Mike Pence alive ( 96% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-08-18; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, at least one object larger than Mars will be discovered within 4 lightyears of our Solar System. ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, Kanye West makes another album ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-11-02; known on 2025-01-01.

There are ten or more US Supreme Court justices by the end of 2024 ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-11-05; known on 2025-01-01.

The TV show “The Walking Dead” will have at least 10 completed seasons before 2025. ( 45% confidence; 8 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by Mati on 2015-03-28; known on 2025-01-01.

I will develop some sort of a personal uniform (colour and/or style) and rarely deviate from it. ( 25% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2015-06-03; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, the states will have voted on at least one constitutional amendment to cede US federal power to a global government.” ( 73% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, The Aether Physics Model will not have replaced quantum physics and the theory of relativity as the standard model.” ( 99% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, Stellar nucleosynthesis will no longer be considered as the main source of heat and light of stars by a majority of scientists.” ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, at least 25 of the 30 stocks currently in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be dropped from the index and replaced with other companies.” ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, The giant impact hypothesis will no longer be the dominant scientific hypothesis for the formation of the Moon.” ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, the volume of robocalls will exceed the volume of live calls on the regular phone system ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-16; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics.” ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists.” ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majority of scientists.” ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

The person who tried to interfere with Flynn's testimony was Derek Harvey ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2019-05-17; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, Kanye West states that he regrets his recent antisemitic statements ( 56% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-11-02; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025 at least 50% of all U.S. citizens residing within the United States will have some form of technology embedded in their bodies for the purpose of tracking and identification.” ( 18% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, new astronomical observations and theories will render the Big Bang an untenable explanation for the origin of the Universe.” ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

[2025 Price of a Crunchwrap Supreme ] <= $6.1 ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-01.

2024: A vaccine for the cold is readily available at pharmacies and clinics worldwide. ( 33% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jarlathhealy on 2012-09-17; known on 2025-01-01.

[2025 Price of a Crunchwrap Supreme ] < $4.6 ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-01.

/r/gwern will have been banned by Reddit ( 7% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by quanticle on 2019-05-18; known on 2025-01-01.

Person to walk on the moon by 2025 ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Antbak on 2019-07-08; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1st, 2025, the US employment/population ratio will be 60% or under. ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-31; known on 2025-01-01.

Tom Cotton runs in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. ( 70% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-01; known on 2025-01-01.

27 USC 174 incremental revenues TY22+TY23 < 57.1 ( 99% confidence )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-09-14; known on 2025-01-01.

Polio in the wild eliminated by 2025 —Tachi Yamada ( 58% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2025-01-01.

Real Madrid would have won the champions league at least 6 times by the year 2025 ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Seyi on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-01-01.

The Higgs boson discovered at the LHC on 4/7/12 will be found to NOT be a standard model Higgs boson. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by splorridge on 2016-02-19; known on 2025-01-01.

[2025 Price of a Crunchwrap Supreme ] > $6.1 ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-19; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, a living multicellular organism will be printed using 3D printing technology. ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-01-31; known on 2025-01-01.

Number of human truck drivers in the US to fall by 50% by 2024 EOY ( 18% confidence; 8 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-07; known on 2025-01-01.

Obama will win the election (2012), and the GOP will become a party of lesser influence until 2024, when an independent and Republican will for a short time storm the country. ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Turtleread on 2012-04-07; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, Kanye West states that he has begun to take a mood-stabilizing medication again ( 60% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-11-02; known on 2025-01-01.

Amazon will launch a consumer-facing courier service that competes with the likes of UPS and FedEx by 2025. ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by unexpectedEOF on 2015-12-21; known on 2025-01-01.

Ana is misleading to Aaron about the 'marriage' name in some significant way – e.g. it maybe is not symmetric. ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Temeraire on 2016-03-07; known on 2025-01-01.

UNSONG was created to control the spread of names (in the same way we might want to restrict anthrax or AI research) ( 30% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Temeraire on 2016-03-07; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, the very first human being will be cloned and this event will be accepted by the most people.” ( 12% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2025-01-01.

Usain Bolt sets a new world record in the 200m. ( 20% confidence )

Created by KnaveOfAllTrades on 2014-10-18; known on 2025-01-01.

Marijuana will be legal in Canada by 2025. ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Malcolm Ocean on 2013-09-01; known on 2025-01-01.

SLS to be cancelled outright or to launch at least once before 2025. ( 87% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2017-11-27; known on 2025-01-01.

Ireland will legalize Marijuana between 2021 and 2024 ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by deanmullen2014 on 2013-12-31; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025. ( 72% confidence; 23 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain more than 50 states by 2025. ( 30% confidence; 19 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

India to have its own manned space flight by January 1, 2025 ( 62% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-07; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1, 2025 at least one OECD country with a population of at least 5 million people will have more than half of all cars be self-driving. ( 35% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-24; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain less than 50 states by 2025. ( 9% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

Griswold v. Connecticut to be overturned by 2025. ( 51% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-04-09; known on 2025-01-01.