'the MacBook Air in the future (18-24 months) will switch to ARM once the >2GHz ARM processors start shipping en masse' —pkaler

Created by gwern on 2010-10-22; known on 2012-10-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-10-21.

  • gwern estimated 30% on 2010-10-22
  • gwern said “http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1817611on 2010-10-22
  • TheScholar estimated 75% on 2010-10-29
  • gimpf estimated 10% on 2010-12-12
  • saturn estimated 20% on 2012-03-28
  • RandomThinker estimated 10% and said “Big advantage to Apple of staying with Intel and benefiting from Intel’s scale in PCs.on 2012-03-28
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2012-09-03
  • saturn estimated 1% on 2012-10-10
  • tedks estimated 1% on 2012-10-21
  • gwern said “I’m not seeing anything in google about a switch, so marking wrongon 2012-10-21
  • gwern  judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-21.

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