The Millennium Prize for solving P Versus NP will remain unclaimed by 2020.

Created by Jack on 2009-10-20; known on 2020-01-01; judged unknown by freyley on 2009-10-21.

• Jack estimated 70% on 2009-10-20
• jes5199 estimated 85% on 2009-10-20
• archgoon judged this prediction wrong on 2009-10-20.
• freyley judged this prediction unknown on 2009-10-21.
• freyley estimated 92% on 2009-10-21
• anonym estimated 55% on 2009-10-21
• TheScholar estimated 99% and said “I’m not even sure that this problem is solvable.” on 2009-10-28
• lispozord estimated 25% on 2009-11-09
• MrHen estimated 90% on 2010-02-03
• gwern estimated 90% on 2010-09-16
• gwern said “TheScholar: looking at their website, Clay isn’t clear. It could be a independence or undecidability proof would be acceptable to claim the prize…” on 2010-09-18
• JoshuaZ estimated 80% and said “gwern: Showing this to be undecidable in something like ZFC would likely require completely new techniques. ” on 2010-09-29
• gwern said “see also by 2040 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2838 2013 http://predictionbook.com/predictions/2837” on 2011-06-27
• JoshuaZ said “tags: math, computer science” on 2011-09-04
• Anubhav estimated 70% on 2011-10-12

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