Microsoft is gonna change its OS's name from Windows to something else within 5 years because people hate Windows. ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2019-08-02.

[US Economy] “Recession probability” indicator for June 2019 to exceed 50% ( 11% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-03; known on 2019-08-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 27% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 5% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] under $40 ( 2% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 14% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 6% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 28% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during July 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 13% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-08-07.

The predictionbook user 'Cato' will NOT be active here (less than 1 wage/week) by Aug 10th, 2019 (3 months later). ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by minerjamon on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-08-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of July 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] June 2019 ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-08-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of July 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] July 2018 ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-08-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of August 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] August 2018 ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-08-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of August 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] July 2019 ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-08-10.

iPen and iPaper from Apple in 5 years ( 20% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-13; known on 2019-08-13.

[Commodities] As of August 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of July 2019 ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-08-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for May-Jun-Jul 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 69% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for May-Jun-Jul 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 10% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for May-Jun-Jul 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 26% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-08-14.

Mark Zuckerberg will run in the 2020 USA presidential elections. ( 9% confidence; 31 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Ben Doherty on 2017-01-14; known on 2019-08-16.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for July 2019 to exceed 110 ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-08-18.

Soyuz MS-14 to launch as scheduled on August 22, 2019 ( 61% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-15; known on 2019-08-22.

there will be a non-hype blackpoolhotelgate (non-hype being roughly that the customers are unhappy about things not being run well/the owner being incompetent, and not including [only people uninvolved discoursing about it]) ( 33% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Somni on 2018-08-23; known on 2019-08-22.

Josh Sokol-Rubenstein can correctly recall the hooks for LABELLA, GLABELLA, and FLABELLA in OSPD5 tournament Scrabble, upon seeing this prediction in 2 years. ( 45% confidence )

Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-23; known on 2019-08-23.

I can correctly recall the hooks for LABELLA, GLABELLA, and FLABELLA in OSPD5 tournament Scrabble, upon seeing this prediction in 2 years. ( 10% confidence )

Created by quatrefoil on 2017-08-23; known on 2019-08-24.

US to conduct nuclear weapons test by 2019-08-30 ( 3% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-08-31.

Chinese government to limit or tax exports of rare earths to the US by 2019-08-30 ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-08-31.

[Interest rates] US yield curve to be inverted (at any maturity) as of the last day in August for which data are published ( 36% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-02; known on 2019-09-01.

OPEC to have more than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 22% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

Harley-Davidson to release its electric motorcycle (Project Livewire) as scheduled in August 2019 ( 76% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-09-01.

Qatar to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 6% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

[Commodities] Brent > WTI for all of 2019 through August EOM ( 82% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-09-01.

OPEC to have fewer than 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 18% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

Para el mes 10 de 2019 habre terminado la certificacion de frontend developer de freecodecamp. ( 40% confidence )

Created by estebanf2019 22 days ago; known on 2019-09-01.

Indonesia to be a member of OPEC at August 2019 EOM ( 9% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

My brother quits / is fired from his new job for what I determine to be BS reasons ( 90% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-01; known on 2019-09-01.

OPEC to have exactly 14 members at August 2019 EOM ( 59% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-01.

[US Economy] “Recession probability” indicator for July 2019 to exceed 50% ( 9% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-04-03; known on 2019-09-05.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 12% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 31% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 3% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 12% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 30% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] under $40 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during August 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 4% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-09-07.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of September 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] August 2019 ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-09-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of September 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] September 2018 ( 63% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-09-10.

The African National Congress wins the South African presidential elections ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-09-11.