No amendments to the United States Constitution will be ratified by 2025. ( 79% confidence; 13 wagers )

Created by gwern on 2012-12-31; known on 2025-01-01.

A supernova in the Miky Way will first be detected by it's neutrino and gravitational wave emission, prior to it's brightening allowing observation by optical telescopes. ( 26% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by AdamSmith on 2016-04-30; known on 2025-01-01.

2024: A vaccine for the cold is readily available at pharmacies and clinics worldwide. ( 33% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jarlathhealy on 2012-09-17; known on 2025-01-01.

'2024 Infrared signals are detected coming from the centre of the Galaxy, obviously the product of a technologically advanced civilisation. All attempts to decipher them fail.' —Arthur C. Clarke ( 1% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-26; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1, 2025, it will be proven that any odd perfect number is divisible by the sixth power of some prime. ( 60% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2013-02-24; known on 2025-01-01.

Jon Snow alive at beginning of The Winds of Winter ( 60% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Leo on 2013-01-19; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, a living multicellular organism will be printed using 3D printing technology. ( 25% confidence; 7 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2012-01-31; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, the remains of several prehistoric human settlements will be discovered underwater by archaeologists. ( 56% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2025-01-01.

The United States will contain exactly 50 states by 2025. ( 72% confidence; 23 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2011-11-15; known on 2025-01-01.

Trump will start a TV show before 2025. ( 36% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by D0TheMath on 2021-01-20; known on 2025-01-01.

Tom Cotton runs in the 2024 Republican presidential primary. ( 70% confidence )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-05-01; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, the general consensus will be that the US federal government orchestrated the 9/11 attacks. ( 9% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2011-09-02; known on 2025-01-01.

Solar Probe Plus flies into Sun's corona in 2024 ( 59% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2025-01-01.

Petabyte storage devices are available in 2024 ( 57% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2025-01-01.

'African elephants are on the brink of extinction' in 2024 ( 58% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-10-27; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, more than 50% of desktop computers in the world will be running an open-source operating system.” ( 52% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, Kanye West makes another album ( 55% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-11-02; known on 2025-01-01.

Amazon will launch a consumer-facing courier service that competes with the likes of UPS and FedEx by 2025. ( 51% confidence; 4 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by unexpectedEOF on 2015-12-21; known on 2025-01-01.

Marijuana will be legal in Canada by 2025. ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Malcolm Ocean on 2013-09-01; known on 2025-01-01.

UNSONG was created to incentivize name discovery, the same way that patents work for drugs in the real world. ( 55% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Temeraire on 2016-03-07; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, at least one object larger than Mars will be discovered within 4 lightyears of our Solar System. ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, water vapor will be detected in the atmosphere of at least one free-floating “rogue planet”. ( 37% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2011-11-12; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1, 2025 at least one OECD country with a population of at least 5 million people will have more than half of all cars be self-driving. ( 35% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-02-24; known on 2025-01-01.

By January 1st, 2025, the US employment/population ratio will be 60% or under. ( 28% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-01-31; known on 2025-01-01.

“By 2025, the very first human being will be cloned and this event will be accepted by the most people.” ( 12% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-01; known on 2025-01-01.

/r/gwern will have been banned by Reddit ( 7% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by quanticle on 2019-05-18; known on 2025-01-01.

Mike Pence alive ( 96% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-08-18; known on 2025-01-01.

India to have its own manned space flight by January 1, 2025 ( 62% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-08-07; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, Kanye West states that he regrets his recent antisemitic statements ( 56% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2022-11-02; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, the volume of robocalls will exceed the volume of live calls on the regular phone system ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2012-09-16; known on 2025-01-01.

The TV show “The Walking Dead” will have at least 10 completed seasons before 2025. ( 45% confidence; 8 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by Mati on 2015-03-28; known on 2025-01-01.

The Higgs boson discovered at the LHC on 4/7/12 will be found to NOT be a standard model Higgs boson. ( 65% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by splorridge on 2016-02-19; known on 2025-01-01.

No new American bootprints on the moon by the end of Calendar Year 2024. ( 86% confidence; 9 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Paul.David.Carr on 2019-06-01; known on 2025-01-01.

TSLA price drops below $25 before 2025 ( 19% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by batemancapital on 2021-07-26; known on 2025-01-01.

Current Illinois governor Bruce Rauner will be found guilty of any illegal crime ( 27% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by btrettel on 2015-09-17; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, “solar energy will cost half or less of what fossil-fuel-based alternatives do” – Vivek Wadhwa ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-15; known on 2025-01-01.

github.com will be hacked on a large scale (more than a few user accounts) before 2025-01-01 ( 70% confidence; 5 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by btrettel on 2015-08-02; known on 2025-01-01.

I will publically convert to Islam before 2025. ( 12% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-01.

I will publically convert to Buddhism before 2025. ( 0% confidence )

Created by Jayson Virissimo on 2013-09-07; known on 2025-01-01.

firefox will add back built-in support for RSS feeds by 2025 ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by finback on 2020-08-14; known on 2025-01-01.

One of {Uber, Twitter, Tumblr, Facebook, Magic Leap, Coinbase} will collapse. ( 58% confidence; 8 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by pranomostro on 2019-01-08; known on 2025-01-01.

“age of onset of 12 years” will be removed from DSM-V diagnosis criteria for ADD/ADHD by the time DSM-VI comes out ( 64% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by InquilineKea on 2016-05-21; known on 2025-01-01.

Google's decision to remove support for third-party cookies in Chrome will be ruled an antitrust violation in the United States before 2025. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2020-01-17; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, China's yuan will be backed by gold. ( 9% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by danpop on 2016-03-11; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, 20% of all US driving miles to be by self-driving cars. ( 29% confidence; 14 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-05-25; known on 2025-01-01.

By 2025, proven that there exist infinitely many primes p and q with |p-q| < 200. ( 65% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-09-30; known on 2025-01-01.

I will meditate for at least 1 hour (total) each month in a 1-year period before 2025 ( 70% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-07-22; known on 2025-01-01.

Marijuana will be unscheduled, taxed and regulated similar to alcohol at a federal level in the United States before 2025. ( 42% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2021-01-01; known on 2025-01-02.

5-sigma evidence of neutrinoless double beta decay by January 1, 2025 ( 52% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2015-10-26; known on 2025-01-02.