Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Recent Predictions
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L seen at M given R puts 83% ( 82% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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L seen at M ( 81% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by EagleEye on 2015-04-16.
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Adam at M ( 95% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by EagleEye on 2015-04-16.
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S sighted by me or R crossing the threshold of or loitering outside of M given R puts 20% ( 22% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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S sighted by me or R crossing the threshold of or loitering outside of M ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by EagleEye on 2015-04-16.
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That bike is still there ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by qwerty314 on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Ty Dolla $ign ( 3% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Drake ( 3% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Childish Gambino ( 6% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is A$AP Rocky ( 5% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Jay Z ( 5% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Tyler, the Creator ( 2% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Earl Sweatshirt ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Eminem ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being given as expected, Kendrick's favourite rapper right now is Kanye ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is exactly one of the 16 in that article or where it's referring to, assuming an answer or link or so forth is given ( 73% confidence )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Mortal Man ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is i ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is You Ain't Gotta Lie (Momma Said) ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is The Blacker the Berry ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Complexion (A Zulu Love) ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is How Much A Dollar Cost ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Hood Politics ( 8% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Momma ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is For Sale? (Interlude) ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Alright ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is u ( 16% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is These Walls ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Institutionalized ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is King Kunta ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is For Free (Interlude) ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Conditional on it being one of the 16, Kendrick's favourite track from TPAB is Wesley's Theory ( 4% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-16.
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Blizzard will release Hearthstone to the consoles this year. ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by VoidChronos on 2015-04-16; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by VoidChronos on 2016-01-01.
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Blizzard will release Hearthstone for Windows Phone by the end of this year ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by VoidChronos on 2015-04-16; known on 2016-01-01; judged wrong by timujin on 2016-01-07.
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I will wake up between 10:50am and 11:00am today. ( 50% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-16.
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I will get to Gold Division in League of Legends before the end of season 5. ( 28% confidence; 5 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-11-30; judged wrong by PlacidPlatypus on 2017-12-13.
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The Bloodborne OST will be good, and have at least one (1) song I will fall in love with completely. ( 80% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Quantum Uncertainty will turn me into a frog. ( 1% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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The laptop will be plugged in ( 60% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by RoryS on 2015-04-15.
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I am online. Rory is online. However, he will NOT send the message first. (before the end of today). ( 70% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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My Kettle will boil for 120 seconds, with 1.2 litres of water inside it. ( 12% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I think in this episode of Nevermind the Buzzcocks Simon Amstell will make me laugh. ( 100% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Of all the predictions that reveal themselves at the end of today, I will get at least 50% or more correct. (9 in total, so 4.5+) ( 50% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Star Horn Royal Club will beat (absolutely destroy) Young Glory in the LCS ( 90% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-16.
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Energy PACEMAKER will win vs AD Gaming in the LCS. ( 70% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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When I click on my YouTube tab, the song will be at 1:04. ( 30% confidence; 5 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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By the year 2020, the band Paradise Fears will consistently receive over 1 million views on every video they upload. ( 70% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2020-01-01; judged wrong by Bruno Parga on 2019-12-31.
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My sisters are getting picked up at 4 o'clock ( 60% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by RoryS on 2015-04-15.
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On my way to the shops I will encounter nobody I know. ( 70% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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On my way to the shops I will not trip over. (Or on the way back for that matter). ( 90% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Hema will insult me in some way before today ends. ( 90% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Ryan will send me a YouTube Video at some point before today ends. ( 80% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Rory will message me today asking if we want to play BGO. ( 80% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I have one unread E-mail. It is from someone replying to a YouTube comment. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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By the year 2050, Nuclear weapons would have been abolished globally for the benefit of mankind. ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2050-01-01.
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When I go to check my cats food bowl (now) it will NOT be empty. ( 80% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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The muesli will be good ( 90% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by RoryS on 2015-04-15.
