“No other EU country announces plan to leave” ( 86% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Britain holds second Brexit referendum” ( 21% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Britain out of EU” ( 79% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“No further CRISPR-edited babies born” ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Pregabalin successfully goes generic and costs less than $100/month on GoodRx.com” ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“I can buy an Impossible Burger at a grocery store within a 30 minute walk from my house” ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“No city where a member of the general public can ride self-driving car without attendant” ( 83% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“SpaceX Starship reaches orbit” ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“SpaceX successfully launches and returns crewed spacecraft” ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Dow above current value of 25000” ( 51% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Bitcoin above Ethereum” ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Bitcoin above 5000” ( 35% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Bitcoin above 3000” ( 67% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Bitcoin above 1000” ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Ginsberg [sic!] still alive” ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Trump’s approval rating below 40” ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Trump’s approval rating below 50” ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Polls show more people support the leading Democrat than the leading Republican” ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Trump is still leading in prediction markets to be Republican nominee” ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Beto O’Rourke leads the Democratic field” ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Joe Biden leads the Democratic field” ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Kamala Harris leads the Democratic field” ( 15% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

“Bernie Sanders leads the Democratic field” ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 23 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

China will increase their cap on solar production in 2019 to at least 20 GW before the end of the year. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by jacobgreenleaf 23 days ago; known on 2019-12-31.

Within one month, MD will have concluded that JQ worked out ( 10% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford 23 days ago; known in 7 days.

[Politics] Trump will choose not to run for a second term in 2020. ( 14% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by KangaRookie 27 days ago; known on 2020-11-05.

[Politics] Donald Trump to publicly express support for Taiwanese independence in 2019 ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

[Fighting] Khabib Nurmagomedov to fight Conor McGregor in 2019 ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

[Fighting] Dominick Cruz to fight in 2019 ( 65% confidence )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

The winner of the 2019 World Snooker Championship to be British ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2019-05-07.

Emperor Akihito to abdicate as scheduled on 2019-04-30 ( 92% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2019-05-01.

Taiwan to declare independence in 2019 ( 20% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.

Taiwan to declare independence in 2019 H1 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2019-07-01.

Taiwan to declare independence in 2019 Q1 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

[Politics] Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump's next meeting, should it occur before February EOM, to take place in Vietnam ( 80% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known in 11 days.

[Politics] Kim Jong Un and Donald Trump to meet by February EOM ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known in 11 days.

[Fighting] Khabib Nurmagomedov's next fight to be against Tony Ferguson, and to happen in 2019 H1 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2019-07-01.

“Global carbon emissions will increase” ( 91% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro 30 days ago; known on 2020-01-01.