S&P 500 index ends 2020 above 3500 ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 20 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Dollar index (DXY) 2020 performance is negative ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 20 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

10Y Treasury yield goes above 2% in Q1 2020 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital 20 days ago; known on 2020-03-31.

Tesla will achieve approved full self-driving in at least one state in the USA by the end of 2024 without geofencing. ( 24% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Paul.David.Carr 20 days ago; known on 2024-12-31.

Liverpool will win the treble in 2020: FA Cup, Premier League, Champions League ( 60% confidence )

Created by Paul.David.Carr 20 days ago; known on 2020-05-31.

Tesla stock (TSLA) will top $500/share some time in 2020. ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Paul.David.Carr 20 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Bulgaria has applied to join ERM-II (a prerequisite for adopting the euro) ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 21 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

Belgium has formed a federal government ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 21 days ago; known on 2020-05-26.

Kosovo has <116 recognitions by sovereign states (excludes Niue and Cook Islands, includes “withdrawn” recognitions because withdrawing isn't valid) ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga 21 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

I contribute a major feature to PredictionBook ( 40% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga 21 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

BJP will win even the 2024 elections ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by optimaton 23 days ago; known on 2024-06-01.

VC Culture will die by 2040 ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by optimaton 23 days ago; known on 2040-01-01.

The transition from the XOF franc to the eco will be complete in all countries currently using XOF. ( 1% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Bruno Parga 23 days ago; known on 2021-01-01.

[Vikings] Bjorn is elected king of all Norway ( 60% confidence )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known in 10 days.

[Vikings] Lagertha survives season 6 ( 40% confidence )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known in 10 days.

Halo Infinite is released in Q4 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2020-12-25.

Diablo IV is released in 2021 ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2021-12-31.

Jurassic World 3 is released in June 2021 ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2021-06-30.

Uncharted movie is released in December 2020 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2020-12-25.

Dune movie is released in December 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2020-12-25.

Avatar 2 is released in December 2021 ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2021-12-25.

A Star Wars movie is released in December 2022 ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by qznc 24 days ago; known on 2022-12-25.

Apple will release a Macbook or Macbook Pro that uses a CPU designed by someone other than Intel or AMD. ( 46% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by quanticle 24 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

Donald Trump will NOT be re-elected ( 57% confidence; 18 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com 29 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

The Baltimore Ravens will win the Super Bowl ( 41% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com 29 days ago; known in 24 days.

Pete Buttigieg will win the Democratic Nomination ( 17% confidence; 14 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com 29 days ago; known on 2020-07-01.

Federal Reserve does not reduce target Fed Fund rate in 2020 ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 30 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

US Treasury 10Y yield >= 3% in 2020 ( 21% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 30 days ago; known on 2020-12-31.

AfD will get more votes than FDP in 2020 Hamburg State Election ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-12; known on 2020-02-24.

SPD will get the most votes in 2020 Hamburg State Election ( 53% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-12; known on 2020-02-24.

Jeopardy will still be on the air in 2025. ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by skateboard34 on 2019-12-12; known on 2025-01-01.

Max Verstappen will win the 2020 F1 World Championship. ( 39% confidence )

Created by skateboard34 on 2019-12-12; known on 2020-12-12.

AWS will announce an ap-southeast-3 region for Western Australia, by the end of 2020 ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by bly on 2019-12-04; known on 2021-01-16.

[AWS] re:invent 2020 will announce the next iteration of DeepRacer – head to head combat robot competitions (think battle bots) ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by bly on 2019-12-03; known on 2020-12-16.

oil consumption will remain at or above current levels for at least 20 years ( 51% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by kjaques on 2019-11-30; known on 2039-11-30.

Pete Buttigieg will win the democratic primary ( 22% confidence; 12 wagers )

Created by skuthus on 2019-11-27; known on 2020-06-16.

[Fighting] Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov to fight in April 2020 ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-27; known on 2020-04-19.

The Netherlands will make their 2020 Urgenda climate goal ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Stucwerk on 2019-11-26; known on 2021-01-01.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 31 to 40 ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 21 to 30 ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 11 to 20 ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 1 to 10 ( 36% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states, including DC, not won by Biden, Buttigieg, Sanders, Warren, or Yang to be] 0 ( 58% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 41 to 51 ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 31 to 40 ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 21 to 30 ( 1% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 11 to 20 ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.

[US Democratic primaries: Number of states (including DC) won by Andrew Yang to be] 1 to 10 ( 55% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-22; known on 2020-06-02.