[Politics] Eesti 200 to win at least one seat in the Estonian election. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-11; known in 14 days.

[Fighting] Rose Namajunas to beat Jessica Andrade at UFC 237 ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-10; known on 2019-05-12.

[Fighting] Daniel Cormier to fight Jon Jones in 2019 ( 60% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-10; known on 2020-01-01.

[Fighting] Conor McGregor to fight in a discipline other than MMA in 2019. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-10; known on 2020-01-01.

[Fighting] Diaz and Masvidal to fight at UFC 235. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-10; known in 13 days.

$AMZN 2019 end of year price >= $2100 ( 24% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by objclone on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-12-31.

Apple will launch an ~4 inch iphone in the next 18 months, that has the same full screen display of the newer models and 5-7nm CPUs ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by lettergram on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-06-09.

[Politics] Centre Party (Keskerakond) to remain in government after the 2019 Estonian elections. ( 60% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known in 14 days.

Estonia to be elected to the UN Security Council for the 2020-2021 period. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-09-30.

US & China to announce end to trade war in Q1 2019. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-04-01.

One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse. ( 55% confidence; 6 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2025-01-01.

Between 2019 and 2030 the price of bitcoin will rise above 15000$ per bitcoin ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2030-01-01.

The biggest federated social network will have at least 10 times more users than the biggest federated social network on 2019-01-01. ( 45% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2030-01-02.

At least 20 of the top 100 websites (Alexa rank) will only be usable (core functionality) after having paid a fee ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2030-01-02.

I have sex at least once in the next 3 months ( 50% confidence )

Created by playablecharacter on 2019-01-08; known on 2019-04-06.

“We will not discover a way to create even small worlds (e.g. a house-sized world)” ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-07; known on 2101-01-01.

“We will not be able to simulate a Eukyrotic cell (2^46-2^47 atoms) with high-fidelity classical physics at more than 0.1% of real time” ( 66% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-07; known on 2101-01-01.

I will move to another city by the end of 2019. ( 80% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-07; known on 2020-01-01.

Politics, UK – Fitch, Moody's, or S&P next downgrade the United Kingdom's long-term local or foreign currency issuer ratings on or before the 31st of July 2019. ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2019-01-07; known on 2019-08-01.

Politics, UK – Fitch, Moody's, or S&P next downgrade the United Kingdom's long-term local or foreign currency issuer ratings before the 30th of March 2019. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2019-01-07; known on 2019-03-30.

Randy Fitchner doesn't get fired ( 95% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2019-01-05; known in 15 days.

Mike Tomlin doesn't get fired ( 70% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2019-01-05; known in 15 days.

Keith Butler gets fired ( 50% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2019-01-05; known in 15 days.

The Steelers don't continue with Antonio Brown ( 70% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2019-01-05; known in 15 days.

The Steelers don't pick up Dupree's $9M option ( 80% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2019-01-05; known in 15 days.

WTI forward curve to be upsloped for all of 1Q19. ( 60% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-04; known on 2019-04-05.

All charges against Meng Wanzhou to be dropped in Q1 2019. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-04; known on 2019-04-01.

I will leave the country at least once before March 1. ( 30% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-04; known in 12 days.

Donald Trump to be impeached in 2019 ( 24% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-04; known on 2020-01-01.

[The average spot price of Brent crude oil in March 2019 will be] greater than $70/barrel ( 11% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-04; known on 2019-04-05.