Statistics
| Confidence | 50% | 60% | 70% | 80% | 90% | 100% | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Accuracy | 50% | 59% | 67% | 77% | 88% | 92% | |
| Sample Size | 11812 | 16505 | 16980 | 17616 | 31357 | 8046 | 102316 |
Judged Predictions
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England will defeat USA ( 70% confidence )
Created by World_Cup_predictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-06-13; judged wrong by Jack on 2010-06-16.
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Radiopaedia will reach 3 million pageviews by 15th June 2010 ( 67% confidence; 2 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by Frank on 2010-02-18; known on 2010-06-15; judged wrong by Matt on 2010-06-16.
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Justin Bieber's voice will break in the coming year. ( 39% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by DianneD on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-12-04; judged right by gwern on 2010-12-10.
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Mav will ask Miss Bobbi (the actress) out on a date by the end of July ( 82% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by mavmetropolis on 2010-04-13; known on 2010-06-13; judged right by mavmetropolis on 2010-06-13.
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I get into Stanford ( 2% confidence )
Created by PotatoDumplings on 2010-01-05; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by PotatoDumplings on 2010-06-10.
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Sam Stosur will win the French Open! ( 87% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by wednesday on 2010-06-03; known on 2010-06-05; judged wrong by wednesday on 2010-06-06.
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Iron Man 2 will be the top 10 movie in 2010 ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by melissasajeh on 2010-03-29; known on 2010-04-30; judged right by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04.
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Iron Man 2 will be the top 10 movie in 2010 ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by melissasajeh on 2010-03-29; known on 2010-04-30; judged right by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04.
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the chick from big is not the blond chick from weeds ( 70% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2010-05-30; known on 2010-06-01; judged wrong by Frank on 2010-05-30.
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Will crack 250,000 pageviews in may ( 90% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2010-04-22; known on 2010-06-02; judged right by Frank on 2010-05-29.
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Mohsin Malik better stay video than Jay Sean ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by akavc15 on 2010-04-19; known on 2010-05-20; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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Mohsin Malik better stay video than Jay Sean ( 92% confidence; 2 wagers; 2 comments )
Created by akavc15 on 2010-04-19; known on 2010-05-20; judged wrong by gwern on 2010-07-29.
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The Conservative Party will win a majority in the UK parliament, in the 2010 general election. ( 85% confidence )
Created by simontrigowhite on 2010-02-09; known on 2010-05-16; judged wrong by simontrigowhite on 2010-05-19.
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Gorillaz new album will go platinum ( 100% confidence )
Created by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-05-04; judged wrong by deaz on 2010-05-17.
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FlashFoward will be renewed for a second season ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by MrHen on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-07-16; judged wrong by MrHen on 2010-09-23.
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max brenner will make the best waflees today ( 100% confidence )
Created by f2 on 2010-05-12; known on 2010-05-12; judged right by f2 on 2010-05-12.
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reach 500 facebook fans by may 10st ( 80% confidence )
Created by Frank on 2010-04-05; known on 2010-05-11; judged wrong by Frank on 2010-05-11.
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Chelsea win will the cup ( 97% confidence )
Created by mktg2010 on 2010-05-03; known on 2010-05-16; judged right by mktg2010 on 2010-05-11.
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Chelsea will win the English Premier League ( 50% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-20; known on 2010-05-09; judged right by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Manchester United will win the English Premier league ( 50% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-20; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Tottenham will make the Champions League ( 45% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-05-09; judged right by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Manchester United will defeat Stoke and lift the EPL again ( 55% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-05; known on 2010-05-10; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Chelsea will drop points against Wigan and fail to win the EPL ( 60% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-05; known on 2010-05-10; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Manchester City will make the Champions League ( 35% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Chelsea, Manchester United, Arsenal and Tottenham will make up the top 4 of the league ( 80% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-25; known on 2010-05-09; judged right by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Aston Villa will make the Champions League ( 35% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Justin Bieber's voice will break in the coming year. ( 39% confidence; 3 wagers; 4 comments )
Created by DianneD on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-12-04; judged right by gwern on 2010-12-10.
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The Movie Dear John will be this years The Notebook ( 72% confidence; 2 wagers )
Created by maash on 2010-02-23; known on 2010-07-29; judged wrong by poke on 2010-05-06.
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I predict the car that James Bond will drive in the next movie will not be an aston martin. ( 80% confidence )
Created by dusty.brouwer on 2010-04-21; known on 2011-07-02; judged right by poke on 2010-05-06.
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Will Karishma find a boyfriend by the end of this year ( 60% confidence )
Created by ravneetrox on 2010-05-06; known on 2010-12-16; judged wrong by poke on 2010-05-06.
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India will win the T20 world cup ( 90% confidence )
Created by ravneetrox on 2010-05-06; known on 2010-06-16; judged right by poke on 2010-05-06.
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Maash will be married by the age of 28 with one child ( 90% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by ravneetrox on 2010-05-06; known on 2018-05-06; judged wrong by poke on 2010-05-06.
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Will Jay ever make it to the candy mountain? ( 20% confidence; 2 comments )
Created by ravneetrox on 2010-05-05; known on 2010-05-05; judged right by ravneetrox on 2010-05-06.
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Pin it ( 65% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by GlobalWeeklyFashionGuide on 2010-05-03; known on 2010-06-01; judged wrong by mark.p on 2010-05-05.
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The killers front man will debut a solo album ( 95% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-05-04; judged wrong by mark.p on 2010-05-05.
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Slashs new album will flop! ( 75% confidence )
Created by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-05-04; judged right by mark.p on 2010-05-05.
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Slashs new album will flop! ( 75% confidence )
Created by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-05-04; judged right by mark.p on 2010-05-05.
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Muse will come back down under to do another Australian tour before the end of the year ( 50% confidence )
Created by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2010-05-04; judged right by mark.p on 2010-05-05.
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Jimi Hendrix new album 'Valley of Neptune' will go platinum ( 100% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04; known on 2011-07-02; judged right by musicpredictor on 2010-05-04.
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Liverpool will make the Champions League ( 60% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-04.
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Manchester United will win the English Premier league ( 50% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-20; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-09.
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Arsenal will win the English Premierleague ( 50% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-20; known on 2010-05-09; judged wrong by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-04.
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Aston Villa will narrowly lose to Chelsea in the FA cup Semi final ( 65% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-24; known on 2010-04-10; judged right by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-04.
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Portsmouth, Hull and Burnley to be relegated ( 58% confidence; 3 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-21; known on 2010-05-09; judged right by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-04.
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Portsmouth will defeat Tottenham in the FA Cup semi-final ( 67% confidence )
Created by EPL_Predictor on 2010-03-24; known on 2010-04-11; judged right by EPL_Predictor on 2010-05-04.
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Nicole will win Americans next top model, petites version. ( 95% confidence )
Created by Marz on 2010-03-24; known on 2010-04-27; judged right by Marz on 2010-05-02.
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I will attend Reed College ( 78% confidence; 1 comment )
Created by philology on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-05-01; judged wrong by philology on 2010-05-02.
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Created by olimay on 2009-11-14; known on 2010-05-01; judged wrong by olimay on 2010-05-01.
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Lebron James will sign a contract with a team that is not the Cleveland Cavaliers for the 2010-11 season. ( 66% confidence; 2 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by Jack on 2009-10-14; known on 2010-10-01; judged right by Jack on 2010-07-16.
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Iron Man 2 will be the top 10 movie in 2010 ( 68% confidence; 4 wagers; 1 comment )
Created by melissasajeh on 2010-03-29; known on 2010-04-30; judged right by maskath@hotmail.com on 2010-06-04.