[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 15% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 19% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 9% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 3% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] any other candidate ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Cory Booker ( 0% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 5% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

[US Democratic primary: Texas winner to be] Joe Biden ( 38% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-04.

WTI crude futures to have been in contango on average in February 2020 (i.e., M4 > M1) ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-07.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of March 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] March 2019 ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-03-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of March 2020 to be LOWER than the rate as of] February 2020 ( 52% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2020-03-10.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Joe Biden ( 28% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 7% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 10% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] any other candidate ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 20% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[US Democratic primary: Michigan winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 21% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-11.

[Commodities] As of March 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of February 2020 ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-03-14.

[Commodities] As of February 2020, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of January 2020 ( 53% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2020-03-14.

H7N9 will become pandemic by March 15, 2020. ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-03-15; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] Brexit-with-a-deal having taken place ( 22% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] UK still in EU ( 9% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] UK out of EU ( 29% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15.

[Scottish independence referendum to have been formally announced & scheduled, conditional on] no-deal Brexit having taken place ( 35% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-24; known on 2020-03-15.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Joe Biden ( 34% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] any other candidate ( 7% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Beto O'Rourke ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Andrew Yang ( 7% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Cory Booker ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Bernie Sanders ( 15% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Amy Klobuchar ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

Kamala Harris will be the Democratic nominee ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by SeriousPod on 2019-07-12; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Pete Buttigieg ( 10% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US Democratic primary: Florida winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 20% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-18.

[US FOMC March 2020 rate decision to be] raise rate ( 6% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-03-19.

[US FOMC March 2020 rate decision to be] reduce rate ( 46% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-03-19.

[US FOMC March 2020 rate decision to be] leave rate unchanged ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-19; known on 2020-03-19.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] any other candidate ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Joe Biden ( 37% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Julian Castro ( 1% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Elizabeth Warren ( 19% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.

[US Democratic primary: Georgia winner to be] Kamala Harris ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-18; known on 2020-03-25.