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I have made a list of 30 words (No longer than 5 characters). I have 2 minutes to memorise as many as I can. I think I can memorise at least 18. I have 2 minutes to write down as many as I can. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can whistle for a maximum duration of 20-22 seconds. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-16; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can do 22 sit ups in 30 seconds. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can do more than 120 clicks a minute. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can type more than 70 words per minute. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can hold my breath for longer than 30 seconds. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can do 20 press ups in 10 seconds. ( 80% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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When I check BBC weather the temperature for today will be anywhere between 20-22c. (In Plymouth). ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I will win my next Pokémon battle. (Against players). ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I can drink 3 glasses of water in less than 15 seconds. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I will not receive a response from a job application at all today. ( 90% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I will get heads on my next coin flip. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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A wasp will fly into my room at some point before today ends. ( 60% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Based on age, Jacqueline Susann died from cancer, according to Wikipedia ( 26% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15.
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Based on age, Jacqueline Susann died from heart problem not immediately due to ingestion, according to Wikipedia ( 33% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15.
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Based on age, Jacqueline Susann died from chronic or acute substance abuse, ingestion, or similar, according to Wikipedia ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15.
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Based on age, Jacqueline Susann committed suicide according to Wikipedia ( 31% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2015-04-15.
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I will decide on MIRI as a charity that I donate a proportion of my donation money to. ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-12-31; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-12-31.
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I will have sex in Sasha's room ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-06-15; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-06-09.
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I would have made over 100 predictions by the end of this month. ( 90% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-30; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-05-01.
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My calibration will be better than Rory's. ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-30; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-05-01.
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I will find Rory's next sexual partner attractive. ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-10-31; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-10-18.
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I will be able to code a Random Name Generator by the end of the week. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-19; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-20.
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I will get a girlfriend in the next 24 hours. ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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That when I wake up Earth will still exist. ( 100% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I will wake up at anywhere between 11:20 and 11:30 today in the morning. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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I think for dinner tomorrow I will have my Mediterranean Rice. ( 20% confidence )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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My parents will complain about me not having a job at any moment in the next 24 hours. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-16; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Lily will either 'like', or in some way acknowledge the birthday message on her wall. ( 48% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by RoryS on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by RoryS on 2015-04-16.
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I will not play league at all tomorrow. Even if my friends ask me to play a game. ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged right by PseudonymousUser on 2015-04-15.
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Our game will be playable when it is supposed to be ready ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by timujin on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-06-16; judged right by timujin on 2015-06-08.
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FMK will talk to me by or on 03/05 ( 14% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-05-04; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-05-04.
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FMK will talk to me by or on 26/04 ( 8% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-27; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-04-27.
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FMK will talk to me by or on 19/04 ( 2% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-20; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-04-20.
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I will sit next to FMK in topology ( 1% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-14; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-04-16.
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FMK will send me a Facebook message by the end 14/03 ( 25% confidence )
Created by qwerty314 on 2015-04-14; known on 2015-04-15; judged wrong by qwerty314 on 2015-04-16.
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In the United States, manual labor will make up a larger percentage of the total workforce in 2035 than it does in 2015. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-14; known on 2036-01-01.
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By 2030, the consensus in the United States will be that 9/11 was an inside job with US government involvement. Consensus to be determined by at least 60% of the US believing it, or it to be widely accepted in some other fashion if the situation has broke ( 8% confidence; 8 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-13; known on 2030-01-01.
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Commercialized living on Mars will not have a positive cost/benefit analysis and won't become widespread for at least 85 years. Commercialized living is defined by habitation not primarily for scientific research. ( 77% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-13; known on 2100-01-01.
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Man will travel to Mars by 2030. ( 41% confidence; 20 wagers; 10 comments )
Created by jesselevine on 2015-04-13; known on 2030-01-01.
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By 2065, a majority of the world will be vegan. ( 11% confidence; 13 wagers; 13 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-12; known on 2065-01-01.
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I will make > 100 technical anki flashcards for perfusion/cryopreservation topics by 6 weeks from now. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Porejide on 2015-04-12; known on 2015-05-24; judged wrong by Porejide on 2015-09-15.
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EUR/USD above 1.10 at end of June. ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Chri on 2015-04-12; known on 2015-07-01; judged right by kuudes on 2015-07-01.