The user 8 will not write a single line of APL code that is relevant to his project. ( 99% confidence )

Created by bingbingwahoo on 2021-11-12; known on 2022-11-10.

I will have a job before 250 applications ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by waldo2525 on 2021-11-15; known on 2022-11-15.

In 5 years programmers will be expected to write formally proven programs to the same or more extent as they're expected to write tests today ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Jach on 2017-11-17; known on 2022-11-17.

In a year, I will not regret getting into defi ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by claerity on 2021-11-23; known on 2022-11-23.

Our Ford Focus battery lasts 100,000 miles ( 90% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2017-11-30; known on 2022-11-30.

Eduardo Leite (PSDB) se candidata à presidência nas eleições de 2022. ( 65% confidence )

Created by rapinoinfeliz on 2020-07-22; known on 2022-12-01.

Lula will be elected Brazil's next president in 2022. ( 55% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by okayspm on 2021-10-04; known on 2022-12-11.

Zhongguo will be a high income country by 2022 ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 12 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-28; known on 2022-12-12.

The New Development Bank will make more loans in billions of dollars per year, than the IMF by 2022. ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-16.

Jair Bolsonaro not impeached until the end of his mandate ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2022-12-16.

Malnutrition trends in Bharat: Stunting -Under 3 children in 2022 will be under 32.5%. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-17.

A Star Wars movie is released in December 2022 ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2022-12-25.

The 2015 budget has 60 GW of wind power by 2022. Bharat will then place 2nd in the world from 5th. Source: Global Wind Energy Council http://www.gwec.net/ ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2022-12-25.

Asian Infrastructure Investment Bank will pass the World Bank in terms of loans(billions of dollars per year) made. ( 100% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2022-12-25.

Banning of incandescent light bulbs globally by 2022.Incandescent lightbulbs will not be bought, manufactured or sold legally. ( 11% confidence; 16 wagers; 17 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2022-12-25.

Zhongguo will be No 1 nation in nuclear power by 2022. ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2022-12-25.

By 2022, child malnutrition(underweight) in Bharat will fall to 18.4%. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Spain will default on its debt by 2022. ( 43% confidence; 9 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Eurozone sovereign debt crisis by 2022. ( 91% confidence; 3 wagers; 10 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Ministry of New and Renewable Energy (MNRE) of Bharat has released a year-by-year breakdown of solar capacity targets by states to reach its overall 100 GW solar capacity target by 2022. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-13; known on 2022-12-25.

Malnutrition trends in Bharat:By 2022 Wasting will be at 8.2% among under 3 children. ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-16; known on 2022-12-25.

Bharat will pass Nihon on the IMF's ranking of world's biggest economies. Bharat will be the 3rd biggest economy at GDP current prices in the world in 2022. However, Bharat will be one rank higher as the 2nd biggest economy in PPP terms. ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-05-13; known on 2022-12-27.

I will meet definition of 'literally homeless' at some point before December 30th 2022 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by iterate-again on 2021-01-14; known on 2022-12-30.

Worldwide biometric ID system will go online by 2022, unknown to the standard publics awareness. ( 13% confidence; 10 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2022-12-30.

A new technique for developing “conversational AI” neural networks will be popularized, whose generated content is less based on word-by-word prediction (like GPT-3) and more based on the semantics and concepts expressed by those words. ( 32% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by topherhunt on 2020-12-12; known on 2022-12-31.

Between 2020 and end of 2022, no non-Apple laptop will be released which performs better on general performance benchmarks than the lowest-priced laptop currently offered by Apple. ( 46% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by topherhunt on 2020-12-12; known on 2022-12-31.

Jeremy Corbyn will become PM by 2022. ( 29% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by missbethann on 2017-10-26; known on 2022-12-31.

60% of the worlds combustion engines will run on Biofuels by the end of 2022 ( 39% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2022-12-31.

Apple will release to the general public a merged, single version of their iOS and Mac OS operating systems by the end of 2022 ( 21% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by separo on 2020-12-08; known on 2022-12-31.

Conditional on me asking Kyle Ivey for the source code to QC Bus Chaser app source code under a license respecting the 4 freedoms, Kyle provides the source code under this license. ( 11% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-10; known on 2022-12-31.

Self-driving cars will be available for sale or lease in most US states within ten years (2022). ( 41% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Aticper on 2012-10-24; known on 2022-12-31.

China's Cap and Trade system still up and running ( 66% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-04; known on 2022-12-31.

Conditional on vaccine mandates being enacted, my sister will get vaccinated by end of 2022 ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sty.silver on 2021-12-05; known on 2022-12-31.

“In 2022 the US economy will no longer be held to be the world leader in global environmental degradation.” ( 79% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2022-12-31.

Some technology invented after 2017 that actually scares me. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-08-29; known on 2022-12-31.

DRM-free games now selling more copies than DRM-encumbered ones ( 40% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-05-10; known on 2022-12-31.

Contrary to my left leanings, Man Made Global Warming will be proved incorrect by 2022 ( 6% confidence; 20 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by raavin on 2010-11-18; known on 2022-12-31.

I will end up opening that business with my teacher before the end of 2022 ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by fandangos on 2020-07-24; known on 2022-12-31.

[Marginal Revolution] Facebook Credits, or some other pseudo-currency, will become widely accepted for offline transactions throughout the world within ten years. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by chemotaxis101 on 2012-03-02; known on 2022-12-31.

The US will have have laws or regulations to outlaw normal people destroying drones by end of 2022 (10 years from now) ( 48% confidence; 7 wagers; 33 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-03-06; known on 2022-12-31.

The Yellowstone Supervolcano will have a magmatic eruption before 2023 ( 1% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by bobpage on 2011-12-27; known on 2023-01-01.

Bolsonaro manterá o mandato presidencial até o final do período para o qual foi eleito. ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by chemotaxis101 on 2019-03-28; known on 2023-01-01.

It is legal and possible to anonymously buy recreational Cannabis in Germany by December 31 2022 (at least one actual legal shop/seller, can be online) ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by predictorrr on 2021-11-30; known on 2023-01-01.

Germany to decommission all nuclear reactors by 2023 ( 53% confidence; 14 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2011-09-25; known on 2023-01-01.

assassinations are attempted against both Georgia senators ( 6% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by technillogue on 2021-01-14; known on 2023-01-01.

'2021 The first humans land on Mars.' —Arthur C. Clarke ( 1% confidence; 25 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-26; known on 2023-01-01.

convictions for attempted murders of at least three of {Republicans who voted to impeach, Georgia senators, Biden, Harris} before 2023 ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by technillogue on 2021-01-14; known on 2023-01-01.