The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020.

Created by Jack on 2009-10-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged unknown by freyley on 2009-10-21.

  • Jack estimated 70% on 2009-10-20
  • jes5199 estimated 85% on 2009-10-20
  • archgoon  judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-20.
  • freyley  judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
  • freyley estimated 92% on 2009-10-21
  • anonym estimated 55% on 2009-10-21
  • TheScholar estimated 99% and said “I’m not even sure that this problem is solvable.on 2009-10-28
  • lispozord estimated 25% on 2009-11-09
  • MrHen estimated 90% on 2010-02-03
  • gwern estimated 90% on 2010-09-16
  • gwern said “TheScholar: looking at their website, Clay isn’t clear. It could be a independence or undecidability proof would be acceptable to claim the prize…on 2010-09-18
  • JoshuaZ estimated 80% and said “gwern: Showing this to be undecidable in something like ZFC would likely require completely new techniques. on 2010-09-29
  • gwern said “see also by 2040 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2838 2013 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2837on 2011-06-27
  • JoshuaZ said “tags: math, computer scienceon 2011-09-04
  • Anubhav estimated 70% on 2011-10-12
  • lispozord estimated 70% on 2014-05-15
  • aarongertler estimated 90% on 2014-05-17
  • rebellionkid estimated 70% on 2014-06-22

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