'Experiments at a university have yielded the first 10 year old mice' by 2025 ( 44% confidence; 9 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-29; known on 2026-01-01.

Autonomous cars will comprise 10% of greater of total KM's traveled on Australian roads by end of 2025. ( 38% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PipFoweraker on 2016-01-07; known on 2026-01-01.

Marijuana to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 75% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one of the Voyagers to outlast the James Webb Space Telescope ( 44% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Ketamine to be more popular in 2025 than 2015 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-01.

gnxp.com to last to 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

I will be a millionaire by 2026, 5 years after graduating college ( 23% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by thebaelfire on 2017-07-14; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2025, autism rates in the US will surpass 50% for children. ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2014-12-30; known on 2026-01-01.

By 2026 there will be at least one confirmed person who has lived to 125. ( 18% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-10-15; known on 2026-01-01.

Number of web application developers to be higher in 2025 than 2015 ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-17; known on 2026-01-01.

New York Times to have higher readership in 2025 than 2015 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-21; known on 2026-01-01.

Voyager 1 to outlast the Mars Curiosity rover ( 50% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2026-01-01.

California almond production to be less than 50% that of 2015 by 2025 ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-28; known on 2026-01-01.

Intrade (or a similar real money prediction market) will be legal in the US by 2026 ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-11-28; known on 2026-01-01.

'2025 Neurological research finally leads to an understanding of all the senses, and direct input becomes possible, bypassing ears, eyes, skin, etc. The result is the metal “Braincap.” Anyone wearing this close-fitting helmet can enter a whole universe of ( 16% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-26; known on 2026-01-01.

Samsung to be more valuable in 2025 than 2010 ( 65% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Speech to text processing to improve such that by end of 2025 it will be an essentially solved problem. ( 85% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-09; known on 2026-01-01.

Nintendo to be more valuable in 2025 than 2010 ( 35% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Ada/Cardano to go above $1 by 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2020-06-02; known on 2026-01-01.

In 2025, $1000 should buy you a computer able to calculate at 10^16 cycles per second (10,000 trillion cycles per second), the equivalent processing speed of the human brain. [Peter Diamandis] ( 30% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Obergefell v Hodges effectively overturned by December 31, 2025 ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2018-06-30; known on 2026-01-01.

Sony to be more valuable in 2025 than 2010 ( 50% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-16; known on 2026-01-01.

The Hubble Telescope will deorbit before the end of 2025 ( 50% confidence; 4 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-08-18; known on 2026-01-01.

Boson Sampling or Scattershot Boson Sampling with at least 12 photons to be performed by January 1, 2026. ( 55% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-07-07; known on 2026-01-01.

Google Search will be less popular than a product from OpenAI by 2026 ( 18% confidence; 6 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by elecnix on 2022-12-10; known on 2026-01-01.

I will continue to use (in any form, on any machine) tmux in 2025 ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-08; known on 2026-01-01.

Slashdot to exist through 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Lockheed Martin's Mars lander concept (as presented at IAC 2017) will be abandoned without ever being built. ( 90% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-10-03; known on 2026-01-01.

SomethingAwful to exist through 2025 ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

At least one article Vipul Naik pays to create on the English Wikipedia will have good article or featured article status by the end of 2025 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Issa Rice on 2017-01-08; known on 2026-01-01.

Law enforcement in the USA is/has been pressuring ISPs to secretly configure router settings to spy on suspects ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by sam_jaques on 2020-09-04; known on 2026-01-01.

Duterte OD's on some drug ( 12% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-23; known on 2026-01-01.

Yahoo will cease to exist by 2026 ( 43% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-01-05; known on 2026-01-01.

There will be more elementary school teachers in 2025 than there are in 2012 (http://www.bls.gov/emp/ep_table_104.htm ) ( 40% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

By end of 2025, bound better than than Omega(N) >(302/113)omega(N) + C known of for all odd perfect numbers N. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2021-08-21; known on 2026-01-01.

Electronic Arts to survive to 2025 ( 55% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

Consensus that B/Yamagata influenza completed eliminated by January 1, 2026. ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2022-01-31; known on 2026-01-01.

Acemoglu wins a Nobel Prize by 2025 ( 70% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Reinersaltaccount on 2023-02-06; known on 2026-01-01.

AT&T buys Verizon, or vice versa. ( 28% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-11-03; known on 2026-01-01.

Steam to remain as #1 digital distribution platform for gaming by 2025 ( 60% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-11; known on 2026-01-01.

We will be able to robustly search audio files by text by 2025 ( 78% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-16; known on 2026-01-01.

Voyager 1 to outlast Dawn Mission ( 75% confidence )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-15; known on 2026-01-01.

Within 5 years of initial release of mRNA vaccines, they will be recognized to cause serious side effects lasting >6 months in at least 1 in 5000 cases. ( 21% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by jasticE on 2021-12-22; known on 2026-01-01.

Airbnb to be acquired by 2025 ( 34% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-17; known on 2026-01-01.

I will move out of Austin by 2025 ( 25% confidence )

Created by alexanderpasch on 2023-03-06; known on 2026-01-01.

Apple's valuation in 2025 to be less than half that of its valuation in 2015 ( 36% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-06; known on 2026-01-01.

Godel Escher Bach will be available as a free online eBook by 2025 (in the way the Feynman lectures are) ( 26% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-17; known on 2026-01-01.

Boson Sampling or Scattershot Boson Sampling with at least 10 photons to be performed by January 1, 2026. ( 65% confidence; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-10; known on 2026-01-01.

Made-for-delivery restaurants like Sprig will account for at least 10% of restaurant purchases by 2025 (https://www.quora.com/What-is-the-future-of-food-delivery-1/answer/Adam-DAngelo) ( 39% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-08-01; known on 2026-01-01.