[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] Iran to produce at least 2.6 MMbpd ( 48% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known in 22 days.

[Commodities: Crude oil in August 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 49% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known in 22 days.

[US FOMC September rate decision to be:] reduce rate ( 38% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known in 25 days.

[US FOMC September rate decision to be:] leave rate unchanged ( 53% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known in 25 days.

[US FOMC September rate decision to be:] raise rate ( 7% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known in 25 days.

A new ministry will be created in the Russian government. ( 73% confidence; 2 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2016-09-22; known in 28 days.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for August 2019 to exceed 110 ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known on 2019-09-25.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 3 ( 20% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 4 ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 5 ( 7% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 2 ( 31% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 7 ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] lower than -15% ( 29% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 3 ( 33% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 2 ( 9% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 7 ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] negative ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 5 ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 4 ( 23% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] lower than the current rating of -10.9% ( 46% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight's three most recent “A-” or better polls, the number of Democratic candidates averaging above 5% is] 6 ( 2% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to FiveThirtyEight, Donald Trump's net approval rating to be] less than -5% ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics] PredictIt & FiveThirtyEight “A”-grade polls to agree on Dem frontrunner ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[Politics: According to PredictIt's most recent 10 days of data, the number of Democratic candidates priced above $0.05 is] 6 ( 9% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 27 days ago; known on 2019-09-29.

[US politics] Andrew Yang to participate in the third Democratic primary debate ( 77% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known on 2019-09-30.

[Baseball] The New York Mets will make the playoffs in 2019 ( 60% confidence )

Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT C will] complete a cost-effectiveness analysis by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

China's Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) to see at least one loan default by 2019 Q3 EOQ ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-10-01.

[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in September for which data are published ( 45% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 1] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 40% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Commodities] Palladium price at end of September 2019 to be lower than 1510 USD per troy ounce ( 60% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known on 2019-10-01.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] between 26,000 and 30,000 ( 93% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known on 2019-10-01.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] over 30,000 ( 95% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known on 2019-10-01.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] between 20,000 and 26,000 ( 89% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 2] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 10% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 5] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 10% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Internet] The majority of top 30 global websites to be either Chinese or blocked in China as of 3Q19 EOQ ( 95% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-10-01.

[Donald Trump to remain president of the US, conditional on Dow Jones being] under 20,000 ( 80% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known on 2019-10-01.

Games Workers Unite will be generally considered a failure on October 1st 2019 ( 80% confidence )

Created by enolan on 2018-03-23; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] the ITN framework by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] supplemental work started in 2018 by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 20% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] publish by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

Sandia 10MW CO2 turbine tests success ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-14; known on 2019-10-01.

Kim Jong Un to visit Seoul by 2019-10-01 ( 2% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-28; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT C will] publish (at least on demand) by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 99% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Commodities] Brent > WTI for all of 2019 through September EOM ( 85% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] work leading to the creation (if not completion) of an outside study by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 15% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT will publish] the next steps by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 95% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.

[Politics] Singapore to hold general election by 3Q19 EOQ ( 35% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-10-01.

[REDACTED PROJECT D will] [hidden 3] by the first day of Q3 (October 1st) ( 20% confidence )

Created by marcus_a_davis on 2019-07-02; known on 2019-10-01.