Unjudged Predictions
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Total death toll from malaria by year end 2017 will be > 350,000. ( 69% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-12-31.
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large, existing firms that make medical devices will fail to make inroads on marketshare % of wearable health devices wrt small disruptors ( 66% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-19; known on 2017-12-31.
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War involving either active troop deployments from/fighting in all of: US, UK, China, At least one Scandinavian country, India, Indonesia, Malaysia, Russia ( 13% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-17; known on 2017-12-31.
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alexa/siri/ok google/their competitor have better conversational skills ( 52% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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Trump Inauguration has lower ratings than or between Obama and Bush Inauguration ( 49% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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2 or more of { US, Russia, China } engaged in physical war AND lead up to said war involves { kill switches, mass DDOS, some other kind of computer-related 'attack' } ( 18% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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Somebody does something “really cool” with augmented reality ( 69% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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First bipedal robots used in police active patrol duty ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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first bipedal soldiers deployed are russian made ( 17% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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Virtual Reality used by <1% of US+Can population ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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Somebody causes fire, augmented reality to blame ( 37% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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Somebody gets themselves killed, augmented reality to blame ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-16; known on 2017-12-31.
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commercial scale, “netpower” allam cycle plant completed & ready for operation ( 62% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-25; known on 2017-12-31.
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Major Atmospheric Cerenkov Experiment Telescope, the world's 2nd largest γ ray telescope will be completed in 2017 ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-27; known on 2017-12-31.
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There'll be a hollywood movie featuring mesh worm robot adversaries by end of 2017 ( 30% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-11; known on 2017-12-31.
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The Vital Study (http://www.vitalstudy.org) will find that fish oil significantly reduces mortality. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by ChristianKl on 2013-01-07; known on 2017-12-31.
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The Vital Study (http://www.vitalstudy.org) will find that Vitamin D at 2000IU significantly reduces mortality. ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ChristianKl on 2013-01-07; known on 2017-12-31.
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Within three years (2015), a AAA level gaming title (with professional voice acting, at least Xbox 360 level graphics, and a multimillion dollar budget) will be released for a mobile (smart phone) platform. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Aticper on 2012-10-24; known on 2017-12-31.
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Global Income Inequality as measured by Gini coefficient based on incomes in constant International dollars (which has so far been calculated by Branko Milanovic of the World Bank) will be less in 2017 than what it was in 2008. ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by rznsri@gmail.com on 2015-08-26; known on 2017-12-30.
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I will get A in my SRA 311 class ( 90% confidence )
Created by donjon on 2017-11-13; known on 2017-12-16.
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Schreiber will be bought and employee stock cashed out. ( 50% confidence )
Created by viveutvivas on 2013-05-15; known on 2017-12-16.
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[Crypto predictions:] Stellar will go up from $0.9 ( 60% confidence )
Created by owenshen24 on 2017-12-03; known on 2017-12-10.
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[Crypto predictions:] Raiden Network will go up from $3.63 ( 60% confidence )
Created by owenshen24 on 2017-12-03; known on 2017-12-10.
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[Crypto predictions:] Augur will go up from $30.56 ( 70% confidence )
Created by owenshen24 on 2017-12-03; known on 2017-12-10.
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Holly Holm will beat Ronda Rousey in their rematch. ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by EloiseRosen on 2015-12-03; known on 2017-12-04.
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SKTechworks closes, moves to cheaper location, merges with another larger entity ( 59% confidence; 3 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-11; known on 2017-12-01.
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Jason will own a tablet (or regularly use a family one) before Dec 31, 2017. https://twitter.com/jsnsndr/status/270254241891889153 ( 80% confidence )
Created by Porejide on 2012-11-18; known on 2017-12-01.
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Salted__aÀ_>—é 䃊p4ìÕÔ‹?‚)ciÅÑ0=ZÌ—±B¤ºÑö£l‚wKÌĺDZ¦Xù˜¹Û¸c?ó—Ýc>ÅŒ§%Ñ{E#ã¶`WÓÑÕŠä^¼ÙB’àu¶ÂZ‘KÐaa1qpµÙ°¿ÊŒ·fK D~S ( 54% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Stillvallight on 2016-11-20; known on 2017-11-20.
