PredictionBook: Judged Predictions

Confidence	50%	60%	70%	80%	90%	100%	Total
Accuracy	50%	59%	67%	77%	88%	92%
Sample Size	11812	16505	16980	17616	31357	8046	102316

After using PredictionBook, I'm fucking doing sucks at work. Why is that? Someone will answer me in 7 days. ( 30% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-09; known on 2014-08-16; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-17.

PredictionBook is distracting. That's why! Someone will agree with me in 7 days. ( 8% confidence; 2 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-09; known on 2014-08-16; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-17.

[Pact web serial] Blake will leave the Drains. ( 95% confidence )

Created by sigmaleph on 2014-07-31; known on 2015-07-02; judged right by sigmaleph on 2014-08-15.

I will still have making a prediction a day as one of my dailies through the middle of August. ( 32% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by bibliophile221B on 2014-04-26; known on 2014-08-15; judged right by Ham Nox on 2014-08-15.

This site has <b>obvious</b> <script type=“text/javascript”>alert(“XSS”);</script> ;). ( 10% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by TeMPOraL on 2014-08-14; known on 2014-08-14; judged wrong by TeMPOraL on 2014-08-14.

I'm in bad mood. It'll be better in 2 days. ( 70% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-09; known on 2014-08-11; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-13.

I have back pain. It'll be gone in 1 day. ( 25% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-10; known on 2014-08-11; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-13.

Sara will feel “normal” from Sept 1 to Sept 7 ( 85% confidence )

Created by Silver on 2014-07-14; known on 2014-09-08; judged right by Silver on 2014-08-12.

Bids on NASDAQ:PCLN will reach at least $1250 on day after Q2 earnings release. ( 60% confidence )

Created by mortehu on 2014-06-19; known on 2014-08-05; judged right by mortehu on 2014-08-11.

I have shoulder pain. It'll be gone in 1 day. ( 50% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-09; known on 2014-08-10; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-10.

I'll not be listening to Nico and vine's song “Am I wrong” next week ( 90% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-10; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-10.

I'll be watching TV dramas everyday even after 1 week ( 30% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-10; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-10.

I'll not be reading news site like Yahoo for 1 week ( 40% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-10; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-10.

I'll discover something useful in this site within one week. ( 25% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-09; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-09.

I'll still be alive at the end of 2014 ( 97% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Osuniev on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by woodse on 2015-01-16.

Bush will commit suicide by the next 3 years. ( 4% confidence; 21 wagers; 7 comments )

Created by puya on 2011-04-06; known on 2014-08-09; judged wrong by clemux on 2014-08-09.

I will wake up as a cat tomorrow. ( 0% confidence )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-08; known on 2014-08-08; judged wrong by Ham Nox on 2014-08-08.

In one year, my room will contain no kumquats. ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-04; known on 2015-08-04; judged right by Ham Nox on 2015-08-05.

I will get >=90% on my neurobio course. ( 60% confidence )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-05-18; known on 2014-08-11; judged wrong by Ham Nox on 2014-08-06.

I'll be stop downloading TV shows because it is distracting in 3 days. ( 30% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-06; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-06.

I'll not be googling who is “Bjorkiest” person in 3 days. ( 75% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-06; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-06.

I will not become paraplegic or otherwise significantly paralyzed within the next year. ( 98% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-08-03; judged right by Ham Nox on 2015-08-03.

I'll be getting something important out of watching Breaking Bad for my programming project in 2 days ( 35% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-05; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-05.

In one year, my room will contain no kumquats. ( 99% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-04; known on 2015-08-04; judged right by Ham Nox on 2015-08-05.

I'll still be alive at the end of 2014 ( 97% confidence; 5 wagers; 1 comment )

Created by Osuniev on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-01-16; judged right by woodse on 2015-01-16.

I will not become paraplegic or otherwise significantly paralyzed within the next year. ( 98% confidence; 7 wagers; 4 comments )

Created by Ham Nox on 2014-08-03; known on 2015-08-03; judged right by Ham Nox on 2015-08-03.

Blue Sky's “real sugar” sodas come in cans that are thinner than the standard can. ( 20% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by etarletons on 2014-08-05; known on 2014-08-05; judged wrong by etarletons on 2014-08-05.

20 pushups today. ( 80% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04; known on 2014-08-04; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-05.

go to bed before 22:30 ( 90% confidence; 2 comments )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04; known on 2014-08-04; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04.

I'll be predicting on this site tomorrow morning too. ( 65% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-04; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04.

I'll do 100 push ups today ( 10% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04.

I'll be waking up before 9:00 tomorrow ( 60% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-04; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04.

I'll go out today. ( 50% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-04.

I will get my top choice for freshman writing seminar. ( 30% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by azax1 on 2014-07-20; known on 2014-08-29; judged wrong by azax1 on 2014-08-04.

I will get one of my top two choices of freshman writing seminar. ( 55% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by azax1 on 2014-07-20; known on 2014-08-29; judged right by azax1 on 2014-08-04.

I will get one of my top three choices of freshman writing seminar. ( 75% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by azax1 on 2014-07-20; known on 2014-08-29; judged right by azax1 on 2014-08-04.

I will get one of my top four choices of freshman writing seminar. ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )

Created by azax1 on 2014-07-20; known on 2014-08-29; judged right by azax1 on 2014-08-04.

I will see Riley today. ( 60% confidence )

Created by booradleytron on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by booradleytron on 2014-08-04.

I won't get a H1B visa this year ( 96% confidence; 2 wagers )

Created by influnza on 2014-05-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged right by influnza on 2014-08-03.

I'll be cooking tonight. ( 65% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

Gradation will be animated at the end of the day. ( 50% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

I'll implement Lorenz system on iOS in before 22:00. ( 30% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

I'll be still watching Jimmy Fallon one hour later ( 50% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03; known on 2014-08-03; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

My brother is coming back in 3 hours ( 40% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

Some one call me before I go to sleep ( 5% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

Someone will thank me tonight. ( 40% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

I'll turn on TV tonight ( 80% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

I'll turn on radio tonight ( 10% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged wrong by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

I wake up before 9:00 tomorrow. ( 50% confidence )

Created by spacemammoth on 2014-08-02; known on 2014-08-02; judged right by spacemammoth on 2014-08-03.

HP MoR: Harry's father's rock is actually the Resurrection Stone. ( 25% confidence; 4 wagers; 3 comments )

Created by booradleytron on 2014-03-09; known on 2014-09-16; judged wrong by Osuniev on 2014-08-02.

Statistics

Judged Predictions