PredictionBook: Upcoming Predictions

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Captain Falcon ( 40% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Bowser ( 55% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Link ( 45% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Ike ( 65% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

The Yellow Jackets are still active and present in media in March ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Osuniev 22 days ago; known in 26 days.

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Dr Mario ( 80% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Kirby ( 75% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

[As of the date considered, the following character will have been generally judged low tiered (bottom half) in Smash for Switch.] Jigglypuff ( 72% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-16; known in 26 days.

Etherium will be more valuable than Bitcoin. ( 22% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by s.zirai@live.de on 2018-03-20; known on 2019-03-20.

Another Soyuz Fregat stage suffers some form of failure that leads to the loss or incorrect insertion of one or more satellites in the next two years. ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-22; known on 2019-03-22.

I will still be using Prediction Book in 1 year's time. ( 75% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-03-29; known on 2019-03-29.

Politics, UK – Before 30 March 2019, the UK revokes Article 50. ( 11% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-12-22; known on 2019-03-30.

Politics, UK – Before 30 March 2019, the UK and European Council agree to extend the Article 50 deadline. ( 30% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-12-22; known on 2019-03-30.

Politics, UK – Fitch, Moody's, or S&P next downgrade the United Kingdom's long-term local or foreign currency issuer ratings before the 30th of March 2019. ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2019-01-07; known on 2019-03-30.

[Politics] Canada to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q1 EOQ ( 8% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

[Politics] The US to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q1 EOQ ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

[Politics] The EU to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q1 EOQ ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

India's 2019 General Elections will be held before April 2019 ( 20% confidence )

Created by Nve on 2018-02-13; known on 2019-04-01.

[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in March for which data are published ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Cato 16 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

Tech, AI – OpenAI publishes GPT-2 model weights before 2019-04-01 ( 10% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir about 11 hours ago; known on 2019-04-01.

Taiwan to declare independence in 2019 Q1 ( 3% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato 28 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

Politics, UK – Current Labour MP resigns the whip before 2019-04-01 ( 15% confidence )

Created by jbeshir about 11 hours ago; known on 2019-04-01.

[Commodities] US inventories of propane/propylene to be HIGHER at end of March than at end of February ( 32% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 16 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

US & China to announce end to trade war in Q1 2019. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-04-01.

[Economy] An OECD member to see its credit rating downgraded by S&P, Moody's, Fitch, or DBRS in 2019 Q1 ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-14; known on 2019-04-01.

[Politics] Nicolás Maduro to resign as president of Venezuela in 2019 Q1. ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-15; known on 2019-04-01.

China's Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) to see at least one loan default by 2019 Q1 EOQ ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato 17 days ago; known on 2019-04-01.

I will still be using NixOS in three months ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by bobpage on 2019-01-01; known on 2019-04-01.

[Politics] Either Juan Guaidó or Nicolás Maduro to flee Venezuela in 2019 Q1. ( 19% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-15; known on 2019-04-01.

[Personal: I exercise at least this many days in the first quarter:] 60 ( 70% confidence )