From 2 May 2019, Apple Inc. (Share price 2 May: $209.15) will yield more than Tesla share price (Share price 2 May: $244.10) in 4 years on a percentage basis. ( 0% confidence )

Created by separo on 2019-05-19; known on 2023-05-02.

Tesla RoboTaxi project will fail / be discontinued by 2 May 2022 ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by separo on 2019-05-19; known on 2022-05-02.

/r/gwern will have been banned by Reddit ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by quanticle on 2019-05-18; known on 2025-01-01.

Apple will discontinue the 13" Macbook Pro model that lacks the touchbar. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by quanticle on 2019-05-18; known on 2020-05-01.

The person who tried to interfere with Flynn's testimony was Derek Harvey ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-05-17; known on 2025-01-01.

Yeezy x Rick and Morty sneaker collaboration in the next 3 years ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by prophetofprofit on 2019-05-17; known on 2022-05-17.

The UK to leave the EU without a deal on, or by, 31 October ( 30% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by 6thNapoleon on 2019-05-16; known on 2019-11-01.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 1 MMbpd ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 2 MMbpd ( 14% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 3 MMbpd ( 18% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14.

[Commodities: In at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020, Iraq crude oil production to fall below] 4 MMbpd ( 32% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14.

[Politics] US government to announce ban on Chinese messaging, ecommerce, or web service such as WeChat, JD, Alibaba, Made-in-China, or Baidu as part of trade dispute—including conditional or postponed bans ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-05-15.

[Commodities] Venezuela will produce 0 crude oil in at least one month between May 2019 and May 2020 ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-16; known on 2020-06-14.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Other ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Jay Inslee ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Andrew Yang ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Tulsi Gabbard ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Kirsten Gillibrand ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Julián Castro ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Cory Booker ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Beto O'Rourke ( 5% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Pete Buttigieg ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Elizabeth Warren ( 10% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Kamala Harris ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Bernie Sanders ( 17% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[The 2020 Democratic presidential nominee will be] Joe Biden ( 33% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by amadeu on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-07-16.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of May 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] April 2020 ( 49% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-05-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of May 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] May 2019 ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-05-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of April 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] April 2019 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-04-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of April 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] March 2020 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-04-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of March 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] March 2019 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-03-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of March 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] February 2020 ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-03-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of February 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] February 2019 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-02-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of February 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] January 2020 ( 53% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-02-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of January 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] December 2019 ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-01-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of January 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] January 2019 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-01-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of December 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] December 2018 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-12-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of December 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] November 2019 ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-12-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of November 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] November 2018 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-11-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of November 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] October 2019 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-11-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of October 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] September 2019 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-10-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of October 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] October 2018 ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-10-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of September 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] August 2019 ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-09-10.