Zhongguo's output of greenhouse gases will peak in 2025, 5 years ahead of the pledged 2030 date. ( 96% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-02-04; known on 2025-12-25.

Biometric clothing will be a trillion dollar market by 2025. ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-12-27.

Bharat cumulative installed electricity capacity will be over 600 GW by 2025 ( 84% confidence; 2 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2025-12-28.

Donald Knuth will die before finishing TAOCP. ( 86% confidence; 12 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-12-29; known on 2025-12-29.

Tiger Woods will win another PGA tournament before he turns 50. ( 90% confidence )

Created by sh33lz3bub on 2018-03-05; known on 2025-12-30.

Western Australia will secede from the Commonwealth of Australia by the end of 2025. ( 1% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by najdorf on 2013-02-06; known on 2025-12-31.

China will attempt an invasion of Taiwan by the end of 2025. ( 20% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by najdorf on 2021-04-09; known on 2025-12-31.

At least one chief executive of any large fossil fuel / oil / mining company will be assassinated before 2025 due to ( perceived ) culpability. ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by predoindk on 2019-08-25; known on 2025-12-31.

Rossiya will be ranked 6 on the IMF's GDP at current prices ranking of the world's largest economies, as they already are at PPP valuation. The UK and France will be forced down to No 9 and 10. Relative ranking of UK and France is unspecified. ( 100% confidence )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-08-10; known on 2025-12-31.

Brasil will be ranked 7 on the IMF's GDP at current prices ranking of the world's largest economies, as they already are at PPP valuation. The UK and France will be forced down to No 9 and 10. ( 100% confidence )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-08-10; known on 2025-12-31.

Indonesia will be ranked 8 on the IMF's GDP at current prices ranking of the world's largest economies, as they already are at PPP valuation. The UK and France will be forced down to No 9 and 10. ( 100% confidence )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-08-10; known on 2025-12-31.

Quora will independently survive to 2025 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-10; known on 2025-12-31.

“I predict that global warming denialists such as MIT professor Richard Lindzen will be shown to be wrong over the next 20 years as global warming continues. Specifically, I believe the scientific consensus that temperatures are likely to increase by .3 d ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-12-31.

[Dark Matter and Dark Energy are not dis discovered within the next four years] If this occurs interest in Dark Fluid theories grows greatly (size of the Wikipedia page and the number of references to Popular Sci articles both double within a year of the non-discovery). ( 50% confidence )

Created by Ragnarok_Reverted on 2020-08-30; known on 2025-12-31.

“The nation with the highest (nominal) gdp in the world in 2025 will be China.” ( 63% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-12-31.

altyn currency of at least 2 countries ( 50% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-02-16; known on 2025-12-31.

Bharat's carbon dioxide peaking year will be 2030. ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 14 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-03; known on 2025-12-31.

North and South Korea will reunify by 2025 ( 20% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-08-15; known on 2025-12-31.

By the end of 2025, in Luxembourg, there will be some form of an autonomous taxi-fleet that can take you from rue Michel Lentz Strassen to rue Charles Tornaco Luxembourg. (chosen more or less randomly) ( 65% confidence )

Created by Mathieu_Putz on 2020-05-28; known on 2025-12-31.

“Major online internet useage research firms will record that over 3 billion people in 2025 managed their incoming and outgoing digital information using a graphical user interface based on Quadrant Theory – as described in Marshall McLuhan's “Tetrad” mod ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-12-31.

[Dark Matter and Dark Energy are not dis discovered within the next four years] Dark Matter and Dark Energy are not discovered within the next four years ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Ragnarok_Reverted on 2020-08-30; known on 2025-12-31.

Lucas and I will have written a book on negation in event semantics by the end of 2025 ( 65% confidence )

Created by Tot on 2021-09-07; known on 2025-12-31.

60% or more of the population of any one country will use public transit more frequently than driving by 2025 ( 15% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by kallman on 2010-11-20; known on 2025-12-31.

Demographer Sanjeev Sanyal of Deutsche Bank predicts The Big Shrink. World’s fertility rate at replacement rate in 2025 World population peak 2055 at 8.7 billion and decline to 8.0 billion by 2100. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2025-12-31.

World's total fertility rate will fall to replacement rate by 2025. In 1960, women worldwide had an average of 5 children. The rate has since halved, and in 2012, women had an average of 2.5 children across all regions. The World Bank is the source. ( 61% confidence; 4 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-08-29; known on 2025-12-31.

Mark Zuckerberg, co-founder of Facebook, is President of the United States before 2026 ( 3% confidence; 18 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2017-01-11; known on 2026-01-01.

1 000 million tons of cement production by 2025. ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2026-01-01.

Matrix will be my preferred means of communication with a non-techie friend. They will either use a native matrix client or a service which natively federates with matrix (i.e. I won't need a bridge). ( 70% confidence )

Created by moyamo on 2021-01-26; known on 2026-01-01.

Brasil will reduce 37% of its greenhouse gas emissions by 2025 from 2005 levels—Dilma Rouseff ( 71% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-17; known on 2026-01-01.

Stellar Lumens (or any Asset on Stellar) will be my preferred means of payment for some transactions (e.g. one of but not limited to online purchases, rent, point of sale, etc.) ( 30% confidence )

Created by moyamo on 2021-01-26; known on 2026-01-01.

A public, high-speed (at least 4G speed), backwards compatible and equivalent internet to the current fibre-based system, in the HF radio spectrum, suitable for at least national propagation between nodes, implemented by 2025 ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by luxpir on 2015-09-29; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025, at least five top-ranking Western Ph.D. psychology programmes (out of a plausible 'world top 10' at the time) will require the conduction a high-quality “direct” replication attempt of a major finding in their research area. ( 26% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by RoryS on 2015-07-19; known on 2026-01-01.

China NOT to conduct overt military action against Taiwan before 2026 ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by niconiconi on 2020-10-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Will it turn out by 2026 that grokking is essentially the same thing as phase shifts in thermodynamics/statistical mechanics? ( 38% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Morpheus on 2022-12-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Will I belief that the bridge transform is illuminating something important about epistemology by 2026? ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Morpheus on 2022-12-16; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one of the Voyagers to outlast the James Webb Space Telescope ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

By the end of 2025 speech to text software "will be just below the level of a trained stenographer with something like 80% probability, and “solved” (somewhat above that level in many different languages) with 30% probability. ( 85% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-09; known on 2026-01-01.

Wolfram Research will last through 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Ketamine to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

GDF-11 to be demonstrated to convincingly increase lifespan by 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2026-01-01.

'China's economy continues to boom' in 2025 ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025 Atlas-style robots will be used on the battlefield as ground forces. ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by sflicht on 2016-05-07; known on 2026-01-01.

'Africa and the Middle East are linked by a transcontinental bridge' by 2025 ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

Nintendo to be more valuable in 2025 than 2010 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

'Experiments at a university have yielded the first 10 year old mice' by 2025 ( 44% confidence; 9 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

Voyager 1 to outlast Dawn Mission ( 75% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2026-01-01.

cannabinoids to be demonstrated to increase lifespan in at least one model organism by 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2026-01-01.

The US dollar to crash, and loose 50%, or more of it's value by 2026 ( 14% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by sdr on 2016-05-14; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one article Vipul Naik pays to create on the English Wikipedia will have good article or featured article status by the end of 2025 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-08; known on 2026-01-01.