[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Feb-Mar-Apr 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 77% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known in 22 days.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Feb-Mar-Apr 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 3% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known in 22 days.

[US Politics] At least one Democratic candidate who participates in the first (June) debate to end/suspend campaign before the second (July) debate ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-01.

[US Politics] Mueller report to state explicitly that Donald Trump is guilty of a crime, or that sufficient evidence exists to justify indictment ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-01-01.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Iran to produce at least 2.7 MMbpd ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] OPEC to produce at least 32 MMbpd ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] UK to produce at least 1.4 MMbpd ( 39% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.7 MMbpd ( 73% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1 MMbpd ( 47% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] Iran to produce at least 2.6 MMbpd ( 81% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 54% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] OPEC to produce at least 31 MMbpd ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] UK to produce at least 1.3 MMbpd ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.6 MMbpd ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1.1 MMbpd ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-09-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Iran to produce at least 2.6 MMbpd ( 77% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 47% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] OPEC to produce at least 31 MMbpd ( 42% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] UK to produce at least 1.3 MMbpd ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.5 MMbpd ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1.2 MMbpd ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities] The next edition of BP's “Statistical Review of World Energy” to report a HIGHER global R/P ratio for oil than the present 50.2 ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-11-01.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Tulsi Gabbard ( 3% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Amy Klobuchar ( 3% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Pete Buttigieg ( 8% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Elizabeth Warren ( 6% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Andrew Yang ( 5% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Beto O'Rourke ( 13% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Kirsten Gillibrand ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] John Hickenlooper ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

[The Democratic presidential nominee for 2020 will be] Stacey Abrams ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davatk on 2019-03-21; known on 2020-09-06.

OPEC to have more than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

OPEC to have fewer than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 18% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

OPEC to have exactly 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

Indonesia to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

Qatar to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 9% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 21% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 24% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 15% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during December 2019 to be] under $40 ( 3% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2020-01-07.