“By 2025, The giant impact hypothesis will no longer be the dominant scientific hypothesis for the formation of the Moon.” ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, Kanye West states that he has begun to take a mood-stabilizing medication again ( 60% confidence )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-11-02; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, Quantum field theory will no longer be part of The Standard Model of particle physics.” ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025 the scientific evidence of a hither-to-unknown large bi-pedal great ape will be sufficient to convince at least 50% of primatologists that a yeti/bigfoot-like creature exists.” ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-29; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, Albert Einstein's theory of relativity will be considered an untenable explanation for light and gravity by a majority of scientists.” ( 0% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1, 2025 at least one OECD country with a population of at least 5 million people will have more than half of all cars be self-driving. ( 35% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-24; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025 at least 50% of all U.S. citizens residing within the United States will have some form of technology embedded in their bodies for the purpose of tracking and identification.” ( 18% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, new astronomical observations and theories will render the Big Bang an untenable explanation for the origin of the Universe.” ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

Republicans will win the 2024 presidential election ( 45% confidence; 13 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-07-28; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1st, 2025, the US employment/population ratio will be 60% or under. ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-31; known on 2025-01-01.

Marco Rubio will be Donald Trump's VP pick ( 16% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-12-01; known on 2025-01-01.

Jimmy Carter to become a centenarian ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-06-05; known on 2025-01-01.

Donald Trump is indicted as a result of the documents seized from Mar-a-Lago ( 47% confidence; 13 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-08-10; known on 2025-01-01.

Magnesium infused with silicon carbide nanoparticles will be used as major structural component for cars by 2025. ( 25% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-12-26; known on 2025-01-01.

Marijuana will be legal in Canada by 2025. ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Malcolm Ocean on 2013-09-01; known on 2025-01-01.

Real Madrid would have won the champions league at least 6 times by the year 2025 ( 46% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Seyi on 2011-11-17; known on 2025-01-01.

Polio in the wild eliminated by 2025 —Tachi Yamada ( 58% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-01-03; known on 2025-01-01.

Marijuana will be legal by 2025 ( 65% confidence; 9 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-04-08; known on 2025-01-01.

Person to walk on the moon by 2025 ( 7% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Antbak on 2019-07-08; known on 2025-01-01.

SLS to be cancelled outright or to launch at least once before 2025. ( 87% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2017-11-27; known on 2025-01-01.

US to withdraw from Five Eyes, conditional on UK decision to incorporate Huawei technologies into their 5G telecom infrastructure ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-02-18; known on 2025-01-01.

Amazon will launch a consumer-facing courier service that competes with the likes of UPS and FedEx by 2025. ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by unexpectedEOF on 2015-12-21; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, the volume of robocalls will exceed the volume of live calls on the regular phone system ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-16; known on 2025-01-01.

Trump massive crackdown on comedians. Bill Maher imprisoned(for comedy show) ( 4% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-15; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, the very first human being will be cloned and this event will be accepted by the most people.” ( 12% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2025-01-01.

Mike Pence alive ( 96% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2022-08-18; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025. ( 72% confidence; 23 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, at least 25 of the 30 stocks currently in the Dow Jones Industrial Average will be dropped from the index and replaced with other companies.” ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-07-30; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain more than 50 states by 2025. ( 30% confidence; 19 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain less than 50 states by 2025. ( 9% confidence; 18 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

/r/gwern will have been banned by Reddit ( 7% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by quanticle on 2019-05-18; known on 2025-01-01.

TSLA price drops below $25 before 2025 ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital on 2021-07-26; known on 2025-01-01.

No new American bootprints on the moon by the end of Calendar Year 2024. ( 86% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2019-06-01; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, “solar energy will cost half or less of what fossil-fuel-based alternatives do” – Vivek Wadhwa ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-15; known on 2025-01-01.

github.com will be hacked on a large scale (more than a few user accounts) before 2025-01-01 ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

Current Illinois governor Bruce Rauner will be found guilty of any illegal crime ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-17; known on 2025-01-01.

I will publically convert to Buddhism before 2025. ( 0% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-01.

I will publically convert to Islam before 2025. ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-01.

firefox will add back built-in support for RSS feeds by 2025 ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by finback on 2020-08-14; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, proven that there exist infinitely many primes p and q with |p-q| < 200. ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-09-30; known on 2025-01-01.

“age of onset of 12 years” will be removed from DSM-V diagnosis criteria for ADD/ADHD by the time DSM-VI comes out ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, China's yuan will be backed by gold. ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by danpop on 2016-03-11; known on 2025-01-01.

One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse. ( 58% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, 20% of all US driving miles to be by self-driving cars. ( 29% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-25; known on 2025-01-01.

Google's decision to remove support for third-party cookies in Chrome will be ruled an antitrust violation in the United States before 2025. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2020-01-17; known on 2025-01-01.

I will meditate for at least 1 hour (total) each month in a 1-year period before 2025 ( 70% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-22; known on 2025-01-01.

Marijuana will be unscheduled, taxed and regulated similar to alcohol at a federal level in the United States before 2025. ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-01-01; known on 2025-01-02.

5-sigma evidence of neutrinoless double beta decay by January 1, 2025 ( 52% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-26; known on 2025-01-02.

I will publically convert to Roman Catholicism before 2025. ( 1% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-02.