Apple will surpass Microsoft in revenue in a max. of 5 years.

Created by crlosg2 on 2009-05-31; known on 2014-05-31; judged right by RandomThinker on 2012-05-05.

  • crlosg2 estimated 99% on 2009-05-31
  • crlosg2 estimated 100% on 2009-05-31
  • Lina estimated 70% and said “Interesting .. a doubt for me is how would Apples perform without Steve?on 2009-06-01
  • TwitterPredicts estimated 65% and said “Microsoft $61Bn, Apple $34Bn. A big call, but Apple will do it only as a result of future falling revenue for MSon 2009-06-01
  • TheScholar  judged this prediction right on 2009-10-17.
  • TheScholar  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-17.
  • TheScholar estimated 75% and said “(sorry about that mix up with judgment — I’m new to this site)on 2009-10-17
  • faws estimated 26% on 2009-10-22
  • gwern estimated 55% and said “$20 billion is a big gap and 3 years not long; APL’s market cap is already bigger than MS, but that doesn’t translate into dough.on 2010-07-29
  • TheScholar said “If it happens, it’s more likely because Microsoft is earning less, rather then that Apple is earning more.on 2010-09-18
  • gimpf estimated 45% on 2010-12-13
  • JoshuaZ estimated 40% on 2011-07-15
  • RandomThinker said “Apple is over 100B now, Microsoft is around 70B” less than a minute agoon 2012-05-05
  • RandomThinker  judged this prediction right on 2012-05-05.

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