The Republicans will not win the presidential election in 2020. ( 58% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by burning.harvest on 2017-05-19; known on 2020-11-09.

There will be a flood of positive news stories about Hydroxychloroquin the week after the presidential election ( 20% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by jgvergo on 2020-04-23; known on 2020-11-10.

Eliot will be forced to stop using “purple people” as an inoffensive placemarker for <some group of people> because it will start to seem offensive and people will <know> who is being referred to. See euphemistic treadmill. Within 5 years ( 50% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by waveman on 2015-11-11; known on 2020-11-11.

Biden wins in 2020 US elections (just ticking off boring politics things) ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by akarlin 27 days ago; known on 2020-11-15.

Trump will win the Presidency in 2020 ( 30% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by ccokeefe on 2017-12-21; known on 2020-11-15.

A new US Political party will come to power by 2020 ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Isaac on 2011-10-01; known on 2020-11-16.

President Trump will win the 2020 Election. ( 55% confidence; 12 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by meganwhalen20 on 2019-11-11; known on 2020-11-16.

Amash gets the R nomination in 2020, conditional on Trump not getting it. ( 2% confidence )

Created by evand on 2020-05-09; known on 2020-11-16.

A nuclear weapon will be detonated in a non-test scenario before November 2020. ( 10% confidence; 11 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by trishume on 2016-11-10; known on 2020-11-16.

Turtle Island Foods (owners of the brand “Tofurky”) lawsuit against the new Missouri meat terminology law will fail, at least before appeals ( 60% confidence )

Created by prophetofprofit on 2018-08-30; known on 2020-11-16.

Libertarian Party candidate gets into 2020 presidential debates. ( 16% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by NathanMcKnight on 2016-08-26; known on 2020-11-16.

If I ever understand monetary policy properly, I’ll think that Scott Sumner is basically right about NGDP targeting etc ( 80% confidence )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-11-17; known on 2020-11-17.

China publicly announces an investigation into Hunter Biden ( 2% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Tapetum-Lucidum on 2019-10-04; known on 2020-11-20.

Trump will win the election ( 35% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by 4dahalibut 21 days ago; known on 2020-11-20.

My November 2020 self will think Brexit is on net bad (ALL things considered) ( 70% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by wolfish_wrath on 2019-11-20; known on 2020-11-20.

There is a nuclear incident (someone uses a nuke) somewhere in the world in the next 4 years ( 15% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Osuniev on 2016-11-21; known on 2020-11-21.

Survey of 40 random saskatchewanians (or whoever lives in that area in 2020) will reveal Brad Wall's tweet in 2016 as 'ridiculous' ( 49% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-05; known on 2020-11-22.

Donald Trump to win reelection with at least 49 US states voting for him. ( 2% confidence; 9 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by JoshuaZ on 2020-06-04; known on 2020-11-25.

Worldwide economy 'blows up'. all of: over 100 bank failures, loss of basic access to foodstuffs in major US city, <0% growth of gdp for 2 years in china, g7 nation declares martial law to deal with economic problems ( 5% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-12-01; known on 2020-11-28.

New medical breakthrough will revolutionize battlefield care by late 2020. ( 57% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Harbinger1 on 2011-11-17; known on 2020-11-30.

Trump will not be impeached during his first term ( 85% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by kjaques on 2016-11-25; known on 2020-11-30.

By 2020, Eliezer Yudkowsky will have given up building friendly AI. ( 6% confidence; 23 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Tuxedage on 2013-01-13; known on 2020-12-01.

“President HRC will face an attempt by a Republican Congress to cut her pay.” ( 6% confidence; 6 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2016-04-19; known on 2020-12-01.

A fictional character will be elected US president in 2020 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2016-11-14; known on 2020-12-01.

The 2020 presidential election will be Donald Trump v. Oprah Winfrey. ( 3% confidence; 25 wagers; 13 comments )

Created by RandomThinker on 2017-01-16; known on 2020-12-01.

US President Zuckerberg ( 3% confidence; 7 wagers )

Created by themusicgod1 on 2017-09-03; known on 2020-12-01.

A non-human animal will be elected US president in 2020 ( 0% confidence; 6 wagers )

Created by splorridge on 2016-11-14; known on 2020-12-01.

Next term there will be a democratic president in America ( 63% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Adam Zerner on 2017-11-30; known on 2020-12-04.

The Telecommunications and Other Legislation Amendment (Assistance and Access) Act 2018 will cause high profile services such as AWS or WhatsApp to be withdrawn from the Australian market within 2 years ( 12% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by sjy on 2018-12-05; known on 2020-12-04.

Max Verstappen will win the 2020 F1 World Championship. ( 30% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by skateboard34 on 2019-12-12; known on 2020-12-12.

“The Essential Workers” (or similar subject) will be TIME Magazine's Person of the Year for 2020. ( 49% confidence; 9 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by pvoberstein on 2020-04-10; known on 2020-12-15.

[AWS] re:invent 2020 will announce the next iteration of DeepRacer – head to head combat robot competitions (think battle bots) ( 41% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by bly on 2019-12-03; known on 2020-12-16.

United Ireland by 2020 ( 9% confidence; 12 wagers; 6 comments )

Created by elephantower on 2016-06-05; known on 2020-12-16.

Border checkpoints will be set up along the UK/Ireland land border by 2020 ( 32% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2020-12-16.

Conditional on border checkpoints being set up along the UK-Ireland border, there will be an attack on the checkpoints or border guards ( 64% confidence; 4 wagers )

Created by elephantower on 2016-07-22; known on 2020-12-16.

Derek Chauvin will be convicted of murder ( 58% confidence; 7 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by enolan 27 days ago; known on 2020-12-17.

Business income grows by at least 10% ( 70% confidence )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known on 2020-12-21.

I will have read 100 books ( 48% confidence; 3 wagers )

Created by Coagulopath on 2019-02-13; known on 2020-12-21.

Uncharted movie is released in December 2020 ( 50% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Halo Infinite is released in Q4 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Dune movie is released in December 2020 ( 62% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by qznc on 2019-12-29; known on 2020-12-25.

100% IPV6 deployment by 2020. ( 27% confidence; 9 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-07; known on 2020-12-25.

Zhongguo(中国) will outspend the US on science by 2020 ( 65% confidence; 4 wagers; 5 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-27; known on 2020-12-25.

Palau, Panama, Argentina, Kazakhstan, Lebanon, will be high income countries by 2020. ( 77% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-09; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will reduce emission intensity of the economy by 25% from its 2005 levels by 2020. ( 66% confidence; 3 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-10-02; known on 2020-12-25.

Costa Rica, Brasil, Mauritius will be high income countries (World Bank definition) by 2020. ( 56% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-03; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat will be ranked 2nd in the world by 2020 for steel production. ( 88% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-01-29; known on 2020-12-25.

Malaysia will be a high income country by 2020. ( 77% confidence; 5 wagers; 2 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2016-03-03; known on 2020-12-25.

Bharat to be third-biggest defence spender by 2020 -IHS Defence Budgets Annual Report ( 59% confidence; 4 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by Raahul_Kumar on 2015-09-08; known on 2020-12-25.