[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4300 ( 68% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4400 ( 43% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27.

Reddit is blocked in the PRC as of 2020-10-29 ( 88% confidence; 16 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-29.

UFC, Bellator, or ONE fighters to belong to a labor union ( 24% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-30.

More than 300,000 people will die from corona in the US ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by daveisright on 2020-03-14; known on 2020-10-30.

Felix Sater testifies publicly before Congress before November 2020 ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-02; known on 2020-11-01.

Erik Prince runs for Senate in 2020 ( 10% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-05-05; known on 2020-11-01.

Politics, US – An executive order is issued requesting the FCC issue a statement or regulation 'clarifying' when takedowns under Section 230 are in good faith, and the FCC does so, prior to the start of November 2020 ( 23% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-05-28; known on 2020-11-01.

Andrew Yang runs as a third party candidate ( 17% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-03; known on 2020-11-01.

covid Restrictions on air travel will be lifted (as pertains to SJ's MS job) by November 2020 ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by kjaques on 2020-04-29; known on 2020-11-01.

There will be a Republican primary challenger getting >10% of the primary vote in 2020 (conditional on Trump running)  ( 37% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-03; known on 2020-11-01.

Elizabeth Warren is Joe Biden's running mate ( 34% confidence; 11 wagers; 12 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum 30 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

[Politics] Trump will be elected for a second term ( 44% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2020-11-03.

Oprah Winfrey will run for president in 2020. ( 11% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by iCrown on 2018-02-26; known on 2020-11-03.

Donald Trump will be elected for a second presidential term ( 53% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gurgus on 2017-08-09; known on 2020-11-03.

Trump wins 2020 election ( 38% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-03.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 14 ( 14% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 15 ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 13 ( 11% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 17 ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 16 ( 16% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 19 ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] 20 or more ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 11 ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 12 ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] 10 or fewer ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 18 ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

By election day 2020, Donald Trump's tax returns are published ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-05; known on 2020-11-04.

Trump wins a second term in office ( 50% confidence; 26 wagers; 12 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-05; known on 2020-11-04.

At least one year of Trump's tax documents are published by the New York Times between now and the 2020 election ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-05-22; known on 2020-11-04.

Trump will be reelected. ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by subra on 2019-05-09; known on 2020-11-04.

Democrats will keep the house and take the senate in 2020 ( 70% confidence )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2020-11-04.

Kanye or Kim will run for President in 2020. ( 32% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by ldor_11 on 2018-06-18; known on 2020-11-04.

Donald Trump will lose the next election. ( 62% confidence; 15 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NTKryston on 2018-04-03; known on 2020-11-04.

Trump will not be re-elected in 2020 ( 58% confidence; 15 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2020-11-04.

Republicans hold Senate in 2020 election ( 49% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-04.

Democrats hold House in 2020 ( 70% confidence )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-04.

EIther Trump or Sanders will be president, and it won't change my life at all. ( 60% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by ntrueman on 2020-02-23; known on 2020-11-04.

Donald Trump will NOT be re-elected ( 55% confidence; 23 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-11-04.

[Politics] Trump will choose not to run for a second term in 2020. ( 14% confidence; 14 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by KangaRookie on 2019-01-22; known on 2020-11-05.

Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections. ( 50% confidence; 18 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05.

U.S. Stock Market at or above current worth through the November 2020 elections (as measured by the S&P500 – $2886.73 on June 10th 2019) ( 58% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by lettergram on 2019-06-10; known on 2020-11-05.

Donald Trump will be reelected. ( 45% confidence; 20 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by alvastarr on 2018-07-26; known on 2020-11-05.

Joe Biden (or replacement Democrat) wins the popular vote by a margin of 8% or more ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by PlacidPlatypus 5 days ago; known on 2020-11-05.

In five years, 80% of the smartphones worldwide will come from Chinese companies or Chinese acquired companies. ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by danpop on 2015-11-06; known on 2020-11-06.

A third-party candidate gets more than 5% of the vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election ( 10% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-01-14; known on 2020-11-07.

Donald Trump would contest in the 2020 elections. ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known on 2020-11-07.

Trump Approval >50% by nov 1, 2020 ( 29% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-02-05; known on 2020-11-07.

Donald Trump would NOT get Impeached ( 66% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known on 2020-11-07.

I will vote Democrat for the first time in my life in the 2020 US Presidential Election ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Dapple on 2017-01-05; known on 2020-11-08.