[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …in a landslide by Joe Biden. The voter suppression strategy didn't work. ( 60% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com on 2020-08-04; known on 2020-11-30.

By 2020, Eliezer Yudkowsky will have given up building friendly AI. ( 6% confidence; 23 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13; known on 2020-12-01.

A non-human animal will be elected US president in 2020 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2016-11-14; known on 2020-12-01.

A fictional character will be elected US president in 2020 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2016-11-14; known on 2020-12-01.

Politics, Belarus – Lukashenko is not president anymore by end of November 2020 ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NickN on 2020-08-17; known on 2020-12-01.

US President Zuckerberg ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-03; known on 2020-12-01.

The 2020 presidential election will be Donald Trump v. Oprah Winfrey. ( 3% confidence; 25 wagers; 13 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2017-01-16; known on 2020-12-01.

Next term there will be a democratic president in America ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2017-11-30; known on 2020-12-04.

The Telecommunications and Other Legislation Amendment (Assistance and Access) Act 2018 will cause high profile services such as AWS or WhatsApp to be withdrawn from the Australian market within 2 years ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by sjy on 2018-12-05; known on 2020-12-04.

At launch, the cheapest PS5 available from an authorized retailer in the United States will cost more than $500 (excl. tax, shipping) ( 90% confidence )

Created by bobpage on 2020-07-30; known on 2020-12-10.

Max Verstappen will win the 2020 F1 World Championship. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by skateboard34 on 2019-12-12; known on 2020-12-12.

“The Essential Workers” (or similar subject) will be TIME Magazine's Person of the Year for 2020. ( 41% confidence; 14 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by pvoberstein on 2020-04-10; known on 2020-12-15.

starlink has a public beta available before december 15 2020 ( 55% confidence )

Created by finback 27 days ago; known on 2020-12-15.

I will buy a Mac this fall ( 25% confidence )

Created by Radish on 2020-08-12; known on 2020-12-16.

[AWS] re:invent 2020 will announce the next iteration of DeepRacer – head to head combat robot competitions (think battle bots) ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by bly on 2019-12-03; known on 2020-12-16.

United Ireland by 2020 ( 8% confidence; 14 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by elephantower on 2016-06-05; known on 2020-12-16.

Border checkpoints will be set up along the UK/Ireland land border by 2020 ( 27% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2020-12-16.

Conditional on border checkpoints being set up along the UK-Ireland border, there will be an attack on the checkpoints or border guards ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2020-12-16.

Derek Chauvin will be convicted of murder ( 58% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by enolan on 2020-06-17; known on 2020-12-17.

Business income grows by at least 10% ( 70% confidence )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known on 2020-12-21.

I will have read 100 books ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known on 2020-12-21.

Halo Infinite is released in Q4 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Uncharted movie is released in December 2020 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Dune movie is released in December 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

It'll all be over by Christmas (in at least half of all countries on a political map, according to their governments) ( 30% confidence )

Created by wizzwizz4 on 2020-05-27; known on 2020-12-25.

Mission Indradhanush will provide full immunization coverage in Bharat from 65% in 2014 to at least 90% children in the next 5 years. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-12; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will reduce emission intensity of the economy by 25% from its 2005 levels by 2020. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Malaysia will be a high income country by 2020. ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-03; known on 2020-12-25.

Costa Rica, Brasil, Mauritius will be high income countries (World Bank definition) by 2020. ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-03; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat to be third-biggest defence spender by 2020 -IHS Defence Budgets Annual Report ( 59% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-08; known on 2020-12-25.

Palau, Panama, Argentina, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, will be high income countries by 2020. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-09; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat to be a $3.5 trillion economy by 2020: Sonal Varma, Nomura ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Zhongguo(中国) will outspend the US on science by 2020 ( 65% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-27; known on 2020-12-25.

100% IPV6 deployment by 2020. ( 27% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-07; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will be ranked 2nd in the world by 2020 for steel production. ( 88% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will reach 1.4 billion mobile connections by 2020, when mobile penetration will reach 100 per cent. ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2020-12-25.

Zhongguo will ≥ 6.5% real GDP growth rate from 2015-2020. ( 95% confidence; 5 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-04; known on 2020-12-25.

It takes Newport News the better part of a decade to build a single supercarrier. China has no experience building any ship the size of an aircraft carrier—even a moderate-sized one like Liaoning. A minimum of 9 years can be inferred from their statement. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-06; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat: HNWI wealth is forecasted at USD 1.425 trillion in 2016, rising to USD 2.3 trillion by 2020. —Julius Baer wealth report ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat total exports in world markets to be 3.5% by 2020, doubling it in five years. USD 900 billion by 2020, almost double from USD 461 billion in 2013-14. -High Commissioner Vijay Thakur Singh ( 65% confidence; 3 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-27; known on 2020-12-26.

Bharat will pass the Deutschland on the IMF's ranking of world's biggest economies. Bharat will be the 4th biggest economy at GDP current prices in the world in 2020. ( 40% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-13; known on 2020-12-27.

Entre os dias 11 de janeiro de 2020 e 26 de dezembro de 2020, publicarei ao menos 35 edições da minha newsletter semanal ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by chemotaxis101 on 2020-01-04; known on 2020-12-27.

After the US election, media coverage and public sentiment regarding Coronavirus will greatly shift towards a view that its not all that bad. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by kenlogan@gmail.com on 2020-08-12; known on 2020-12-29.

I will publish a paper this year ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2020-12-29.

I will see my grandmother in person this year ( 69% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2020-12-29.

I will see my sister in person this year ( 75% confidence )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2020-12-29.

Waymo offers rides to the airport this year. ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2020-01-08; known on 2020-12-30.

Bharat's middle class will reach 200 million by 2020. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2020-12-30.

I will get a list article published at Cracked.com by 31/12/2020. ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by najdorf on 2013-02-06; known on 2020-12-31.