[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 1% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 0% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 11% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during May 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 10% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-06-07.

[Fighting] UFC 238 to be held as scheduled on June 8, 2019 ( 96% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-08.

Apple will launch an ~4 inch iphone in the next 18 months, that has the same full screen display of the newer models and 5-7nm CPUs ( 37% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by lettergram on 2019-01-09; known on 2019-06-09.

Five years from today, at least one team in the 2014 YEI fellowship will be worth $100 million or more. ( 28% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by aarongertler on 2014-06-12; known on 2019-06-12.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Mar-Apr-Jun 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 13% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Mar-Apr-Jun 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 5% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Mar-Apr-Jun 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 73% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-14.

Worldwide treaty banning all nuclear weapons + plan to reduce weapon stocks to 0 in place. ( 1% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-07-08; known on 2019-06-15.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1.2 MMbpd ( 34% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.5 MMbpd ( 75% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] UK to produce at least 1.3 MMbpd ( 40% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] OPEC to produce at least 31 MMbpd ( 42% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 47% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in May 2019] Iran to produce at least 2.6 MMbpd ( 77% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-06-16.

[US FOMC June rate decision to be:] leave rate unchanged ( 77% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-06-20.

[US FOMC June rate decision to be:] raise rate ( 8% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-06-20.

[US FOMC June rate decision to be:] reduce rate ( 13% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-06-20.

My step-sister's marriage will still be intact (not separated or divorced or remarried) five years from now. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-06-27; known on 2019-06-27.

There will be national or global economic data that is widely regarded (by econ bloggers and mainstream media outlets) as a bursting of the higher education bubble. ( 1% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by dnti808 on 2018-06-29; known on 2019-06-29.

[Commodities: At May/June 2019 meeting, OPEC+ to announce] extension of duration of present cuts but no change in scale from 1.2 MMbpd ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-18; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Estonia to win at least 1 gold medal ( 58% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[Commodities: At May/June 2019 meeting, OPEC+ to announce] extension of duration but reducing scale (i.e., cutting less than 1.2 MMbpd) ( 28% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-18; known on 2019-06-30.

[Commodities: At May/June 2019 meeting, OPEC+ to announce] end of production cuts ( 33% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-18; known on 2019-06-30.

[Commodities: At May/June 2019 meeting, OPEC+ to announce] extension of duration and deepening of cuts (i.e., cutting more than 1.2 MMbpd) ( 35% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-18; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most silver medals ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most medals ( 80% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Host country Belarus to win at least 1 gold medal ( 90% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most gold medals ( 75% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Estonia to win at least one medal in fencing ( 45% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[US Economy] “Recession probability” indicator for May 2019 to exceed 50% ( 11% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 19 days ago; known on 2019-06-30.

[2019 European Games] Russia to win the most bronze medals ( 70% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-06-30.

[Politics] The EU to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q2 EOQ ( 6% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-07-01.

[Politics] 10 or more candidates to qualify for first Democratic primary debate ( 83% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-06; known on 2019-07-01.

[Politics] The US to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q2 EOQ ( 5% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-07-01.

[IPO] Rackspace IPO in 2019 H1 ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-07-01.

[IPO] Pinterest IPO in 2019 H1 ( 52% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-07-01.

China's Belt & Road Initiative (BRI) to see at least one loan default by 2019 Q2 EOQ ( 8% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-07-01.

Taiwan to declare independence in 2019 H1 ( 5% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-01-21; known on 2019-07-01.

Politics, UK – There is a new prime minister of the United Kingdom before 1 July 2019, and they're from the Conservative Party. ( 32% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by jbeshir on 2018-12-22; known on 2019-07-01.

The first exaflop performance supercomputer will be online before July 2019. ( 56% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-07-01.

[IPO] Crowdstrike IPO in 2019 H1 ( 60% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-07-01.

[IPO] Didi IPO in 2019 H1 ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-07-01.

[IPO] Airbnb IPO in 2019 H1 ( 50% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-07-01.

[Politics] Canada to enact Uighur-related sanctions on China by 2019 Q2 EOQ ( 11% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-01; known on 2019-07-01.

Alex Trebek will die before July 1st, 2019. ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by skateboard34 27 days ago; known on 2019-07-01.

[IPO] Slack IPO in 2019 H1 ( 55% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-05; known on 2019-07-01.

US & China to announce end to trade war in Q2 2019 ( 51% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato 21 days ago; known on 2019-07-01.