[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 15% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 7% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 10% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 19% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

Turkey to have announced withdrawal from NATO ( 17% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-29.

I will still be using Prediction Book in 2 year's time. ( 70% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2020-03-29.

10Y Treasury yield goes above 2% in Q1 2020 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital 20 days ago; known on 2020-03-31.

Chuukese independence referendum to be held in March 2020 ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-01.

[Personal] I will read at least 16 books in 2020 Q1 ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 15 days ago; known on 2020-04-01.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Joe Biden ( 22% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 22% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 7% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 12% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

[US Democratic primary: Alaska winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 25% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-05.

WTI crude futures to have been in contango on average in March 2020 (i.e., M4 > M1) ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-07.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 6% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Joe Biden ( 27% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 20% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 22% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US Democratic primary: Wisconsin winner to be] any other candidate ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-08.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of April 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] April 2019 ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-04-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of April 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] March 2020 ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-04-10.

[Commodities] As of April 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of March 2020 ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-04-14.

Universal basic income will be an issue that comes up in the US 2020 election TV debates (primary or presidential) ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Oliver Carefull on 2016-10-20; known on 2020-04-16.

Politics: South Korea's Democratic Party (Minjoo) to retain its plurality in the National Assembly after 2020 election ( 71% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-04-16.

By April 17, 2020, scientific consensus will still not accept to any substantial degree Paramahamsa Tewari's proposed “over-unity” device. ( 99% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-18; known on 2020-04-17.

[Fighting] Tony Ferguson and Khabib Nurmagomedov to fight in April 2020 ( 75% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-11-27; known on 2020-04-19.

At least one Sask Party MLA elected in 2016 put in jail ( 58% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-06; known on 2020-04-20.

By April 21, 2020, World War III will have broken out. ( 4% confidence; 9 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-04-21; known on 2020-04-21.

Macron will win the French 2020 elections ( 43% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known on 2020-04-23.

Macron will complete his term successfully ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known on 2020-04-23.

[Libya: As of 2020-04-25] US government to recognize the Government of National Accord ( 80% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-25; known on 2020-04-25.

[Libya: As of 2020-04-25] EU to recognize the Government of National Accord ( 89% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-25; known on 2020-04-25.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for March 2020 to exceed 110 ( 53% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known on 2020-04-25.

[Fighting] Brock Lesnar to fight Daniel Cormier in an official MMA bout by 2020-04-26 ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-26; known on 2020-04-26.