LVŽS to retain its plurality in Lithuania's parliament after 2020 election ( 44% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-10-26.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4500 ( 25% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4200 ( 81% confidence; 10 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4300 ( 68% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27.

[Number of confirmed exoplanets to exceed] 4400 ( 43% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-27.

Reddit is blocked in the PRC as of 2020-10-29 ( 88% confidence; 16 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-29.

More than 300,000 people will die from corona in the US ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by daveisright on 2020-03-14; known on 2020-10-30.

UFC, Bellator, or ONE fighters to belong to a labor union ( 24% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-10-30.

My poker money will be positive by the end of October ( 68% confidence )

Created by fandangos 2 days ago; known on 2020-10-31.

MLB season is shut down or significantly altered (eg. introduce a bubble) ( 70% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2020-07-31; known on 2020-10-31.

Tech – OnePlus 8T launches by end of October 2020, and has a 120Hz screen. ( 85% confidence )

Created by jbeshir 18 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

As of 2020-11-01 Denison University has COVID prevention polices that are deemed to be stricter on balance than the policies they have adopted as of 2020-08-07 ( 70% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-08-07; known on 2020-11-01.

Politics, Belarus – Lukashenko is not president anymore by end of October 2020 ( 29% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NickN on 2020-08-17; known on 2020-11-01.

Erik Prince runs for Senate in 2020 ( 10% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-05-05; known on 2020-11-01.

Politics, UK – Extinction Rebellion as an organisation is classified as an organised crime or terrorism group on any government list, proscribed, or otherwise legally restricted in a manner not extending to other organisations by end of Oct. ( 13% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 18 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

Felix Sater testifies publicly before Congress before November 2020 ( 14% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-02; known on 2020-11-01.

There will be a Republican primary challenger getting >10% of the primary vote in 2020 (conditional on Trump running)  ( 37% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by davidmanheim on 2017-01-03; known on 2020-11-01.

Andrew Yang runs as a third party candidate ( 14% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-03; known on 2020-11-01.

covid Restrictions on air travel will be lifted (as pertains to SJ's MS job) by November 2020 ( 42% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by kjaques on 2020-04-29; known on 2020-11-01.

Politics, US – An executive order is issued requesting the FCC issue a statement or regulation 'clarifying' when takedowns under Section 230 are in good faith, and the FCC does so, prior to the start of November 2020 ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-05-28; known on 2020-11-01.

Using my webcam teleprompter will bring me joy ( 85% confidence )

Created by grin 21 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

SpaceX Crew-1 will dock with the ISS before November 1 2020 ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by finback 27 days ago; known on 2020-11-01.

OSU is online only by 1 November ( 80% confidence )

Created by peter_hurford 20 days ago; known on 2020-11-02.

Politics, US – Before 3 November 2020, federal legislation to provide at least $100 billion in direct financial assistance to state and/or local governments becomes law. ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2020-07-26; known on 2020-11-03.

Biden will drop out of the race before election day Nov 3. ( 10% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Ender Wiggin on 2020-07-27; known on 2020-11-03.

[Politics] Trump will be elected for a second term ( 46% confidence; 13 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RedScharlach on 2019-02-15; known on 2020-11-03.

Oprah Winfrey will run for president in 2020. ( 11% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by iCrown on 2018-02-26; known on 2020-11-03.

Joe Biden won't be on the ballot in November. ( 5% confidence; 17 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by unexpectedEOF 21 days ago; known on 2020-11-03.

Donald Trump will be elected for a second presidential term ( 52% confidence; 12 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gurgus on 2017-08-09; known on 2020-11-03.

Mitt Romney will endorse Joe Biden before the 2020 election ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by arrowinthedark 25 days ago; known on 2020-11-03.

Trump wins 2020 election ( 41% confidence; 18 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-03.

Democrats hold House in 2020 ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-04.

S&P500 crashes by more than 5% in a session within 3 months. ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by abelriboulot on 2020-08-04; known on 2020-11-04.

Kanye or Kim will run for President in 2020. ( 43% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ldor_11 on 2018-06-18; known on 2020-11-04.

Donald Trump will lose the next election. ( 62% confidence; 15 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NTKryston on 2018-04-03; known on 2020-11-04.

Trump will not be re-elected in 2020 ( 55% confidence; 17 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2020-11-04.

Trump wins a second term in office ( 50% confidence; 28 wagers; 12 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-05; known on 2020-11-04.

Democrats will keep the house and take the senate in 2020 ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by SeriousPod on 2018-08-02; known on 2020-11-04.

At least one year of Trump's tax documents are published by the New York Times between now and the 2020 election ( 29% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-05-22; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 15 ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 14 ( 14% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 13 ( 11% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 18 ( 8% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

Republicans hold Senate in 2020 election ( 47% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 17 ( 12% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] 10 or fewer ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 19 ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 16 ( 16% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

By election day 2020, Donald Trump's tax returns are published ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-05; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 11 ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.