16.
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Michael Schumacher will finish in the points at Valencia 2009 ( 72% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-30; known on 2009-08-30; judged wrong by Bébhinn on 2009-08-16.
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Michael Schumacher will beat Raikkonen at Valencia 2009 ( 65% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-30; known on 2009-08-23; judged wrong by Bébhinn on 2009-08-16.
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Michael Schumacher will finish the 2009 season in the Top 10 ( 55% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-30; known on 2009-11-01; judged wrong by Bébhinn on 2009-08-16.
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The senate will confirm, Sotomayor, Obama's nominee to the Supreme Court ( 80% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-05-26; known on 2009-08-14; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-08-07.
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The US will successfully negotiate the release of Laura Ling and Euna Lee from North Korea ( 22% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-10; known on 2009-12-31; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-08-04.
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pbook will need some type of legal disclaimer (i.e. privacy policy, user agreement) on signup within a year ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Glenn on 2008-08-03; known on 2009-08-03; judged wrong by Glenn on 2009-08-03.
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Lance Armstrong will finish the Tour de France in the Top 5. ( 69% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05; known on 2009-07-27; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-26.
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Fabian Cancellara will finish the 2009 Tour de France in the Top 3 ( 72% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05; known on 2009-07-27; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-26.
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Federer will win Wimbledon 2009 ( 67% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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St. Kilda will beat Geelong today by fewer than 10 points. ( 77% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05; known on 2009-07-05; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Venus Williams will make it three-in-a-row at the Wimbledon 2009 Women's Final ( 72% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04; known on 2009-07-05; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04.
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Wimbledon 2009 Men's Final: Federer V Murray ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04.
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Quiksilver shares will finish the year above $11 ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Andy on 2008-07-01; known on 2008-01-01; judged wrong by Andy on 2009-07-04.
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Federer will win Wimbledon 2009 ( 67% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Wimbledon 2009 Men's Final: Federer V Murray ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04.
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Wimbledon 2009 Men's Final: Federer V Murray ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-04.
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Federer will win Wimbledon 2009 ( 67% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Federer will win Wimbledon 2009 ( 67% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Federer will win Wimbledon 2009 ( 67% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22; known on 2009-07-06; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-07-05.
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Twitter – @peterfacinelli will surpass his goal of 500K followers by June 19, winning his bet with @211me. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-14; known on 2009-06-20; judged right by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-22.
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It will be a girl. ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Andy on 2009-05-15; known on 2009-11-16; judged right by Miyo on 2009-06-18.
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Andy and Miyo will have a baby boy ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Miyo on 2009-05-13; known on 2009-11-15; judged wrong by Miyo on 2009-06-18.
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England will reach the 2009 World Twenty20 semi-finals. ( 65% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-14; known on 2009-06-21; judged right by vtstarin on 2009-06-16.
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Magic will win, pushing the Lakers to game 6 tonight. ( 62% confidence )
Created by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-14; known on 2009-06-15; judged wrong by TwitterPredicts on 2009-06-15.
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the ASX S&P 200 will hit 4000 in the next month ( 80% confidence )
Created by Lina on 2009-05-11; known on 2009-06-11; judged right by Lina on 2009-06-11.