[stocks] Beyond meat upp 20% inom 60 månader ( 65% confidence )

Created by Alban22 20 days ago; known on 2021-09-15.

[stocks] norwegian cruis upp 40% inom ett år ( 60% confidence )

Created by Alban22 20 days ago; known on 2021-09-15.

[stocks] EPR upp 40% inom 1 år ( 70% confidence )

Created by Alban22 20 days ago; known on 2021-09-15.

[stocks] Disney up ca 10% inom 1 år ( 70% confidence )

Created by Alban22 20 days ago; known on 2021-09-15.

[stocks] Boing upp minst 30% inom 1 år ( 70% confidence )

Created by Alban22 20 days ago; known on 2021-09-15.

For each state in the 538 forecast, taking an average of the three most recent A+ polls from unique pollsters will be more accurate at estimating the true margin than 538's forecast ( 55% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford 21 days ago; known 7 days ago.

If Trump looses the electoral college votes, he will give up his post normally in January ( 91% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Liging 21 days ago; known on 2021-02-01.

My election-related PredictIt bets are profitable (see clearer definition in comment) ( 95% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by peter_hurford 22 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

The Sun will rise on 1 January 2021 ( 100% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sjy 22 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

ND will finish his EU strategy by the end of the month ( 90% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford 22 days ago; known in 7 days.

Hungary will open borders before February ( 10% confidence )

Created by MartaK 23 days ago; known on 2021-01-31.

Kamala Harris will be president on Nov. 1, 2021. ( 11% confidence; 16 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by ren 23 days ago; known on 2021-11-01.

bitcoin will rise above $20k at least once before May 1st (six months from now) ( 55% confidence )

Created by seanbas 23 days ago; known on 2021-05-01.

The world will end in 2078 to a nuclear holocaust. ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Fenrir 24 days ago; known on 2078-12-31.

Personal – I weigh in at below 61kg between the start of the 15th of November 2020 and the start of the 1st of December 2020. ( 73% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 24 days ago; known in 6 days.

COVID, UK – Deaths attributed to COVID exceed 1000 for some day in November. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 24 days ago; known in 7 days.

COVID, UK – Deaths attributed to COVID exceed 500 on some day in November. ( 86% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 24 days ago; known in 6 days.

I will move to Glasgow this year ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by ayegill 24 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Politics, US – 4.5% or more of absentee ballots are rejected in the November 2020 presidential election. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 25 days ago; known on 2021-07-01.

Politics, US – 1% or less of absentee ballots are rejected in the November 2020 presidential election. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 25 days ago; known on 2021-07-01.

Hungary will open its borders back ( 40% confidence )

Created by MartaK 26 days ago; known on 2021-04-30.

Hungary will open its borders back ( 10% confidence )

Created by MartaK 26 days ago; known on 2021-03-31.

Hungary will go into lockdown ( 20% confidence )

Created by MartaK 26 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Nawa will publish data justifying their press release's claims of record-high battery energy density in 2021. ( 30% confidence )

Created by srconstantin 28 days ago; known on 2022-01-01.

China will successfully incorporate Taiwan by 2050 ( 30% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-10-22; known on 2051-01-01.

I subjectively consider the 2020 election to have turned into a clusterfuck ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-10-20; known in 11 days.

1190432 MCN maligne entartet ( 75% confidence )

Created by prosti on 2020-10-20; known on 2020-10-23.

In Finland before 2021-01-01 someone is vaccinated against COVID-19 with non-experimental vaccine approved for use in Finland ( 80% confidence )

Created by kuudes on 2020-10-16; known on 2021-01-01.

I will have been vaccinated against COVID-19 before 2021-04-01 ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by kuudes on 2020-10-16; known on 2021-04-01.

China NOT to conduct overt military action against Taiwan before 2026 ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by niconiconi on 2020-10-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Blue Origin's New Shepard to carry humans past Karman line (100km altitude) by April 15, 2022 ( 41% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-10-13; known on 2022-04-15.

COVID, UK – It is legal for groups of seven non-shielding people to meet for the purposes of Christmas celebration on Christmas Day. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-10-11; known on 2020-12-26.