June 2017 parents loan payment > $999 ( 90% confidence )

Created by ioannes 25 days ago; known in 6 days.

June 2017 parents loan payment > $1200 ( 60% confidence )

Created by ioannes 25 days ago; known in 6 days.

Healthcare, UK – Dr Sunil Idicula Simon is struck off, or the process for striking them off is advanced towards a subsequent stage of review, at their hearing on the 2nd of June 2017. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 21 days ago; known in 6 days.

I go to CRev. ( 40% confidence )

Created by quatrefoil 8 days ago; known in 8 days.

I will go on a date with the next person I have a crush on. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Vasudha Pande on 2015-06-04; known in 8 days.

Politics, US – Trump or a representative announces the relocation of the US embassy to Jerusalem by the end of the 7th of June. ( 39% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 29 days ago; known in 11 days.

Conservatives will win the general election. ( 62% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by neilscott 27 days ago; known in 12 days.

Labour will win in Nottingham North. ( 80% confidence )

Created by splorridge 19 days ago; known in 12 days.

Labour will win in Nottingham East. ( 90% confidence )

Created by splorridge 19 days ago; known in 12 days.

Labour will win in Nottingham South. ( 60% confidence )

Created by splorridge 19 days ago; known in 12 days.

Labour will win in Midlothian ( 20% confidence )

Created by splorridge 19 days ago; known in 12 days.

Labour will win in Cambridge ( 30% confidence )

Created by splorridge 19 days ago; known in 12 days.

The UK Conservative Party will increase its majority in parliament as a result of the general election on 8th June. ( 69% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known in 12 days.

The UK Labour Party will lose seats as a result of the general election on 8th June ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known in 12 days.

The UK Liberal Democratic party will gain seats as a result of the general election on 8th June ( 62% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known in 12 days.

The Scottish National Party will win the same number of seats as in 2015. ( 40% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by splorridge on 2017-04-18; known in 12 days.

There will a hung parliament as a result of the current UK general election ( 39% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ikmacbeth 5 days ago; known in 12 days.

The Tory party will win the UK election with a majority. ( 88% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by lauragonzalez 5 days ago; known in 12 days.

2017 UK general election – Bath constituency elects conservative MP ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by penten 11 days ago; known in 12 days.

2017 UK general election – North East Somerset constituency elects conservative MP ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by penten 11 days ago; known in 12 days.

2017 UK general election – Bath constituency: >= 30% vote for Liberal Democrat MP ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by penten 11 days ago; known in 12 days.

The Scottish National Party will win at least 50 seats in the snap General Election. ( 78% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by technicalities on 2017-04-18; known in 12 days.

The UK snap general election results in a hung parliment ( 27% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by penten on 2017-04-19; known in 12 days.

10 or fewer political parties win seats in the 2017 UK election ( 54% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-04-19; known in 12 days.

Politics, UK – Theresa May attends a TV debate with one or more leaders of other parties before the next UK General Election. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-19; known in 12 days.

Politics, UK – An MP is arrested or charged in connection with an investigation into election expense reporting prior to the next UK General Election. ( 15% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-20; known in 12 days.

Politics, UK – An MP or an agent of an MP is arrested or charged in connection with an investigation into election expense reporting prior to the next UK General Election. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-20; known in 12 days.

I will go to a certain meetup. ( 85% confidence )

Created by quatrefoil 8 days ago; known in 14 days.

Politics, US – The Pentagon is confirmed to have agreed a lease or sublet of an apartment in Trump Tower in New York by a news outlet by the 14th of June 2017. ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 21 days ago; known in 18 days.

President Trump will resign on his 146 th day in office ( 7% confidence; 15 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by John8128 11 days ago; known in 18 days.

I will get a 5 on all my AP exams. ( 80% confidence )

Created by thebaelfire on 2015-08-22; known in 19 days.

I will get a 4 or 5 on all my AP exams ( 98% confidence )

Created by thebaelfire on 2015-08-22; known in 19 days.

Another major global economic collapse will happen. ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by realityriot on 2015-01-14; known in 19 days.

TheDAO drainer is a bitcoin early adapter who is intentionally trying to take down ethereum in some sense ( 35% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-18; known in 21 days.

TheDAO drainer is a state agency, such as the CIA ( 13% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-06-18; known in 21 days.

Politics, US – Representative of the FBI states the FBI investigation into connections between the Trump Campaign and the Russian Government has been closed by the 17th of June 2017. ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 18 days ago; known in 21 days.

Warriors will win NBA championship ( 75% confidence )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2017-04-15; known in 21 days.

Tech – Arrests made in connection with the the WannaCry ransomware before the 19th of June 2017 ( 22% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by jbeshir 16 days ago; known in 23 days.

Politics, US – Flynn fulfills the requirements of the subpoena from the Senate Intelligence Committee without challenging it in court before the end of the 19th of June 2017. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 16 days ago; known in 23 days.

Ethan fails a class ( 8% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by npcuck 11 days ago; known in 23 days.

Politics, US – Flynn challenges the subpoena from the Senate Intelligence Committee in court before the end of the 19th of June 2017. ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 16 days ago; known in 24 days.

Politics, US – 6th District of Georgia is won by a Democrat at the runoff in June. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir on 2017-04-19; known in 24 days.

I will have a new phone in 6 months (current MI3W) ( 40% confidence )

Created by penten on 2016-12-21; known in 24 days.

Our car will need to be taken to the garage for a repair at least once in the next 6 months ( 49% confidence )

Created by penten on 2016-12-21; known in 24 days.

Politics, US, New Orleans – All three remaining Confederacy monuments that Landrieu has announced intent to remove are removed by the end of the 20th of June 2017. ( 25% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 21 days ago; known in 25 days.

GiveWell total money moved in 2016 from donors donating less than $100,000 will be between $10 million and $20 million. For comparison, the amount in 2015 was a little under $13 million. ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2017-06-30.

GiveWell total money moved in 2016 from donors excluding Good Ventures who donate more than $100,000 will be between $10 million and $50 million. For comparison, the amount in 2015 was a little under $27 million (plus money with uncertain attribution). ( 68% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Vipul Naik on 2016-11-13; known on 2017-06-30.

Front National will gain 30+ seats in the French legislative election. ( 76% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-06-30.

Front National will not end up in power. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by technicalities on 2017-01-23; known on 2017-06-30.