Upcoming Predictions
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The TV show “The Walking Dead” will have at least 10 completed seasons before 2025. ( 45% confidence; 8 wagers; 9 comments )
Created by Mati on 2015-03-28; known on 2025-01-01.
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Josh Hawley runs in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-02; known on 2025-01-01.
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UNSONG was created to control the spread of names (in the same way we might want to restrict anthrax or AI research) ( 30% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by Temeraire on 2016-03-07; known on 2025-01-01.
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The Higgs boson discovered at the LHC on 4/7/12 will be found to NOT be a standard model Higgs boson. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by splorridge on 2016-02-19; known on 2025-01-01.
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“By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model.” ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.
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TSLA price drops below $25 before 2025 ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by batemancapital on 2021-07-26; known on 2025-01-01.
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No new American bootprints on the moon by the end of Calendar Year 2024. ( 86% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2019-06-01; known on 2025-01-01.
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By 2025, “solar energy will cost half or less of what fossil-fuel-based alternatives do” – Vivek Wadhwa ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-08-15; known on 2025-01-01.
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Current Illinois governor Bruce Rauner will be found guilty of any illegal crime ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by btrettel on 2015-09-17; known on 2025-01-01.
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github.com will be hacked on a large scale (more than a few user accounts) before 2025-01-01 ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by btrettel on 2015-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.
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I will publically convert to Buddhism before 2025. ( 0% confidence )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-01.
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firefox will add back built-in support for RSS feeds by 2025 ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by finback on 2020-08-14; known on 2025-01-01.
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I will publically convert to Islam before 2025. ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-01.
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One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse. ( 58% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )
Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2025-01-01.
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I will meditate for at least 1 hour (total) each month in a 1-year period before 2025 ( 70% confidence )
Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-22; known on 2025-01-01.
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“age of onset of 12 years” will be removed from DSM-V diagnosis criteria for ADD/ADHD by the time DSM-VI comes out ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2025-01-01.
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By 2025, China's yuan will be backed by gold. ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by danpop on 2016-03-11; known on 2025-01-01.
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Google's decision to remove support for third-party cookies in Chrome will be ruled an antitrust violation in the United States before 2025. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-01-17; known on 2025-01-01.
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By 2025, 20% of all US driving miles to be by self-driving cars. ( 29% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-25; known on 2025-01-01.
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By 2025, proven that there exist infinitely many primes p and q with |p-q| < 200. ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-09-30; known on 2025-01-01.
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Marijuana will be unscheduled, taxed and regulated similar to alcohol at a federal level in the United States before 2025. ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-01-01; known on 2025-01-02.
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5-sigma evidence of neutrinoless double beta decay by January 1, 2025 ( 52% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-26; known on 2025-01-02.
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I will publically convert to Roman Catholicism before 2025. ( 1% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-02.
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I will be a teetotaler for the entire period between now and 2025-01-01 ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by btrettel on 2015-07-12; known on 2025-01-02.
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SPR below 341M by end of 2024 ( 90% confidence )
Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-07-02; known on 2025-01-10.
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Some modes of the Large Hadron collider will never be reached and by 2025 the scientific community will debate in a peer reviewed physics journal with >median impact that this is due to the anthropic principle combined with the danger of those modes. ( 17% confidence; 16 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by Jennifer on 2009-10-19; known on 2025-01-12.
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Screens will not be the primary form of interface with mobile devices by 2025 ( 16% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Ben Doherty on 2012-03-24; known on 2025-01-16.
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There will be a manned mission to Mars by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 7 wagers )
Created by sweeneyrod on 2014-10-29; known on 2025-01-16.
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Intel will revolutionize computing by placing the first artificial quantum computer chip on the maket by 2025. ( 10% confidence; 14 wagers; 7 comments )
Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-01-16.
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The helical engine works ( 0% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by wizzwizz4 on 2019-10-15; known on 2025-01-16.
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Consensus will be that electron neutrinos have imaginary mass 2025. ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-27; known on 2025-01-16.
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[Personal] I will get a cat (more likely a pair of buddies) before 2025. ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by sungk2048 on 2020-01-18; known on 2025-01-19.
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Lab-cultured red protein that emulates beef will become commonplace, and sold in typical grocery stores, *by 2025*. ( 29% confidence; 10 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by sungk2048 on 2020-01-18; known on 2025-01-19.
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The Biden administration officially claims that China has provided military assistance to Russia for its invasion in Ukraine ( 30% confidence; 13 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-14; known on 2025-01-20.
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Independent of the next elected president of the United States, there will not exist a wall along the 1,954 mile border shared with Mexico within 8 years of inauguration. ( 74% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )
Created by jesselevine on 2016-02-13; known on 2025-01-20.
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The U.S. will go to war (>20,000 new troop deployment) before the end of Biden/Harris' first term. ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by JohnGreer on 2021-01-22; known on 2025-01-20.
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Kushner to remain in the White House for the entire duration of Trump's presidency ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-04-12; known on 2025-01-20.
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Trump becoming President in 2025. ( 21% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by alexanderpasch on 2023-03-06; known on 2025-01-22.
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Fraction of U.S GDP devoted to computer and electronics hardware will be higher than 5%(from 1.5% now) by 2025 according to BEA data ( 17% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by ArturoGoosnargh on 2015-09-17; known on 2025-01-24.
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The British Labour Party will not win the next general election. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by johnmichaelbridge on 2022-05-27; known on 2025-01-25.
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It will be revealed that there is a massive pedophile ring is operating within the United States government ( 25% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-19; known on 2025-01-28.
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A bad thing happens, and President Trump and the intelligence community publicly disagree about whether it was caused by terrorists. ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by HonoreDB on 2017-01-30; known on 2025-01-30.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.773 ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.973 ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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The Biden administration officially claims that Russia has attempted to interfere in the 2024 US presidential election ( 52% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-03-30; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.910 ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] < .608 ( 4% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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[Biden Executive Order Frequency in First Term (orders/week)] <.650 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-31.
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Biden loses the 2024 presidential election ( 40% confidence; 6 wagers; 11 comments )
Created by PseudonymousUser on 2023-02-15; known on 2025-02-01.
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The debt ceiling suspension is extended beyond 2025 ( 35% confidence )
Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-06-10; known on 2025-02-01.