[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year:] 125 ( 60% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-07-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year:] 130 ( 50% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-07-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year:] 135 ( 5% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-07-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year:] 105 ( 80% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-07-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year:] 85 ( 90% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-07-01.

Luna (dating on blockchain) will have more than 200 000 users (created accounts) by the end of 2018 ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by leo_grint on 2018-01-31; known on 2019-07-02.

Luna (dating on blockchain) will have more than 40 000 registered users by the end of 2018 ( 70% confidence )

Created by leo_grint on 2018-01-31; known on 2019-07-02.

Charlottesville car driver supports Trump ( 64% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-13; known on 2019-07-09.

Charlottesville car driver shown to be taking money from Soros ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-13; known on 2019-07-09.

Scotland & Canada are one country on July 15th, 2019 ( 1% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ioannes on 2017-04-20; known on 2019-07-15.

USD cash outperforms SPY during 01/15/19 to 07/15/19 ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by objclone on 2019-01-16; known on 2019-07-15.

Other to rule Westeros at the end of the TV-series ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

Kingdom of Westeros to be dissolved by the end of the TV-series (No house rules more than 4 regions) ( 26% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

House Lannister (or anyone who descends from that lineage in the male line) to rule at least four regions of Westeros at the end of the TV series ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

House Baratheon (or anyone who descends from that lineage in the male line) to rule at least four regions of Westeros at the end of the TV series ( 8% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

House Greyjoy (or anyone who descends from that lineage in the male line) to rule at least four regions of Westeros at the end of the TV series ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

House Targaryen (or anyone who descends from that lineage in the male line) to rule at least four regions of Westeros at the end of the TV series ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

House Stark (or anyone who descends from that lineage in the male line) to rule at least four regions of Westeros at the end of the TV series ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

White Walkers to rule at least four regions of Westeros at the end of the TV series ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by BiasedCalibration on 2014-05-24; known on 2019-07-16.

Before 1 August 2019, Facebook announces that Mark Zuckerberg will cease to be the company's sole Chairman or CEO. Leave of a absence counts. ( 18% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-12-09; known on 2019-08-01.

[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in July for which data are published ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Cato 16 days ago; known on 2019-08-01.

Politics, US – In Madison v. Alabama, the Supreme Court rules that the State of Alabama may not execute Vernon Madison. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-09-28; known on 2019-08-01.

Politics, UK – Fitch, Moody's, or S&P next downgrade the United Kingdom's long-term local or foreign currency issuer ratings on or before the 31st of July 2019. ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2019-01-07; known on 2019-08-01.

I will still think Ouroboros is a bad design in six months ( 70% confidence )

Created by enolan 17 days ago; known on 2019-08-01.

TSLA Q2 2019 net income will be $150M or less. ( 60% confidence )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-08-01.

Microsoft is gonna change its OS's name from Windows to something else within 5 years because people hate Windows. ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2019-08-02.

iPen and iPaper from Apple in 5 years ( 26% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-13; known on 2019-08-13.

Mark Zuckerberg will run in the 2020 USA presidential elections. ( 9% confidence; 30 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2017-01-14; known on 2019-08-16.

there will be a non-hype blackpoolhotelgate (non-hype being roughly that the customers are unhappy about things not being run well/the owner being incompetent, and not including [only people uninvolved discoursing about it]) ( 33% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Somni on 2018-08-23; known on 2019-08-22.

Josh Sokol-Rubenstein can correctly recall the hooks for LABELLA, GLABELLA, and FLABELLA in OSPD5 tournament Scrabble, upon seeing this prediction in 2 years. ( 45% confidence )

Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-23; known on 2019-08-23.

I can correctly recall the hooks for LABELLA, GLABELLA, and FLABELLA in OSPD5 tournament Scrabble, upon seeing this prediction in 2 years. ( 10% confidence )

Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-23; known on 2019-08-24.

[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in August for which data are published ( 15% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Cato 16 days ago; known on 2019-09-01.

My brother quits / is fired from his new job for what I determine to be BS reasons ( 90% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-01; known on 2019-09-01.

The African National Congress wins the South African presidential elections ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-09-11.

The Belgian federal government formation takes at least three months from the date of the election ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-09-11.

Improve my basal metabolic rate from 1497 to 1800+ in 12 months ( 7% confidence )

Created by arun on 2018-09-15; known on 2019-09-15.

Test driven design has started to gain traction in building design ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2014-09-16; known on 2019-09-16.

A new ministry will be created in the Russian government. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2016-09-22; known on 2019-09-22.

Estonia to be elected to the UN Security Council for the 2020-2021 period. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-09-30.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year so far:] 195 ( 50% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year so far:] 180 ( 60% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year so far:] 135 ( 90% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year so far:] 150 ( 80% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year so far:] 200 ( 5% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Personal: I have exercised at least this many days this year so far:] 165 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in September for which data are published ( 15% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Cato 16 days ago; known on 2019-10-01.

[Baseball] The New York Mets will make the playoffs in 2019 ( 60% confidence )

Created by RedScharlach 3 days ago; known on 2019-10-01.

Games Workers Unite will be generally considered a failure on October 1st 2019 ( 80% confidence )

Created by enolan on 2018-03-23; known on 2019-10-01.

Sandia 10MW CO2 turbine tests success ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14; known on 2019-10-01.

China's Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) to see at least one loan default by 2019 Q3 EOQ ( 12% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2019-10-01.