AHQ will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 10% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

IG will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 70% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

Gigabyte Marines will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 50% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

J-Team will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 30% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

Griffin will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 40% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

C9 will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 60% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

RNG will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 45% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

SKT will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 65% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

FunPlus Phoenix will make it out of groups. (LoL). ( 90% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

Fnatic will make it out of group stage. (LoL). ( 60% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

G2 will make it out of group stage. (LoL). ( 80% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

Team Liquid will make it out of group stage. (LoL). ( 60% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser 20 days ago; known 4 days ago.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] 20 or more ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 19 ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 18 ( 5% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 17 ( 10% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 16 ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 15 ( 20% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 14 ( 18% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 13 ( 14% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 12 ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 11 ( 3% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] 10 or fewer ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] Brexit-with-a-deal having taken place ( 15% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] no-deal Brexit having taken place ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] UK still in EU ( 6% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] UK out of EU ( 20% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2020-03-15.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 13 or more ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 12 ( 5% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 11 ( 8% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 10 ( 14% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 9 ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 8 ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 7 ( 8% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 6 ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 5 ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 4 ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the November 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 3 or fewer ( 0% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 22 days ago; known on 2019-11-30.

Scott Galloway: SEC, state AG or other regulatory body investigations into We within 60 days ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital 24 days ago; known on 2019-11-21.

Scott Galloway: SoftBank's Vision Fund will be shuttered within 12 months ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by batemancapital 24 days ago; known on 2020-09-22.

Scott Galloway: Investigative journalism pieces documenting malfeasance at We within 30 days ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital 24 days ago; known in 6 days.

[Effective Altruism 2024:] Longtermism will be the general outlook of EAs ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by wolfish_wrath 27 days ago; known on 2024-03-16.

[Effective Altruism 2024:] Positively shaping AI and reducing biorisk will be the top 2 focuses within existential risk reduction (conditional on X-Risk still being a priority) ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by wolfish_wrath 27 days ago; known on 2024-03-16.

[Effective Altruism 2024:] Existential risk reduction will have more attention than any other cause ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by wolfish_wrath 27 days ago; known on 2024-03-16.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4500 ( 26% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4400 ( 42% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4300 ( 67% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4200 ( 79% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-10-27.

US Economy: Bureau of Economic Analysis to have announced that US quarter-on-quarter GDP growth was negative for any quarter between 2019 Q1 and 2020 Q3. ( 42% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-10-22.

Reddit is blocked in the PRC as of 2020-10-29 ( 84% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-10-29.