Gentoo will remain my primary OS over the next decade ( 57% confidence; 6 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by Jach on 2016-01-10; known on 2026-01-10.

Donald and Melania Trump will divorce in the next five years. ( 44% confidence )

Created by JohnGreer on 2021-01-12; known on 2026-01-12.

YouTube to allow searching videos by audio contained in the video by 2025 ( 66% confidence; 10 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-27; known on 2026-01-16.

At least one centenarian to volunteer for anti amyloid therapy by 2025 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-27; known on 2026-01-16.

Scotland rejoins the EU as an independent nation in the next 10 years. ( 35% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-06-27; known on 2026-01-16.

Modafinil to be more popular in US in 2025 than 2015 ( 67% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by InquilineKea on 2015-07-13; known on 2026-01-16.

The next president or vice president who is not a white male will either be a hispanic man or a white woman. ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by jbluphin on 2014-02-01; known on 2026-02-01.

OOTS: The Monster in the Darkness is an Uvuudaum. ( 33% confidence )

Created by Sniffnoy on 2016-02-29; known on 2026-02-28.

In three yeasr, gantork and I will be in agreement that robotics have not yet had the sort of fast progression they envisioned. ( 61% confidence; 3 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2023-03-15; known on 2026-03-15.

Alexei Navalny (Alexei Anatolievich Navalny) (born 4 June 1976) dies within five (5) years ( 67% confidence; 21 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by two2thehead on 2021-04-13; known on 2026-04-13.

In 10 years, most computers and keyboards will exclude the “PAUSE” key ( 36% confidence; 3 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by jesselevine on 2016-04-26; known on 2026-04-26.

Harry Halpin on the payroll of, or otherwise compromised by the NSA/FVEY ( 53% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-09-12; known on 2026-04-29.

CIWF USA will persuade at least one major poultry company to adopt a meaningful broiler chicken welfare policy ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-05-01.

CIWF USA will play a major role in securing five or more new corporate cage-free pledges ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-05-01.

“We are confident that over 60 million patients will have their genome sequenced in a healthcare context by 2025” ( 5% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Bruno Parga on 2020-01-03; known on 2026-05-01.

increasingly strict regulations on hrt, surgery, for adults. in particular, rules that impact clinics' ability to provide drugs and surgeries in the next 4 years. ( 76% confidence )

Created by sobet on 2022-05-08; known on 2026-05-08.

3eba1fee3af900bb58ce7e70d8962193b9775e8293cb5a29d91bd73ee814796e - ( 78% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by sobet on 2022-05-21; known on 2026-05-08.

lgbt art (literature, art, tv, news, etc.): access restricted based on “fears of recruitment of children.” we're already seeing this with book bans in libraries and schools, but i anticipate more of it on a broader scale. ( 92% confidence )

Created by sobet on 2022-05-08; known on 2026-05-08.

In the wake of more internet censorship, an auction site that runs on tokens you can only buy with cryptocurrency will open, and become popular enough that even I learn about it. ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by kallman on 2021-05-17; known on 2026-05-15.

I in 3 years ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by PseudonymousUser on 2023-07-01; known on 2026-05-22.

By mid-2026, Iraq will have a lower 'Political Rights and Civic Voice' rating from Freedom House than it does now. ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by gwern on 2010-08-29; known on 2026-06-01.

Frcr 2026 ( 60% confidence )

Created by kandeel on 2023-06-16; known on 2026-06-16.

Matt Gaetz (Matthew Louis Gaetz II) (born 7 May 1982) gets arrested within five (5) years ( 99% confidence )

Created by two2thehead on 2021-06-18; known on 2026-06-18.

Personal – In 5 years I will go back to school for a grad program ( 50% confidence )

Created by EricClampton on 2021-06-28; known on 2026-06-28.

The first “worldwide classroom” will be setup on the Internet and will revolutionize learning potentials by double the rate of college bound graduates by 2026. ( 61% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2026-06-30.

Treasury to instruct the Fed to revalue U.S. gold deposits at $8,000/oz or more before 3Q26 ( 35% confidence )

Created by jacobgreenleaf on 2023-10-23; known on 2026-07-01.

By this time in 2026, there will be a consensus among neuroscientists (>50%) that quantum mechanics plays a non-trivial role in understanding consciousness. ( 3% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by RoryS on 2016-07-18; known on 2026-07-18.

Pastor Kenneth Glasgow’s pastor network will play an influential role in the upcoming legislative sessions (for some definition of “influential” that Open Philanthropy Project is comfortable with in retrospect) ( 60% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-08-01.

https://www.smbc-comics.com/comic/2006-08-13 is hilarious ( 33% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by wizzwizz4 on 2020-08-10; known on 2026-08-13.

Java va a desaparecer o perder el mercado, segun Diego de makerlab. ( 70% confidence )

Created by jhairguz.t@gmail.com on 2018-09-23; known on 2026-09-23.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Brighter Green a major success ( 5% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2026-10-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Brighter Green a success ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-30; known on 2026-10-01.

Brexit will cause hundreds of thousands of deaths from mass starvation in the UK —Charlie Stross ( 2% confidence; 19 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by gwern on 2016-10-07; known on 2026-10-07.

Socrates1024's Dockerfile scripts still work 10 years from now ( 31% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-18; known on 2026-10-18.

Timbuktu burned to the ground/leveled by group loyal to dalwa al islamyya ( 44% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-10-24; known on 2026-10-25.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to World Animal Protection a success ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-11-01.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to World Animal Protection a major success ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-11-01.

China will enter a recession within the next 5 years ( 8% confidence )

Created by Tuxedage on 2021-11-02; known on 2026-11-16.

More families in north america are single income, two partners, raising children than dual income with/without children/other arrangements ( 50% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-01; known on 2026-11-28.

A Mars colony will be established in 2026. It will be an International establishment. ( 4% confidence; 20 wagers; 13 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2026-11-30.

Open Philanthropy Project will consider its 2016 grant to Green Monday a success ( 45% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by OpenPhilUnofficial on 2017-08-29; known on 2026-12-01.

We will have a second child within 10 years ( 34% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by penten on 2016-12-09; known on 2026-12-09.

Climate research (global warming) will have a replication crisis ( 7% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by hedges on 2016-12-09; known on 2026-12-10.

Since 2001, the total number of low-income countries has nearly halved to 34, as 31 graduated to middle-income status. By 2026, another 31 will graduate, leaving only 3 countries in low income status. ( 74% confidence; 3 wagers; 9 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-15; known on 2026-12-25.

International Air Transport Association's (IATA) updated passenger growth forecast, predicts Bharat will displace Britain as the third-largest market by 2026. ( 100% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-12-02; known on 2026-12-25.

By 2026 we will be technically capable of fixing arbitrary single-gene disorders – sickle cell anaemia, Huntington's, cystic fibrosis, Tay-Sachs, muscular dystrophy… – in living humans, with close to zero risk of severe complications. ( 34% confidence; 18 wagers; 11 comments )

Created by jasticE on 2016-01-08; known on 2026-12-31.

Serial killer found to be operating in Thunder Bay in 2017, causing at least 1 death in Thunder Bay in 2017 ( 49% confidence )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-05-26; known on 2026-12-31.

Due to Bharat's industrialization prices will boom in an exact replay of what happened in 2001-11 commodity bull market driven by Zhongguo. Commodities prices, as measured by the Continuous Commodity Index (CCI), will rise at least 275% since the start ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-15; known on 2026-12-31.