Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 68% | 77% | 88% | 93% | |
| Sample Size | 9151 | 12613 | 12990 | 13371 | 24701 | 6562 | 79388 |
Recent Predictions
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[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the December 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 9 ( 17% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-01; known on 2019-12-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-20.
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[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the December 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 8 ( 23% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-01; known on 2019-12-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-20.
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[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the December 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 7 ( 25% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-01; known on 2019-12-20; judged right by Cato on 2019-12-20.
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[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the December 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 6 ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-01; known on 2019-12-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-20.
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[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the December 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 5 ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-01; known on 2019-12-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-20.
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[Politics: The number of candidates participating in the December 2019 Democratic primary debates to be exactly] 4 or fewer ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-11-01; known on 2019-12-20; judged wrong by Cato on 2019-12-20.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Trap ( 2% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] soO ( 3% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Classic ( 4% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Dark ( 6% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged right by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Rogue ( 8% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Reynor ( 12% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Maru ( 18% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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[Winner of WCS Global Finals is] Serral ( 47% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-31; known on 2019-11-03; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-11-02.
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Princesses Victoria of Sweden, Elisabeth of Belgium, Catharina-Amalia of the Netherlands, Ingrid Alexandra of Norway and Leonor of Spain all reign at the same time. ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-10-26; known on 2101-01-02.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against someone else ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Georges St-Pierre ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01; judged wrong by Tapetum-Lucidum about 17 hours ago.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Frankie Edgar ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Tony Ferguson ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Khabib Numagomedov ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Jorge Masvidal ( 3% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Nate Diaz ( 3% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Justin Gaethje ( 4% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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[In 2020 Conor McGregor's first UFC fight to be] against Donald Cerrone ( 72% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-10-25; known on 2021-01-01.
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PG&E blackouts resume before the end of this week ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-22; known on 2019-10-26; judged right by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-24.
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Bitcoin's price will be above $10,000 on May 1, 2020 (at midnight). ( 35% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by krazemon on 2019-10-20; known on 2020-05-01.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Matt Buco ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Batfoy ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Harry Hong ( 50% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Svavar ( 20% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Jani ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] DanQZ ( 75% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-21; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 18 ( 10% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 15 ( 30% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 12 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[The number of people with a maxout (999999) qualifying score for the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be at least] 8 ( 90% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-19; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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The Senate to vote on impeachment of the 45th president before the end of June 2020 ( 85% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-19; known on 2020-07-01.
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The lowest qualifying score for entry into the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be above 700000 points ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-19.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Koryan ( 75% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Greentea ( 80% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Joseph Saelee ( 90% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[One of the top 8 at the 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be] Jonas Neubauer ( 90% confidence )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-20; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] Greentea ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] someone who has never won a Classic Tetris World Championship before ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-21.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] Joseph Saelee ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged right by deoh on 2019-10-21.
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[The 2019 Classic Tetris World Championship will be won by ] Jonas Neubauer ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by deoh on 2019-10-18; known on 2019-10-21; judged wrong by deoh on 2019-10-20.
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[SC2] Reynor makes it out of Group C ( 62% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-16; known on 2019-11-01; judged right by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-26.
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[SC2] herO makes it out of Group C ( 52% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-16; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-26.
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[SC2] HeRoMaRinE makes it out of Group C ( 28% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-16; known on 2019-11-01; judged wrong by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-26.
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[SC2] Classic makes it out of Group C ( 58% confidence )
Created by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-16; known on 2019-11-01; judged right by Michael Dickens on 2019-10-26.