[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $60 and $69.99 ( 25% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $50 and $59.99 ( 18% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] higher than $100 ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $90 and $99.99 ( 6% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $80 and $89.99 ( 14% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $70 and $79.99 ( 21% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

[Average Brent crude spot price during November 2019 to be] between $40 and $49.99 ( 7% confidence; 9 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-20; known on 2019-12-07.

Air Jordan 1 UNC Off-White X Nike collaboration sneakers will increase in value to at least $1000 in the next 9 months ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by prophetofprofit on 2019-03-07; known on 2019-12-07.

Unable to agree to any meaningful treaties on climate change, the UN security council will sanction several nuclear explosions in order to create a nuclear winter. ( 10% confidence; 17 wagers; 8 comments )

Created by scott.arbeitman on 2009-12-08; known on 2019-12-08.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of December 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] November 2019 ( 54% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-12-10.

[US economy: Civilian unemployment rate as of December 2019 to be LOWER than the rate as of] December 2018 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-14; known on 2019-12-10.

Mauricio Macri is re-elected President of Argentina ( 44% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2019-01-02; known on 2019-12-10.

Lewis Hamilton will win the F1 Driver's Championship 2019. ( 74% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by skateboard34 on 2019-07-08; known on 2019-12-12.

[Commodities] Iran to be a member of OPEC as of 2019-12-12 ( 67% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-06-11; known on 2019-12-12.

[US FOMC December rate decision to be:] raise rate ( 7% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-12-12.

[US FOMC December rate decision to be:] reduce rate ( 37% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-12-12.

[US FOMC December rate decision to be:] leave rate unchanged ( 55% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-02-28; known on 2019-12-12.

[Politics] By 2019-12-14, Hong Kong government to pass law that would allow extradition to mainland PRC ( 37% confidence; 18 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-06-13; known on 2019-12-14.

[Commodities] As of December 2019, EIA's forecast for 2020 average daily US crude oil production to be higher than its forecast as of November 2019 ( 52% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-10; known on 2019-12-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Sep-Oct-Nov 2019 to be] -0.5 or lower, indicating La Niña conditions ( 10% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-12-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Sep-Oct-Nov 2019 to be] between -0.5 and 0.5, indicating neutral conditions ( 46% confidence; 8 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-12-14.

[Climate: Oceanic Niño Index for Sep-Oct-Nov 2019 to be] 0.5 or higher, indicating El Niño conditions ( 44% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-22; known on 2019-12-14.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Nigeria to produce at least 1.7 MMbpd ( 58% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] OPEC to produce at least 32 MMbpd ( 39% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] OECD inventory to exceed 2900 MMb ( 55% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] UK to produce at least 1.4 MMbpd ( 26% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Iran to produce at least 2.7 MMbpd ( 49% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Commodities: Crude oil in November 2019] Venezuela to produce at least 1 MMbpd ( 45% confidence; 10 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-03-21; known on 2019-12-16.

[Fighting] Rico Verhoeven and Badr Hari to fight as scheduled on 2019-12-21 ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-30; known on 2019-12-22.

[Fighting] Rico Verhoeven to beat Badr Hari in their December 2019 fight ( 44% confidence )

Created by Cato on 2019-07-30; known on 2019-12-22.

[US economy] Conference Board “Leading Economic Index” for November 2019 to exceed 110 ( 54% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Cato on 2019-05-30; known on 2019-12-25.

Charity Science: Health becomes (or creates) a GiveWell top charity by giving season 2019 ( 35% confidence )

Created by ccokeefe on 2017-12-21; known on 2019-12-25.

001-A(山东/Shandong) aircraft carrier was predicted by National Interest to take 9 years. It will take 4.5 -5 years. ( 36% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-06; known on 2019-12-25.

The BRICS share will pass the combined US + EU in percentage of world GDP in 2019. ( 86% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-11; known on 2019-12-25.

By 2019, for the first time in history, the North Atlantic Treaty Organization (Nato) will not account for a majority of worldwide defence expenditure. It accounted for almost two-thirds of global spending as recently as 2010,” said IHS. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-10; known on 2019-12-25.

Rey is Luke's daughter. ( 56% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Michael Dickens on 2015-12-29; known on 2019-12-29.

1k PPI VR display of at least 3.5"/eye size will be in a consumer VR headset in 2019 ( 68% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by icrbow on 2017-08-03; known on 2019-12-30.

'I expect to see an impressive proto-AGI within the next 8 years' —Shane Legg ( 22% confidence; 14 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by gwern on 2011-12-31; known on 2019-12-31.

US-China Trade War will NOT end in 2019. ( 80% confidence; 6 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by zilong on 2019-06-02; known on 2019-12-31.

There will be a data loss incident (theft, accidental release, crash etc.) involving one billion personal records before 2019. ( 43% confidence; 8 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Arenamontanus on 2009-10-14; known on 2019-12-31.

Top 10 by market cap coins on CMC will have more than one stable coin ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Nve on 2018-12-29; known on 2019-12-31.

A single Falcon 9 Block 5 core will launch twice within 24 hours during 2019. ( 67% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-05-15; known on 2019-12-31.

A single Block 5 Falcon 9 booster will launch 10 times during 2019. ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Athrithalix on 2018-05-18; known on 2019-12-31.

Children, on average, learn to be systematic before they learn to be quantitative ( 49% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-11; known on 2019-12-31.

Solaren delivers 200MW to california grid at any point from Space Based Solar ( 37% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-08-19; known on 2019-12-31.

Trudeau's new Canadian copyright act removes ability to transfer copyright ( 8% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-10-11; known on 2019-12-31.

Zhongguo(中国) will be world's largest economy in nominal(USD, current prices) terms by 2020. ( 86% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-02; known on 2019-12-31.

Energy efficiency: T&D losses from the 22 % in 2015 to 15% by 2019 — Power Ministry Bharat ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-07; known on 2019-12-31.

ARCA Space will cancel development of its Haas 2C vehicle before the end of 2019. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Athrithalix on 2017-11-02; known on 2019-12-31.