George Martin won't finish “A Song of Ice and Fire” series until 2030 ( 70% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Stommelen on 2018-10-01; known on 2030-01-01.

Politics, US – Before 2019, the President, Vice President, White House Press Secretary, White House Chief of Staff, or Attorney General names a suspected author of the New York Times “Resistance” op-ed. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-09-28; known in 15 days.

Politics, US – In Madison v. Alabama, the Supreme Court rules that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-09-28; known on 2019-08-01.

The control problem will be solved until AI can recursively self-improve. ( 30% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2101-01-01.

AI goes FOOM until 2100. ( 85% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2101-01-01.

At the end of 2100, at least 100 mio. people will be alive. ( 77% confidence; 4 comments )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2101-01-01.

Humanity will establish a permanent base on mars until 2100. ( 75% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2101-01-01.

Humanity will establish a permanent basis on the moon until 2100. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2101-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 1000 people will have lived permanently on mars will be between 2073 and 2085. ( 40% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2086-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 100 people will have lived permanently on mars will be between 2052 and 2062. ( 55% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2063-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 10 people will have lived permanently on mars will be between 2042 and 2052 ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2053-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 1000 people will have lived permanently on the moon will be between 2075 and 2085. ( 40% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2086-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 100 people will have lived permanently on the moon will be between 2055 and 2063. ( 50% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2064-01-01.

The first 1-year period in which at least 10 people will have lived permanently on the moon will be between 2045 and 2055. ( 60% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2056-01-01.

The first human being will be born on mars between 2070 and 2090 ( 47% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2091-01-01.

The first human being will be born on the moon between 2060 and 2085. ( 54% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2086-01-01.

Humans will land on mars between 2030 and 2038. ( 70% confidence )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2039-01-01.

Humans will land on the moon between 2028 and 2033. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-25; known on 2034-01-01.

Fix your postural tilt when standing by the end of the year as judged by a majority of 3 surveyed friends ( 90% confidence )

Created by arun on 2018-09-25; known in 14 days.

Todas las pwrsonas usaremos IA al menos una vez en su vida en Peru, segun Marcos ( 60% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2038-09-23.

Java va a desaparecer o perder el mercado, segun Diego de makerlab. ( 70% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2026-09-23.

Finished the water ( 20% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2048-09-23.

Android studio morirá en dos años. Flutter se corona como el sucesor, Segun Juan. ( 80% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2020-09-23.

Fredy predice que Python desaparecerá Python se reduce a 70% popularidad (Moisés dice que lo revivirá) ( 60% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2020-09-23.

The problem with trying to cache xxx.worker.js is due to the worker-loader package. ( 70% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2018-09-21; known on 2018-10-21.

Not more than 100 mio. people will have died of attacks by nuclear weapons by 2061. ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by pranomostro on 2018-09-19; known on 2061-01-01.

Politics, UK – Theresa May is subject to a leadership challenge before 2019-01-01. ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-09-15; known in 15 days.

Politics, US – Before 1 January 2019, either house of Congress passes a bill that would limit the president's authority to impose tariffs. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-09-15; known in 15 days.

Improve my basal metabolic rate from 1497 to 1800+ in 12 months ( 7% confidence )

Created by arun on 2018-09-15; known on 2019-09-15.