[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Kirsten Gillibrand ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-22.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] John Hickenlooper ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-22.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-08-22.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Stacey Abrams ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06; judged wrong by arrowinthedark on 2020-09-08.

The UK to leave the EU without a deal on 29 March ( 14% confidence; 12 wagers )

Created by 6thNapoleon on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-03-30; judged wrong by 6thNapoleon on 2019-03-30.

OPEC to have more than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.

OPEC to have fewer than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 10% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.

Indonesia to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 4% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.

Qatar to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 4% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-01.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 8% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 13% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 18% confidence; 12 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 18% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 7% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-01.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] under $40 ( 3% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 6% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 14% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 20% confidence; 12 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 21% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 8% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] under $40 ( 2% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 5% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 25% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 26% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 6% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during October 2019 to be] under $40 ( 2% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-11-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 2% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 4% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 26% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 20% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during September 2019 to be] under $40 ( 1% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-10-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-10-03.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 1% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 3% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 29% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 33% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] under $40 ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-09-06.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 27% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 14% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] under $40 ( 2% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-08-08.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 2% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 5% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 14% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 30% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 2% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during June 2019 to be] under $40 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-07-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-02.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 1% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 11% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 37% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 10% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] under $40 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 0% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 4% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 33% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during April 2019 to be] under $40 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-05-07; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-05-05.

[Fighting] Borys Mańkowski to beat Norman Parke at KSW 47 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-03-24; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-03-23.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a vote in parliament/legislature on leaving the eurozone ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the eurozone ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a vote in parliament/legislature on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[In 2019 at least one country in Europe (other than UK) to] hold a referendum on leaving the EU ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-02.

[Fortune Global 500 as of 2019 (i.e., on 2018 revenues)] to include at least 40 “newcomers” ( 56% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-15.

[Fortune Global 500 as of 2019 (i.e., on 2018 revenues)] to list at least 5 American companies in the top 10 ( 42% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-15.

[Fortune Global 500 as of 2019 (i.e., on 2018 revenues)] to list at least 5 Chinese companies in the top 10 ( 35% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-15.

[Fortune Global 500 as of 2019 (i.e., on 2018 revenues)] to include more Chinese companies than American ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-11-15.

[In 2019 H2 Twitter to ban/suspend] a sitting head of state or government ( 8% confidence; 7 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-01-03.

[In 2019 H1 Twitter to ban/suspend] a sitting head of state or government ( 13% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-19; known on 2019-07-01; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-07-01.