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Salted__DË'}) q×ɸÆ2%ÙH”Ãôf4MwCÊ=»Ò“QÆ{PKÈ2œ³Ó¨†ÍÈüÑ=6¸®!ö»Ogšb€K5$ÆÙðjs[ÖØ%DOÒŒ9T•SØÆxä^ ›IQ/7,ê©Ò!¸•€¡—Ï£N•¶„,ócg3÷g ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Stillvallight on 2016-11-20; known on 2017-11-20.
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I will win the lottery ( 0% confidence )
Created by Gibs on 2017-11-12; known on 2017-11-13.
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Greg will propose to Yelena ( 90% confidence )
Created by jdmeagher on 2015-11-07; known on 2017-11-07.
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ANTI-ANTIFA PROTEST regina cancelled ( 49% confidence )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-17; known on 2017-11-05.
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A airplane hangar foam-fire-protection system on the planet will save >= 33% of an airplane's present value from loss due to fire-the-airplane-is-intimate-with-from-fire's-inception over next 5 years. validated by owner, witnesses or local fire brigade. ( 15% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by eurekaignem on 2012-10-26; known on 2017-10-27.
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Theranos will be given FDA approval for the majority of their finger prick blood tests. The FDA have already approved the herpes test, and I predict that the FDA will go on to approve (most of) the remainder of the tests submitted by Theranos. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by rhiannon on 2015-10-16; known on 2017-10-16.
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http://alamalsayarat.com ( 10% confidence )
Created by alamal1 on 2017-10-13; known on 2017-10-14.
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I will start a PhD program within the next five years. ( 40% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by amitpamin on 2012-10-10; known on 2017-10-09.
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A minecraft-style MMO (simple sandbox game supporting > 500 players) will launch within 5 years ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by learnmethis on 2012-09-26; known on 2017-09-26.
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I will do a postgrad degree in neuroscience or cognitive science in 2017-18 ( 34% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by RoryS on 2016-04-19; known on 2017-09-20.
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I will do a postgrad degree in anthropology in 2017-18 ( 8% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2016-04-19; known on 2017-09-20.
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I will do a postgrad degree in philosophy in 2017-18 ( 31% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2016-04-19; known on 2017-09-20.
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I will do a postgrad degree in computer science in 2017-18 ( 22% confidence )
Created by RoryS on 2016-04-19; known on 2017-09-20.
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I will launch a landing page for onashirt in the next 6 months ( 60% confidence )
Created by mala on 2017-03-20; known on 2017-09-20.
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Investor, producer or high-ranking internal official of Game of Thrones staff blames shorter season on piracy. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by shm on 2017-05-24; known on 2017-08-27.
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Matt will have submitted his app to the store by August 15. ( 50% confidence )
Created by cmessinger on 2017-07-23; known on 2017-08-15.
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There is a YMCA in San Francisco with a gender neutral changing room. ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Somni on 2017-05-10; known on 2017-08-10.
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I have illness ( 50% confidence )
Created by cml5814 on 2017-08-02; known on 2017-08-09.
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Parents will find a reasonn to hate their new neighborhood (in East Layton) within 3 years ( 15% confidence )
Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-02; known on 2017-08-02.
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Conditional on conservatives losing UK election 2017, at least one conservative MP accuses labour of illegally or immorally benefiting from russian influence or being russian plants in some way ( 48% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-28; known on 2017-07-08; judged unknown by jbeshir on 2017-10-21.
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Obamacare repeal on Jan 11/12, 2017 that occurred defeated before it goes into effect ( 10% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-12; known on 2017-07-01.
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Serei has smaller boobs than SynapticWanderer. (it makes about as much sense in context okay???) ( 78% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Somni on 2017-06-18; known on 2017-06-25.