GJP: the Saudi monarchy continue to rule Saudi Arabia as of March 1, 2012

Created by gwern on 2011-09-06; known on 2012-03-01; judged right by gwern on 2012-03-01.

  • gwern estimated 90% on 2011-09-06
  • JoshuaZ estimated 95% on 2011-09-07
  • Sandra Åhlén estimated 90% on 2011-09-07
  • Robert Kosten estimated 90% on 2011-09-11
  • bobpage estimated 93% on 2011-09-11
  • Ken estimated 97% on 2011-09-12
  • fergus estimated 95% on 2011-09-15
  • pcm estimated 96% on 2011-10-20
  • Jayson Virissimo estimated 95% on 2011-10-20
  • JoshuaZ estimated 89% and said “Updating due to death of Crown Prince. on 2011-10-22
  • gwern  judged this prediction right on 2012-03-01.

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