PredictionBook: Judged Predictions

Confidence	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%	100%	Total
Accuracy	50%	59%	67%	77%	88%	92%
Sample Size	11812	16505	16980	17616	31357	8046	102316

I'll be using Shiny Umbrella to reduce my typing by at least half in one month ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by enolan on 2018-04-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by enolan on 2018-05-09.

Donald Trump will renew the Iran deal on May 12. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-13; judged wrong by davatk on 2018-05-08.

Trump withdraws from the Iran nuclear deal before the end of 2018. ( 40% confidence )

Created by davatk on 2018-04-30; known on 2019-01-01; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-08.

Larry Page will survive 5 years as Google CEO ( 76% confidence; 5 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2013-05-03; known on 2018-05-02; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-08.

[Coupe de France – Final] Paris SG does not lose to Les Herbiers ( 95% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Aberdeen does not lose to Rangers ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Premier League – Round 37] Swansea City does not lose to Southampton ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Hamilton beats St Johnstone ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Ross County does not lose to Dundee FC ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Round 4] Motherwell does not lose to Partick Thistle ( 60% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-08; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[In the 2018 NBA Playoffs, ] Cleveland will beat Toronto. ( 65% confidence )

Created by davatk on 2018-05-01; known on 2018-05-15; judged right by davatk on 2018-05-08.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Banfield beats Chacarita ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-09; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] River Plate does not lose to Colón ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-09; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Serie A Ecuador – Round 12 ] El Nacional beats Técnico Universitario ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Chapecoense does not lose to Paraná ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-08.

Christopher Nolan directs Bond 25 ( 70% confidence )

Created by gallerdude on 2017-12-26; known on 2019-11-08; judged wrong by gallerdude on 2018-05-08.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] Paços de Ferreira does not lose to Rio Ave ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[La Liga 2 – Round 38] Granada does not lose to Rayo Vallecano ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Scottish Premiership Playoffs – Semi-final first leg] Dundee United beats Livingston ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-07; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[La Liga – Round 36] Leganés beats Levante ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Serie B – Round 40] – Empoli FC does not lose to Cremonese ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-07; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Primera Chile – Round 12] Colo Colo does not lose to Everton Viña del Mar ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] Atlético Nacional does not lose to Leones FC ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] Junior Barranquilla does not lose to Jaguares Córdoba ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] America Cali does not lose to Deportivo La Equidad ( 90% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga Aguila – Apertura Round 19] Santa Fe does not lose to Millonarios ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Liga MX – Clausura QF second leg ] Santos Laguna does not lose to Tigres ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Estudiantes LP does not lose to Racing Club ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Boca Juniors beats Unión Santa Fe ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Grêmio does not lose to Santos ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Sport Recife beats Bahia ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-07.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] FC Porto does not lose to Feirense ( 100% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] AS Roma does not lose to Cagliari ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36] Marseille does not lose to Nice ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Cruzeiro does not lose to Botafogo ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Flamengo beats Internacional ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Palmeiras does not lose to Atlético PR ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Brasileirão – Round 4] Vitória does not lose to Fluminense ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[La Liga – Round 36] Barcelona beats Real Madrid ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Superliga Argentina – Round 26] Independiente beats Gimnasia LP ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-08; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[La Liga – Round 36] Getafe does not lose to Las Palmas ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-08; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Primeira Liga – Round 33] Chaves does not lose to Marítimo ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Serie A – Round 36] Sampdoria does not lose to Sassuolo ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Segunda Liga – Round 37] Santa Clara beats Real SC ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Metz beats Angers ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Monaco beats Caen ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Nantes and Montpellier draw ( 60% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Metz beats Angers ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Ligue 1 – Round 36 ] Toulouse beats Lille ( 70% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

[Premier League – Round 37] Chelsea does not lose to Liverpool ( 80% confidence )

Created by musashimaru on 2018-05-05; known on 2018-05-07; judged right by musashimaru on 2018-05-06.

Statistics

Judged Predictions