Law enforcement in the USA is/has been pressuring ISPs to secretly configure router settings to spy on suspects ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by sam_jaques on 2020-09-04; known on 2026-01-01.

Google Search will be less popular than a product from OpenAI by 2026 ( 18% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by elecnix on 2022-12-10; known on 2026-01-01.

Autonomous cars will comprise 10% of greater of total KM's traveled on Australian roads by end of 2025. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PipFoweraker on 2016-01-07; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one nuclear power plant will produce usable power in Australia by 1/1/2026. ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by PipFoweraker on 2015-12-30; known on 2026-01-01.

Cystic Fibrosis to be a curable illness by 2025 ( 40% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

GDF-11 to be demonstrated to convincingly increase lifespan by 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2026-01-01.

Duterte OD's on some drug ( 12% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-23; known on 2026-01-01.

Within 5 years of initial release of mRNA vaccines, they will be recognized to cause serious side effects lasting >6 months in at least 1 in 5000 cases. ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jasticE on 2021-12-22; known on 2026-01-01.

US CBO: health spending >=25% of GDP in 2025. ( 54% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025, autism rates in the US will surpass 50% for children. ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-30; known on 2026-01-01.

The world’s first lunar tourist by end of 2025 ( 30% confidence; 15 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-11-17; known on 2026-01-01.

California almond production to be less than 50% that of 2015 by 2025 ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-28; known on 2026-01-01.

Consensus that B/Yamagata influenza completed eliminated by January 1, 2026. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-31; known on 2026-01-01.

We will be able to robustly search audio files by text by 2025 ( 78% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Nintendo to be more valuable in 2025 than 2010 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

5-MAPB to be researched as a possible treatment for at least one medical condition (autism, anxiety, PTSD, etc) by 2025 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

ladybugs found to return to their birthplace, like salmon ( 50% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-13; known on 2026-01-01.

I will be a millionaire by 2026, 5 years after graduating college ( 23% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by thebaelfire on 2017-07-14; known on 2026-01-01.

Wolfram Research will last through 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one of the Voyagers to outlast the James Webb Space Telescope ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

More than 25% of consumer goods will be 3D printed during 2025 ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-12; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025, the half-life of a career will decrease to 5 years ( 20% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Amphetamines to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 50% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

weev's attempt at resurrecting Luminiferous Aether Theory is actually a ploy to get someone to send his posse quantities of fissile material ( 14% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-13; known on 2026-01-01.

By January 1. 2026, proven exists a function f(x) such that 1) x log x = o(f(x)) 2) if N is an odd perfect number with k distinct prime factors, then log N > f(k). ( 55% confidence )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-09; known on 2026-01-02.

Gentoo will remain my primary OS over the next decade ( 57% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Jach on 2016-01-10; known on 2026-01-10.

Donald and Melania Trump will divorce in the next five years. ( 44% confidence )

Created by JohnGreer on 2021-01-12; known on 2026-01-12.

YouTube to allow searching videos by audio contained in the video by 2025 ( 66% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-27; known on 2026-01-16.

Scotland rejoins the EU as an independent nation in the next 10 years. ( 35% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-06-27; known on 2026-01-16.

At least one centenarian to volunteer for anti amyloid therapy by 2025 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-27; known on 2026-01-16.

Modafinil to be more popular in US in 2025 than 2015 ( 67% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-16.

The next president or vice president who is not a white male will either be a hispanic man or a white woman. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbluphin on 2014-02-01; known on 2026-02-01.

OOTS: The Monster in the Darkness is an Uvuudaum. ( 33% confidence )

Created by Sniffnoy on 2016-02-29; known on 2026-02-28.

In three yeasr, gantork and I will be in agreement that robotics have not yet had the sort of fast progression they envisioned. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2023-03-15; known on 2026-03-15.

Alexei Navalny (Alexei Anatolievich Navalny) (born 4 June 1976) dies within five (5) years ( 67% confidence; 21 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2021-04-13; known on 2026-04-13.

In 10 years, most computers and keyboards will exclude the “PAUSE” key ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by jesselevine on 2016-04-26; known on 2026-04-26.

Harry Halpin on the payroll of, or otherwise compromised by the NSA/FVEY ( 53% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-12; known on 2026-04-29.

CIWF USA will persuade at least one major poultry company to adopt a meaningful broiler chicken welfare policy ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-05-01.

CIWF USA will play a major role in securing five or more new corporate cage-free pledges ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-05-01.

“We are confident that over 60 million patients will have their genome sequenced in a healthcare context by 2025” ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-03; known on 2026-05-01.

lgbt art (literature, art, tv, news, etc.): access restricted based on “fears of recruitment of children.” we're already seeing this with book bans in libraries and schools, but i anticipate more of it on a broader scale. ( 92% confidence )

Created by sobet on 2022-05-08; known on 2026-05-08.

3eba1fee3af900bb58ce7e70d8962193b9775e8293cb5a29d91bd73ee814796e - ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by sobet on 2022-05-21; known on 2026-05-08.

increasingly strict regulations on hrt, surgery, for adults. in particular, rules that impact clinics' ability to provide drugs and surgeries in the next 4 years. ( 76% confidence )

Created by sobet on 2022-05-08; known on 2026-05-08.

In the wake of more internet censorship, an auction site that runs on tokens you can only buy with cryptocurrency will open, and become popular enough that even I learn about it. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by kallman on 2021-05-17; known on 2026-05-15.

I in 3 years ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2023-07-01; known on 2026-05-22.

By mid-2026, Iraq will have a lower 'Political Rights and Civic Voice' rating from Freedom House than it does now. ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-29; known on 2026-06-01.

Frcr 2026 ( 60% confidence )

Created by kandeel on 2023-06-16; known on 2026-06-16.

Matt Gaetz (Matthew Louis Gaetz II) (born 7 May 1982) gets arrested within five (5) years ( 99% confidence )

Created by two2thehead on 2021-06-18; known on 2026-06-18.

Personal – In 5 years I will go back to school for a grad program ( 50% confidence )

Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2026-06-28.