'the MacBook Air in the future (18-24 months) will switch to ARM once the >2GHz ARM processors start shipping en masse' —pkaler

Created by gwern on 2010-10-22; known on 2012-10-21; judged wrong by gwern on 2012-10-21.

• gwern estimated 30% on 2010-10-22
• gwern said “http://news.ycombinator.com/item?id=1817611” on 2010-10-22
• TheScholar estimated 75% on 2010-10-29
• gimpf estimated 10% on 2010-12-12
• saturn estimated 20% on 2012-03-28
• RandomThinker estimated 10% and said “Big advantage to Apple of staying with Intel and benefiting from Intel’s scale in PCs.” on 2012-03-28
• Jayson Virissimo estimated 1% on 2012-09-03
• saturn estimated 1% on 2012-10-10
• tedks estimated 1% on 2012-10-21
• gwern said “I’m not seeing anything in google about a switch, so marking wrong” on 2012-10-21
• gwern   judged this prediction wrong on 2012-10-21.