Statistics
Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Recent Predictions
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[US Democratic primary: Indiana winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-07-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Indiana winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-07-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Indiana winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 19% confidence; 12 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-07-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Indiana winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 20% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-05-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-07-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Indiana winner to be] Joe Biden ( 31% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-05-05; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2020-06-23.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 11% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Joe Biden ( 31% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08; judged right by Cato on 2020-04-14.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 11% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 30% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Joe Biden ( 25% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05; judged right by Cato on 2020-04-13.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 9% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 14% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 17% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Joe Biden ( 40% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25; judged right by Cato on 2020-06-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] any other candidate ( 6% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 15% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 18% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Joe Biden ( 37% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18; judged right by Cato on 2020-03-18.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] any other candidate ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 8% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 23% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 19% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Joe Biden ( 35% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11; judged right by Cato on 2020-03-11.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] any other candidate ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 10% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 14% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by Cato on 2020-03-05.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 19% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged wrong by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Virginia winner to be] Joe Biden ( 30% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-02; judged right by stepan on 2020-03-04.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 9 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 28% confidence; 11 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged right by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 19% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Nevada winner to be] Joe Biden ( 29% confidence; 10 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-23; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] any other candidate ( 4% confidence; 6 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 12% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 25% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged right by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 21% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: New Hampshire winner to be] Joe Biden ( 19% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-12; judged wrong by Andrew MacFie on 2020-02-26.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] any other candidate ( 4% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Julian Castro ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 17% confidence; 8 wagers )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged right by Cato on 2020-02-29.
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[US Democratic primary: Iowa winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-02-04; judged wrong by Pablo on 2020-02-05.