Democrats hold House in 2020 ( 78% confidence; 5 wagers )

Created by Deepak on 2020-06-11; known on 2020-11-04.

Kanye or Kim will run for President in 2020. ( 43% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by ldor_11 on 2018-06-18; known on 2020-11-04.

By election day 2020, Donald Trump's tax returns are published ( 17% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-06-05; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 14 ( 14% confidence; 8 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 11 ( 2% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

[US politics: Of the 35 Senate seats up for election in 2020, Democrats to win] exactly 12 ( 7% confidence; 11 wagers )

Created by Cato on 2019-09-26; known on 2020-11-04.

EIther Trump or Sanders will be president, and it won't change my life at all. ( 60% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by ntrueman on 2020-02-23; known on 2020-11-04.

Donald Trump will NOT be re-elected ( 53% confidence; 24 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by tcsmithbiz@yahoo.com on 2019-12-23; known on 2020-11-04.

A Trump-nominated Supreme Court Justice is confirmed to replace Ginsburg before the 2020 November election. ( 67% confidence; 12 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Deepak 9 days ago; known on 2020-11-04.

[Politics] Trump will choose not to run for a second term in 2020. ( 14% confidence; 14 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by KangaRookie on 2019-01-22; known on 2020-11-05.

U.S. Stock Market at or above current worth through the November 2020 elections (as measured by the S&P500 – $2886.73 on June 10th 2019) ( 58% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by lettergram on 2019-06-10; known on 2020-11-05.

Joe Biden (or replacement Democrat) wins the popular vote by a margin of 8% or more ( 33% confidence; 7 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by PlacidPlatypus on 2020-07-09; known on 2020-11-05.

Donald Trump will be reelected. ( 46% confidence; 21 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by alvastarr on 2018-07-26; known on 2020-11-05.

Donald Trump will be elected president in the 2020 presidential elections. ( 50% confidence; 18 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by korakos on 2020-04-30; known on 2020-11-05.

Politics, US – Over 28% of ballots cast in the 2020 presidential election will be mail-in or absentee, including mail-in or absentee ballots dropped off in person. ( 85% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbeshir 15 days ago; known on 2020-11-06.

Politics, US – Over 38% of ballots cast in the 2020 presidential election will be mail-in or absentee, including mail-in or absentee ballots dropped off in person. ( 52% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jbeshir 15 days ago; known on 2020-11-06.

In five years, 80% of the smartphones worldwide will come from Chinese companies or Chinese acquired companies. ( 38% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by danpop on 2015-11-06; known on 2020-11-06.

Trump Approval >50% by nov 1, 2020 ( 29% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-02-05; known on 2020-11-07.

A third-party candidate gets more than 5% of the vote in the 2020 US Presidential Election ( 8% confidence; 11 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by peter_hurford on 2020-01-14; known on 2020-11-07.

Donald Trump would contest in the 2020 elections. ( 44% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known on 2020-11-07.

Donald Trump would NOT get Impeached ( 66% confidence; 10 wagers )

Created by DragonGod on 2017-06-16; known on 2020-11-07.

I will vote Democrat for the first time in my life in the 2020 US Presidential Election ( 26% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Dapple on 2017-01-05; known on 2020-11-08.

The Republicans will not win the presidential election in 2020. ( 58% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by burning.harvest on 2017-05-19; known on 2020-11-09.

There will be a flood of positive news stories about Hydroxychloroquin the week after the presidential election ( 15% confidence; 6 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jgvergo on 2020-04-23; known on 2020-11-10.

we help P produce his podcast ( 30% confidence )

Created by grin 17 days ago; known on 2020-11-10.

P posts his podcast to lbry ( 65% confidence )

Created by grin 17 days ago; known on 2020-11-10.

Republican remains Senate majority after 2020 election ( 47% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by batemancapital 4 days ago; known on 2020-11-10.

Eliot will be forced to stop using “purple people” as an inoffensive placemarker for <some group of people> because it will start to seem offensive and people will <know> who is being referred to. See euphemistic treadmill. Within 5 years ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by waveman on 2015-11-11; known on 2020-11-11.

Trump will win the Presidency in 2020 ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by ccokeefe on 2017-12-21; known on 2020-11-15.

Biden wins in 2020 US elections (just ticking off boring politics things) ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by akarlin on 2020-06-17; known on 2020-11-15.

President Trump will win the 2020 Election. ( 56% confidence; 13 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by meganwhalen20 on 2019-11-11; known on 2020-11-16.

Donald Trump will win the 2020 presidential election. ( 36% confidence; 16 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by CoreyS on 2020-08-02; known on 2020-11-16.

Joe Biden will win the election in 2020 ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by shutterspeed on 2020-07-26; known on 2020-11-16.

Turtle Island Foods (owners of the brand “Tofurky”) lawsuit against the new Missouri meat terminology law will fail, at least before appeals ( 60% confidence )

Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-08-30; known on 2020-11-16.

A new US Political party will come to power by 2020 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Isaac on 2011-10-01; known on 2020-11-16.

Amash gets the R nomination in 2020, conditional on Trump not getting it. ( 2% confidence )

Created by evand on 2020-05-09; known on 2020-11-16.

A nuclear weapon will be detonated in a non-test scenario before November 2020. ( 10% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by trishume on 2016-11-10; known on 2020-11-16.

There will be riots and/or civil unrest, more extreme or on a larger scale than the the BLM protests and riots, in conjunction with the 2020 presidential election. ( 27% confidence; 5 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by EliTyre on 2020-08-17; known on 2020-11-16.

Libertarian Party candidate gets into 2020 presidential debates. ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-08-26; known on 2020-11-16.

If I ever understand monetary policy properly, I’ll think that Scott Sumner is basically right about NGDP targeting etc ( 80% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-11-17; known on 2020-11-17.

China publicly announces an investigation into Hunter Biden ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-04; known on 2020-11-20.

Trump will win the election ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by 4dahalibut on 2020-06-23; known on 2020-11-20.

My November 2020 self will think Brexit is on net bad (ALL things considered) ( 70% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-11-20; known on 2020-11-20.

There is a nuclear incident (someone uses a nuke) somewhere in the world in the next 4 years ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Osuniev on 2016-11-21; known on 2020-11-21.

Survey of 40 random saskatchewanians (or whoever lives in that area in 2020) will reveal Brad Wall's tweet in 2016 as 'ridiculous' ( 49% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-05; known on 2020-11-22.

Donald Trump to win reelection with at least 49 US states voting for him. ( 2% confidence; 11 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-04; known on 2020-11-25.

New medical breakthrough will revolutionize battlefield care by late 2020. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2020-11-30.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …narrowly by Joe Biden. His popular vote win will be massive but due to voter suppression and structural advantages his electoral college margin will be small. ( 70% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com on 2020-08-04; known on 2020-11-30.

[The 2020 US presidential election will be won…] …in a landslide by Joe Biden. The voter suppression strategy didn't work. ( 60% confidence )

Created by evan.f.young@gmail.com on 2020-08-04; known on 2020-11-30.